Welcome to The Profits preview for Flemington on 27 September 2017. Just a quick preview for Flemington on Wednesday with three races i’m keen to bet into. Not investing much in the early race but I can’t let the horse go around at these odds without a bet. Niminypiminy looks perfectly placed today and i’ll be shocked if the horse doesn’t finish top 3 while the same goes for Weather with You. Fingers crossed and I hope my form matches up with yours.
Flemington Race 1
This is a bit of a throw at the stumps, but the last time I saw Rezak on the track he was becoming much fitter than he had shown and will be topped off today. Mertens goes onboard and he will get an absolute suck run from the barrier. With a stronger tempo expected today, i’m expecting he can run home very well from the box or 2 back the fence at odds.
Confidence 75%
Strategy: Rezak – 0.25 units Each-Way @ $51/$9.50
Flemington Race 3
This isn’t an overly strong race at all and there is only one way to consider betting into this race.
Niminypiminy brings top class form lines running behind Swampland, Hell or Highwater and Samovare at recent runs. This is a step down in class and with 55kg after claims, from barrier 4, expect Niminy to be pushed to midfield at worst in the run and be finishing strongly over the top of the field. Last 4 runs have been 3rd or 4th overall. Consistent type.
Confidence 90%
Strategy: Niminypiminy – 2 units Each-Way @ $9.00/$3.10
Flemington Race 7
This looks a ‘wide open’ race on paper but for mine there is only one standout in the well and truly forward Weather With You who is Derby bound.
Weather With You has the top class form from back in New Zealand to compliment a very strong first up run off a slow tempo over 1400m. This showed me the horse is not only going to be a potential group class stayer as a 3yo, but has the turn of foot required to win over the distances leading up to the 2400m+ distances later in the spring.
Confidence 85%
Strategy: Weather With You – 1.5 units Each-Way @ $7.00/$2.62
