AFL Round 16 2012 Season – Game Preview

AFL 2017
 Welcome to The Profits round 16 analysis with Drew and Euan. We love to hear your feedback and thoughts so tweet @TheProfitsComAu and we will comment/retweet!

You can find Full teams from the AFL website here – www.afl.com.au
You can find an up to date Injury List here – http://www.injuryupdate.com.au/afl-injury-list.php

North Melbourne Kangaroos ($2.20) vs Carlton Blues ($1.68) – Etihad Stadium, Friday July 13, 7.50pm
Recent clashes: Carlton 11.14 (80) d North Melbourne 9.8 (62), round 19, 2011 at Etihad Stadium
Game preview: North lost last week in a close one against the Eagles so they will be hunting for a Carlton scalp in this match. The Blues shocked the Magpies in an upset win and this game against North will be a good indication of whether that effort was just an aberration against the arch enemy or whether the Blues are back in some sort of form. It promises to be another cracker.
Blues by 16 points
Line: Blues -5.5

Melbourne Demons ($3.00) vs Fremantle Dockers($1.40) – Etihad Stadium, Saturday July 14, 1.45pm
Recent clashes: Melbourne 22.17 (149) d Fremantle 8.12 (60), round 13, 2011, at the MCG
Game preview: Fremantle has a bad habit of losing games like this that can set them up for a tilt at the finals. The Dockers are expected to win and that is usually an indication that they will play a Docker Shocker. With respect to tipping you have to follow  the form but that has proved an elusive strategy to pin your hopes on. We can but try……sigh! Melbourne are still struggling but have shown glimpses enough to indicate that they might push Fremantle pretty close here.
Dockers by 25 points
Line: Dockers -17.5

Port Adelaide Power ($3.00) vs Essendon Bombers ($1.40) – AAMI Stadium, Saturday July 14, 1.40pm
Recent clashes: Essendon 16.15 (111) defeated Port Adelaide 13.8 (86), round 2, 2012 at Etihad Stadium
Game preview: With both teams coming off embarrassing losses, expect this to be a heated affair. The Bombers suffered their biggest loss of the season last week against the Saints and the last thing they need is a trip to AAMI to face Port Adelaide who are just as likely to win a game like this. Stranger things have happened but tipping Port does not carry a lot of percentage for accuracy so we have to give Essendon the benefit of the doubt again this week.
Bombers by 38 points
Line: Bombers -17.5

Richmond Tigers ($1.15) vs Gold Coast Suns ($5.50) – Cazaly’s Stadium, Saturday, July 14, 4.40pm
Recent clashes: Gold Coast 12.13 (85) d Richmond 9.16 (70), round 17, 2011 at Cazaly’s Stadium
Game preview: Records show that the Suns won this game last season in their first shock win but the Tigers must play with the desperation needed to keep pace with the other teams in the race for the finals. A fall here against a winless team would mark the end of the season for Richmond. The Suns just need to keep playing for pride and avoid thrashings. Tigers look ok and the ground is neutral.
Tigers by 48
Line: Tigers -37.5

Geelong Cats ($2.55) vs Collingwood Magpies ($1.52) – MCG, Saturday July 14, 7.40pm
Recent clashes: Collingwood 14.12 (96) d Geelong 11.18 (84), round 8, 2012 at the MCG
Game preview: The last time Carlton beat Collingwood the Magpies then won the next 10 games and if it takes a loss to the Blues to get Collingwood motivated then that can be taken as a positive. If the Pies win the next 10 they will win the premiership. The Cats have been stumbling a bit this season but like a lot of other teams they seem to find something extra when playing Collingwood. Will it be enough?
Magpies by 16
Line: Magpies -11.5

Brisbane Lions ($2.60) vs St Kilda Saints ($1.50) – The Gabba, Saturday July 14, 7.40pm
Recent clashes: St Kilda 13.11 (89) d Brisbane Lions 11.10 (76), round 5, 2011, at the Gabba
Game preview: There could be an upset here with Lions home win record 3-4 and Saints currently are 1-3 for its interstate matches this season. The Saints will need to play like they did last week against Essendon and that will ensure a comfortable win against the Lions even at the Gabba. The difficulty the Saints have been experiencing is to be able to put two games like that together in consecutive weeks and as badly as Brisbane played last week they are one of those teams whose inconsistency drives tipsters crazy. They can win this one at home but maybe the Saints can play well enough to stop them?
Saints by 26
Line: Saints -13.5

Greater Western Sydney Giants($14.00) vs Adelaide Crows ($1.02) – Skoda Stadium, Sunday July 15, 1.10pm
Recent clashes: Adelaide 13.18 (96) d Greater Western Sydney 7.8 (50), round four, 2012 at AAMI Stadium
Game preview: Some positives happening in the Giants’ camp as they announce their B&F winner will receive the Sheedy Medal. At the time of writing this Sheedy’s coaching future there was not announced but the Giants may give him a senior mentoring role if they appoint a younger coach for next season. There’s no doubt Kev has done the job asked of him. On a less positive note for the Giants is that they are in for another hiding.
Crows by 55
Line: Giants +70.5

Western Bulldogs ($10.50) vs Hawthorn Hawks ($1.05) – Etihad Stadium, Sunday July 15, 3.15pm
Recent clashes: Hawthorn 16.17 (113) d Western Bulldogs 10.7 (67), round 23, 2011 at the MCG
Game preview: The Hawks are on some kind of roll here and face a Bulldogs team that is not having a good season. Unfortunately for the Bullies that means the potential for another big loss, tempered a little with the loss of Buddy to Hawthorn with a hamstring strain. But even without Franklin there are enough Hawthorn players to kick plenty of goals to put the Bullies back into their kennel for another week.
Hawks by 61
Line: Hawks -49.5

West Coast Eagles ($1.60) vs Sydney Swans ($2.35) – Patersons Stadium, Sunday July 15, 2.40pm
Recent clashes: West Coast 13.10 (88) lost to Sydney Swans 15.11 (101), round three, 2011, at Patersons Stadium
Game preview: This is certainly the game of the round with 1 V 2 on the ladder. The Eagles have suffered some big losses this week that can be added to their long term injuries they have been playing with albeit successfully. The Big ‘Q’ and Luke Shuey have both been suspended and Beau Waters is injured. Those outs might be enough to swing the game Sydney’s way. Expect a tight, close contest and go with the home team when in doubt.
Swans by 12
Line: Swans +9.5 

Betting
Swans +9.5 at 1.91
Cats +24.5 at 1.47
Dockers -11.5 at 1.66
Bombers -7.5 at 1.55
Giants +90.5 at 1.30

Please note
All of the above are the opinions of the author and are not recommendations or advice.
All lines quoted are taken from Centrebet

Author

mm

Rover

Covering all things Australian Rules Football for The Profits. I’ve been a passionate supporter and follower of AFL for as long as I can remember. Having been born into a family with deep football history and tradition on both sides, you can say it runs through my blood. I’ve got a keen interest in the stats and analysis of the game, which helped me finish in the top 100 of fantasy competitions DreamTeam and Supercoach last year. While my own local football career was cut short due to injury at 22, it has created an opportunity for me to frequently watch and build a deep knowledge of the sport at its highest level. I look forward to sharing my thoughts and views throughout the season.

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