2011 AFL Round 15 Game Preview

AFL 2017

Please note
All Injury updates can be found here.
First Teams sheets can be found here.
Watch delayed games.. Live over the internet by: Downloading TVU Player, then going to Channel 80438.

Team with the BYE
West Coast Eagles

Friday 7:40pm – Western Bulldogs ($2.04) vs Melbourne Demons ($1.81)

Ladder position: Western Bulldogs 12th Melbourne 8th
Recent clashes: Western Bulldogs have won the last 4 games. The last two were by 7 and 4 points.
Recent form Demons: Beat Richmond by 27, Beat Fremantle by 89, Lost to Collingwood by 88, Beat Essendon by 33
Recent form Bulldogs: Beat Gold Coast by 22, Beat Adelaide by 30, Lost to St Kilda by 24, Lost to Geelong by 61

What the stats say
Both teams have been getting almost equal possessions this year with Melbourne kicking the ball 7 more times per game and the Dogs handballing 2 more times per game.
Melbourne is performing better in the marking department with 17 more per game. Both teams are low on the tackle count with both averaging 67 (Melbourne were well up on this last week).
Melbourne are dominating the hitouts with 7 more than the dogs this year.
Finally, Melbourne are more efficient per disposal averaging a goal every 27 possessions compared to the Western Bulldogs 28.33 per goal.

Key game changes
Western Bulldogs have dropped Minson, Howard and Schofield and Sherman has been suspended. Grant, Reid, Markovic and Hooper have all been named.Melbourne lose Macdonald to a knee injury with first gamer Blease being named. Still no Lake or Hargrave back in the Dogs team.

Who will win?
The last two meetings have been decided by less than 10 points between these two teams. It is safe to say the Bulldogs have fallen since then and are slowly regaining their confidence. Melbourne have been playing accountable 4 QTR football while the dogs havn’t. The dogs have beaten the Suns and Crows who are the two worst performing teams in the league at the moment. One could argue that Melbourne have only beaten Richmond and two injured teams in Essendon and Fremantle. Regardless, both of these teams injured would front up and beat Western Bulldogs at the moment. Both teams will come to play, Melbourne will play out the 4 QTRs.
Melbourne by 34 points

Saturday 2:10pm – Richmond Tigers ($3.75) vs Carlton Blues ($1.25)

Ladder position: Richmond Tigers 11th Carlton Blues 4th
Recent clashes: Carlton have won the last 6 games against Richmond with no result getting close than 20 points. Carlton have always kicked over 100 points.

What the stats say
Carlton average 27 more kicks her game while Richmond after 1 more handball. Carlton take 20 more marks per game and lay 9 more tackles.
Carlton lead the hitouts averaging 6 more per game also. Richmond are very efficient with the ball and average 24.5 disposals per goal compared to Carltons 27 disposals.

Key game changes
Conca, Miller, Webberley, Gourdis and McGuane have all been dropped from the Richmond side with Post, King, Thursfield, Helbig and Griffiths coming back in.
Armfield, O’Keeffe and Austin have been dropped and Jamison is out with injury for Carlton with Robinson, Waite, Laidler and White all slotting back in after being off with injury. I never like a side making 5 changes to its side from the last week with none due to injuries.

Who will win?
Carlton will extend their streak against Richmond to 7 games in a row with ease.
Carlton by 37 points

Saturday 2:10pm (4:10pm AEST) – Fremantle Dockers ($1.09) vs Gold Coast Suns ($6.50)

Ladder position: Fremantle Dockers 7th Gold Coast Suns 17th
Recent clashes: First meeting

What the stats say
Fremantle average 7 more kicks and 10 more handballs a game than Gold Coast.. which is strange because not many teams are close to Gold Coast disposals wise.
Fremantle average 11 more marks per game and 10 more tackles a game. They are also leading the Hitouts averaging 13 more per game…  although Sandilands is out of this match.
Fremantle average a fairly poor 28.1 disposals per goal and Gold Coast, with the worst in the league as you would expect, 33 disposals per goal.

Key game changes
Dockers lose Sandilands, Bradley, Pearce and Hinkley from their team – 3 of their top 15 players in that list. In comes Grover, Ballantyne, Mzungu and Griffin. Would have to question if Ballantyne can play a full game without getting re-injured.
Rischitelli is out injured for Gold Coast with Lynch being rested and Weller, Krakouer and Dixon being dropped. In come McKenzie, Matera, Day, Gorringe and Tape.

Who will win?
Fremantle have been horrible as of late. They only just snuck over the line against Brisbane last week. One must think if Merrett was still in for Brisbane that the Dockers would have been defeated. Gold Coast played very well against the Bulldogs last week and the only thing that let them down was their kicking infront of goal. They gain a fair few handy players back into the side. We think the Gold Coast can go VERY close in this game. With at least 90% of people tipping Fremantle in this game, the safe option is to go for Fremantle and we will be tipping them in a close one. Our money will be talking a little differently with a variety of lines on Gold Coast!
Fremantle by 10 points

 

Saturday 7:10pm – Essendon Bombers ($6.50) vs Geelong Cats ($1.09)
Geelong by 47
Saturday 7:10pm (7:40pm AEST) – Adelaide Crows ($2.80) vs Sydney Swans ($1.40)
Sydney by 45
Sunday 1:10pm – Brisbane Lions ($1.36) vs Port Adelaide Power ($3.00)
Port Adelaide by 17
Sunday 2:10pm – Collingwood Magpies ($1.30) vs Hawthorn Hawks ($3.30)
Magpies by 38
Sunday 4:40pm – North Melbourne Kangaroos ($2.00) vs St Kilda Saints ($1.75)
Kangaroos by 17

Author

mm

Rover

Covering all things Australian Rules Football for The Profits. I’ve been a passionate supporter and follower of AFL for as long as I can remember. Having been born into a family with deep football history and tradition on both sides, you can say it runs through my blood. I’ve got a keen interest in the stats and analysis of the game, which helped me finish in the top 100 of fantasy competitions DreamTeam and Supercoach last year. While my own local football career was cut short due to injury at 22, it has created an opportunity for me to frequently watch and build a deep knowledge of the sport at its highest level. I look forward to sharing my thoughts and views throughout the season.

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