Statistics are everything when having a bet on the AFL and they become even more important when taking advantage of bookie promotions.
The promotion we are looking at this week is in the Essendon vs Geelong Friday evening match. Centrebet is offering money back on any losing head-to-head bet up to $100 if the team you backed scores more than 90 points in the game.
Geelong start $1.62 vs Essendon $2.32
Geelong has scored 90 points or more at Etihad in their last 15 games at Etihad (29 of last 30). The one time under 90 points was in 2009 against St Kilda (Ross Lyon coached team).
Geelong have continued to score well at Etihad this year slotting 107, 112 and 117 in the three games to date.
More importantly, they have scored over 90 points in all 6 games this year and 13 of last 14 games (80 against Fremantle in the elimination final loss against a defensive Ross Lyon coached team).
Winning in the long run isn’t just about picking the right team, it is about putting on the right bets if the odds are in your favour. I personally believe the Cats should be too good for the Dons – who the Cats beat by 67 points last year which just happened to be their largest win of the season, but that isn’t my place, as @AFL_TheProfits does the tipping for AFL! I just know that the $1.62 represents massive value with a refund significantly probable if the Cats do lose.
You can view the promotion here.
All of the above are the opinions of the author and are not recommendations or advice. The author may not be taking every bet listed above. Bet at your own risk.
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