Welcome to The Profits form guide for Sandown on 19 November 2014. We were back in the winners circle on Saturday with the Best Bet getting home and several winners on the card as well. Hopefully that is variance back on our side and we can continue to today. Just two races stand out with one Best Bet and another Best Value (lower confidence than normal but price appeals). As always, I hope your form matches up with mine. Good luck and happy punting!
Best Bet
Sandown Race 5 Are There Any
Best Value
Sandown Race 7 Galway Warrior
Tools
Skyracing (TAB) form guide – this is what we use – http://www.skyracing.com.au
Speedmaps and form from Punters – http://www.punters.com.au/form-guide/
Follow Racing Victoria Stewards on twitter for tactic changes, track conditions and ride reports
I find all of the best early odds at www.bestodds.com.au
Index
Red means Top pick. Blue means second pick and Green refers to a saver pick. Orange means the pick looks value.
Sandown Race 5
Three horses stand out here.
Black Jet has to be forgiven for last start at Flemington when pulled up lame. Williams on but up 4kg the concern for me.. but back in class. Run two back was good enough to win here.
Are There Any is a talented mare who hasn’t measured up to beat them home all prep, but back in class today and off 53.5kg with the claim, she maps very well and rates even better back to the 1600m.
Red Inca was simply a forgive run last start at Flemington. I’d suggest he didn’t handle the very fast and hard track at the end of the day on offer. Up 0.5kg and way back in class here, Respect the last start run and price today.
Comments: Are There Any will push forward today (maps to lead) and with the rail in the true, will be very hard to beat. Red Inca will be ridden for luck on the rail and has the ability to flash home late.
Confidence 80%
Strategy: Are There Any to win. Smaller bet Red Inca
Sandown Race 7
Playing with value here.
Galway Warrior was very average first up, but has never produced first up in the past. Last prep, over 1400m at Flemington ran 0.5L 2nd in Mares grade to Nautical. This is back to a BM-64 grade today and these runners aren’t exactly oozing class… Barrier sucks is the only concern so will need a hot speed on out front to come from so far back.
Comments: Happy to take the value on offer E/W.
Confidence 70%
Strategy: Galway Warrior E/W
Please Note:
All of the above are the opinions of the author and are not recommendations or advice. The author may not be taking every bet listed above. Bet at your own risk.
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