English Premier League Week 26 Game Predictions, Tips and Bets

English Premier League - Football

Plenty of big games this week to keep us entertained with Tottenham and Newcastle to start the weekend with a bang. Newcastle certainly looked to have turned the corner with their fantastic win over Chelsea and their fans will be very excited after the performance of Sissoko. Reading are on a high as well with their manager winning the manager of the month award and Le Fondre winning the player of the month award for his comeback feats – could we expect another similar performance from him this week?

Best Bet: Liverpool to beat West Brom at $1.40

Multi Options

Safe Multi: Liverpool to win at $1.40, Chelsea to win at $1.37, Manchester City to win at $1.67 and Manchester United to win at $1.76 = $5.63

Value Multi: Chelsea half/full time double at $1.95, Norwich/Fulham under 2.5 goals, Liverpool to win at $1.40, Manchester City to win at $1.67 = $8.79

Tottenham ($1.71) Versus Newcastle ($5.6), Draw ($4.1)

  • Tottenham Last 5:WDDDW
    • Undefeated in their last 9
  • Newcastle Last 5:LDLWW
    •  2 wins on the trot will give them plenty of confidence, especially the come from behind win over Chelsea.

It’s a fitting way to start this weekend’s games with Tottenham and Newcastle. Tottenham are still a little down despite their strong unbeaten run in their last 9 whilst Newcastle seemed to have turned the corner with their French revolution during the January transfer window. Sissoko looks a star with some fantastic performances especially against Chelsea with his 2 goals. Spurs will be weakened with the loss of Defoe to injury but will breathe a sigh of relief that Togo were knocked out of the African Cup with Adebayor likely to return up front. Newcastle could be strengthened with Tiote to return but we feel he will make a sub appearance if anything due to Cabaye and Sissoko performing very well. Should be a tight game that leans towards Spurs at home but will most likely end in a draw
Predicted result: Draw 1-1
Confidence: 70%
Best Bet: Double Chance Tottenham at $1.18

Chelsea ($1.37) Versus Wigan ($10), Draw ($5.6)

  • Chelsea Last 5:WDWDL
    • 2 wins in their last 6 is not the Chelsea we all know. Complacency?
  • Wigan Last 5:LDLDD
    •  Only 1 win and 2 draws against Chelsea in their last 10 meetings.

It’s hard to pinpoint exactly what Chelsea are doing wrong but we feel it’s a kind of complacency in the final stages of games that have obviously done them no good. Wigan has been steady without being spectacular but are still in search of a much needed win. Their record against Chelsea isn’t promising either so we should see Chelsea back on the winners list at home.
Predicted result: Chelsea 3-1
Confidence: 85%
Best Bet: Chelsea half/full time double at $1.95 looks good value.

Stoke ($1.96) Versus Reading ($4.6), Draw ($3.6)

  • Stoke Last 5:LLLDL
    • Haven’t won a top flight game since 26th Dec when they beat Liverpool, since they have conceded 16 goals at an average of 2.66
  • Reading Last 5:LWWDW
    •  On an incredible run of form, but they have lost 4 of their last 5 away.

Stoke are struggling whilst Reading are on a massive high with Le Fondre winning the player of the month and manager McDermott the manager of the month awards thanks to their incredible form of late. Stoke need to find their inner mongrel again to dominate on bully opposition attacks and perhaps this is the perfect fixture for them to reclaim their early season form. They’ll need to curtail the influence of Le Fondre because he’s certainly capable of pegging back the oppositions lead. Stoke have a chance here if they hold steady at the back.
Predicted result: Stoke 2-1
Confidence: 65%
Best Bet: both teams to score at $1.89

Norwich ($2.34) Versus Fulham ($3.4), Draw ($3.45)

  • Norwich Last 5:LDLDD
    • Have not won a game in their last 8
  • Fulham Last 5:WDLWL
    •  Smashed Norwich 5-0 in their opening encounter of the season.

Norwich were smashed in their last meeting with Fulham 5-0 but will take comfort in Fulham’s poor away form of late where they have lost 3 in their last 5. Fulham have played well over their past two games with a win over West Ham and a narrow loss to Man Utd last week. Norwich is coming off a draw with QPR where they played pretty well and were unlucky not to score. This should be a tight game with a draw the most likely outcome but Fulham are playing well enough to cause a bit of an upset.
Predicted result: Draw 1-1
Confidence: 75%
Best Bet: Under 2.5 goals looks good value at $1.93

Swansea ($1.88) Versus QPR ($4.9), Draw ($3.75)

  • Swansea Last 5:DDWDL
    • 70.6% of their goals come in the second half
  • QPR Last 5:WDDDD
    •  Only scored 2 goals in their last 5 and only conceded once. Vast improvement defensively, but they need to start scoring!

This should be another tight match than what the odds suggest with Swansea favourites playing at home and perhaps because they thumped QPR 5-0 on their opening match of the season. QPR continue to have worries up front with Remy still under an injury cloud but there were positive signs with the return of Zamora last week. Generally it’s hard to go past Swansea at home but there’s something about QPR that makes them seem like they are on the right track and that a win is not far away. Loan signing Townsend slotted in nicely and his pace and attack could prove pivotal here. Michu has lost a bit of his influence having not scored in his last 7 PL games. This one should end in a draw with QPR defensively sound lately with QPR highly capable of getting the 3 points.
Predicted result: Draw 1-1
Confidence: 70%
Best Bet: Value here would QPR double chance at $2

Sunderland ($4.5) Versus Arsenal ($1.93), Draw ($3.75)

  • Sunderland Last 5:LWWDL
    • Only 1 loss in their last 5 at home but have only beaten Arsenal once in their last 5 meetings at the Stadium of Light
  • Arsenal Last 5:LLWDW
    •  Yet to concede a goal in the final 15 minutes in their away games but they have a poor away record this season with only 4 wins away.

Martin O’Niell will be looking to pull off another nullifying performance against the Gunners this time at home. It was a disappointing result against Reading last week and they will need to improve their overall performance if they are to stop Arsenal’s charge for a top four spot. This looks to be a game of little chances and the Black Cats will need their forwards to find form as they are a little lacking in the forward area with more support needed for Fletcher. Wenger will see this as a must win to capitalise on Spurs tough game against Newcastle and Everton’s trip to United. So there is plenty of pressure around.
Predicted result: Draw 1-1
Confidence: 70%
Best Bet: Lay Arsenal at $1.93

Southampton ($5.9) Versus Manchester City ($1.67), Draw ($4.2)

  • Southampton Last 5:WDDLD
    • 1 win in their last 9 premier league fixtures
  • Manchester City Last 5:WWWDD
    • 63.8% (30) of their goals have come in the second half – Only Manchester United and Spurs have scored more second half goals (31)

Can Southampton cause an upset over the reigning champions City?  The Saints have been in decent form of late, even threatening United at Old Trafford. The last time these two met was opening day and it took late goals by Dzeko and Nasri to get the points. If Southampton can keep picking up draws and an odd win they should survive the drop. City were outplayed for long spells against Liverpool and need to start playing each game like it’s a cup final if they are to claw back the nine point gap between them and rivals United and with Yaya Toure to return, it’ll give them the boost they need.
Predicted result: Manchester City 3-1
Confidence: 85%
Best Bet: City to win at $1.67

Aston Villa ($2.62) Versus West Ham ($2.98), Draw ($3.45)

  • Aston Villa Last 5:DLDLD
    • Conceded 34 goals in the second half, but only 11 of these have been conceded at home
  • West Ham Last 5:LDLLW
    •  Lost 6 and drawn 1 of their last 7 away

Villa surprisingly performed above expectations against Everton last week and it took a big fight by Everton and Fellaini to save them from embarrassment. Benteke has been the most outstanding player for Villa scoring in his last 3 matches. The Hammers had a moral boosting win over Swansea with Carroll returning from injury and scoring his second for the season. Hard game to predict with both teams struggling for any consistency but home advantage should help Villa sneak a much needed win as West Ham haven’t won away since early November 2012.
Predicted result: Aston Villa 2-1
Confidence: 75%
Best Bet: Double Chance Aston Villa at $1.38

Manchester United ($1.76) Versus Everton ($5.3), Draw ($4)

  • Manchester United Last 5:WWDWW
    • Rooney is back – 3 goals in his last 2
  • Everton Last 5:WDDWD
    •  Only 1 loss in their last 13 games

This highly anticipated rematch will see Everton travel to Old Trafford, one of only three teams to beat Manchester United this season. United will have one eye on their first leg against Real Madrid next week but will have to contend against an Everton team that has only 1 loss in their last 13. Everton are only three points off a European spot and will need to turn their draws into wins if they are to secure a Champion’s League Football tilt. United’s record at home is 11-0-1 and with Everton only losing twice away will surely make this an exciting match. Manchester United should just win this and look out for Rooney who has found his shooting boots again both in the league and country.
Predicted result: Manchester United 2-1
Confidence: 75%
Best Bet: Manchester United to win at $1.76 whilst the half/full time double for Man Utd at $2.88 looks good value.

Liverpool ($1.4) Versus West Brom ($9.6), Draw ($5.3)

  • Liverpool Last 5:WLWDD
    • Won their last 3 at home
  • West Brom Last 5:LLDLL
    •  Conceded 8 goals in the final 10 mins of their away games

Still yet to beat a team above them in the league, Liverpool have come through their toughest test with two away games against Arsenal and Man City. The Reds twice threw away leads in the second half to draw and will need to tighten up their defence if they are to turn the draws into wins. West Brom on the other hand is on their longest streak (6 matches) without a win and it doesn’t look promising with a trip to Anfield. Liverpool have only lost 3 times at home this season and with their form improving each game,  this game should be a mandatory win for them.
Predicted result: Liverpool 3-1
Confidence: 80%
Best Bet: Liverpool to win at $1.40

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All of the above are the opinions of the author and are not recommendations or advice. Bet at your own risk.
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Author

mm

Goal

As an Australian growing up AFL was always my no.1 sport especially given I was lucky enough to grow up a few blocks from Carlton’s home ground, Princes Park, where I was lucky enough to attend many games. That’s where my passion for sport began but it was until the early 2000’s when I discovered a real passion for football with the Socceroos 2002 World Cup qualifiers against Uruguay accelerating my football journey. From there I began to follow the Premier League and haven’t looked back since. These days I’m a massive Tottenham fan where I’ve enjoyed many sleepless nights religiously watching them without missing a game despite many roller coaster feelings. There’s just something magical and glamorous when you watch the EPL and knowing the Profits owners Drew and Euan through studies, I’m now lucky enough to be able to share my thoughts on each game each week of the season.

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