2011 AFL Finals – Preliminary Finals Week

AFL 2017

Please note
All Injury updates can be found here.
First Teams sheets can be found here.
Watch delayed games.. Live over the internet by: Downloading TVU Player, then going to Channel 80438.

Massive Multibet of the week
Qtr by Qtr leader (Centrebet) – HAW/COL/COL/COL & WCE/WCE/GEE/GEE @ $176-1

Games
Collingwood Magpies vs Hawthorn Hawks  – Friday 7:45pm AEST
Geelong Cats vs West Coast Eagles- Saturday 2:20pm AEST

—————————————————————————————————————-

Collingwood Magpies ($1.28) vs Hawthorn Hawks ($3.70)
Recent clashes: Collingwood beat Hawthorn in Round 15 by 41 points

Stats
Collingwood averages 2 more kicks per game
Hawthorn averages 6 more handballs per game
Hawthorn averages 13 more marks per game
Collingwood averages 2 more scoring shots per game
Hawthorn averages 8 more hitouts per game
Collingwood averages 8 more inside 50’s per game
Collingwood averages 2 more clearences per game
Collingwood averages 4 more tackles per game
Collingwood averages 22.85 disposals per goal
Hawthorn averages 25.46 disposals per goal

Team Changes
Collingwood: IN: Thomas, Reid – OUT: Goldsack, Fasolo
Hawthorn: No Change

The Verdict
The pies have been the team to beat all year and we think that will continue into the Grand Final. The Hawks will start with a lot of spirit and should lead at the start of the 2nd QTR but the Pies will work their way back into this game and come out the other side the winner.
Collingwood by 28

Betting Options
First goal scorer: Bateman $26 – Starting forward pocket
Most Disposals: Pendlebury – Group 1 – $4.25
4 Units Collingwood Head-to-Head $1.29
1 Unit Collingwood -17.5 $1.66

—————————————————————————————————————-

Geelong Cats ($1.20) vs West Coast Eagles ($4.60)
Recent clashes: West Coast beat Geelong by 8 points in Round 16 in Perth

Stats
Geelong averages 8 more kicks per game
Geelong averages 21 more handballs per game
Geelong averages 3 more scoring shots per game
West Coast averages 11 more hitouts per game
Geelong averages 7 more inside 50’s per game
West Coast averages 3 more clearences per game
West Coast averages 3 more tackles per game
Geelong averages 22.70 disposals per goal
West Coast averages 24.69 disposals per goal

Team Changes
Geelong: IN: Corey – OUT: Menzel
West Coast: No Changes

The Verdict
West Coast have lost 7 of their last 8 games at the MCG, but Geelong have never beaten the Eagles in a final! A close game will be on the cards.. up until half-time and the Cats will hit 2nd Gear and take the bull by the horns and win the game.
Geelong by 32

Betting Options
First goal scorer: Naitanui $26 – Starting in forward pocket
Most Disposals: Enright $3.75 – Group 2
4 Units
Geelong Head-to-Head $1.20
1 Unit Geelong -20.5 at $1.60

Please note
Majority of  Betting Options are based on Centrebet’s Pick Your Own Line       and   supplied starting odds are based on head to head market   on       Centrebet.  Better odds can be achieved by shopping around.    Sportsbet     pay   significantly LESS for the Pick Your Own Line     margins.  Sportsbet   only   give better FULL line prices and better   deals on first goal   kicker etc.
All of the above are the opinions of the author and are not         recommendations or advice. The author will not be taking every bet         listed above. Bet at your own risk.

Author

mm

Rover

Covering all things Australian Rules Football for The Profits. I’ve been a passionate supporter and follower of AFL for as long as I can remember. Having been born into a family with deep football history and tradition on both sides, you can say it runs through my blood. I’ve got a keen interest in the stats and analysis of the game, which helped me finish in the top 100 of fantasy competitions DreamTeam and Supercoach last year. While my own local football career was cut short due to injury at 22, it has created an opportunity for me to frequently watch and build a deep knowledge of the sport at its highest level. I look forward to sharing my thoughts and views throughout the season.

Leave a Reply