English Premier League Week 28 Game Predictions, Tips and Bets

English Premier League - Football

It doesn’t get much better than to witness spectacular goals week in week out from the likes of Bale and Suarez of late and one must wonder, in reference to Bale, how long can he keep this golden run going? Spurs will be hoping for the rest of the season he can keep it up so they could even have a tilt at 2nd spot off Manchester City. At the other end of the table the relegation battle is heating up with a number of teams fighting to avoid the drop. It looks as if the fight is ultimately between Southampton, Wigan, Villa, Reading and QPR with the likes of Sunderland, West Ham and Newcastle not far from the drop but unlikely to be relegated. Let’s get stuck into this weekend’s games with the highlight sure to be the Tottenham and Arsenal match with their intense rivalry set to provide another classic.

Best Value Bet: Tottenham Versus Arsenal over 2.5 goals at $1.72 – the last 8 games between these two have all been over 2.5 goals.

Multi Options

Safe Multi: Tottenham/Arsenal over 2.5 goals at $1.72, Manchester United to win at $1.35, Everton to win at $1.4 and Manchester City to win at $1.51 = $4.9

Value Multi: Everton/Reading both to score at $1.94, QPR Double chance at $2.06, Tottenham/Arsenal over 2.5 at $1.72, and Manchester United to win at $1.35 = $9.27

Chelsea ($1.44) Versus West Brom ($9.2), Draw ($5.1)

  • Chelsea Last 5:WDLWL
    • Won the last 5 PL games against WBA at Stamford Bridge
  • West Brom Last 5:DLLWW
    •  Lukaku has 3 goals in his last 2 – Starting to show how he can terrorise opposition defences.

Chelsea’s midweek win over Middlesborough will help put the pain of losing to City behind them, a little bit. It could have been a different story for them if Lampard had scored the penalty to put them in front, but that’s football and it’s sometimes a bitter pill to swallow. West Brom showed great form to get their second win on the trot however they were lucky that Sunderland didn’t snatch a point late in the game with Sessegnon missing multiple chances. They will be without their inform striker Lukaku (11 goals) as his cannot play against his club whilst on loan. Chelsea has a flawless recent record at home to their visitors and should take all three points with West Brom to find it tough to score.
Predicted result: Chelsea 2-0
Confidence: 80%
Best Bet: Chelsea to win at $1.44

Sunderland ($2.42) Versus Fulham ($3.4), Draw ($3.4)

  • Sunderland Last 5:WDLLL
    • Only conceded 3 goals at home in their last 5
  • Fulham Last 5:LWLDW
    •  2 away wins in the PL

Sunderland was unlucky to not take a point away from West Brom but will be confident this time out that they can get a result against a Fulham side who have struggled on the road this season. The Cottagers had a solid game against Stoke who missed their opportunities and thanks to a superb Berbatov volley the game would have been a deadlock. Sunderland’s home form puts them in a strong position here having only conceded 3 times in their past 5 games at home though they will need to turn around their run of 3 losses on the trot.
Predicted result: Draw 1-1
Confidence: 65%
Best Bet: none

Swansea ($2.14) Versus Newcastle ($3.85), Draw ($3.6)

  • Swansea Last 5:WDLWL
    • Only lost twice at home from 13 games
  • Newcastle Last 5:LWWLW
    •  10 goals in their last 4 for 3 wins is a strong turnaround in form.

Swansea took a hammering last week against Liverpool which is suggestive that their minds were focused on the Capital One Cup final where they themselves hammered 5 past Bradford in a fine display. This looks to be a close match with Newcastle performing well lately and the new additions to the squad have definitely provided some spark. Sissoko has been a great signing for Pardew and the return to form of Cisse and Cabaye from injury will see them climb the table and avoid relegation. Hard one to call considering Swansea have only beaten QPR and Bradford in their past 6 and despite Newcastle’s stronger form lately, they have only won away once this season. It’ll also be interesting to see whether Swansea suffer from a bit of a hangover from their Cup win but it shouldn’t affect them too much. Draw looks the likely outcome here.
Predicted result: Draw 1-1
Confidence: 70%
Best Bet: Double Chance Swansea at $1.30

Everton ($1.4) Versus Reading ($10), Draw ($5.2)

  • Everton Last 5:DWDLL
    • Coming off their first consecutive losses of the season
  • Reading Last 5:WDWLL
    •  Worst away record in the league with only 1 win and 2 draws from 14.

Everton had looked to have three points in the bag until the last 10 minutes condemned them to their first consecutive defeat this season and put a dent in their hopes of a fourth spot finish. Reading were outplayed last week at home to Wigan leaking 3 goals and with only one win on the road all season this will be asking a lot from their players to get the points here. Everton’s form has been up and down the last 3 games but their home form is fantastic having only lost once at home so far.
Predicted result: Everton 3-1
Confidence: 75%
Best Bet: Both teams to score at $1.94. Prior to their loss to Wigan, Reading scored in the previous 6 games whilst Everton has conceded in 4 of their last 5 at home.

Manchester United ($1.35) Versus Norwich ($11), Draw ($5.9)

  • Manchester United Last 5:DWWWW
    • Failed to score only twice – Against Norwich and Everton
  • Norwich Last 5:LDDDW
    •  Only 1 win away this season

United have an early chance to extend their lead to 15points but will have to do it without RVP as a hip injury has ruled him out of action for at least this week. It took a veteran in Ryan Giggs and a stunning goal from Rafael to put away struggling QPR. Norwich surprised everyone with a come from behind win against Everton and could yet cause another upset again given they have had some good results over United in the past. The Canaries were the last team to beat United back in November last year but could find it tough at Old Trafford. The form of United this season has been fantastic and even without RVP they have too much depth and quality to lose this match.
Predicted result: Man Utd win 2-0
Confidence: 90%
Best Bet: Manchester United to win at $1.35

Southampton ($1.9) Versus QPR ($4.6), Draw ($3.8)

  • Southampton Last 5:DLDWL
    • Beat QPR 3-1 away in their last meeting
  • QPR Last 5:DDDLL
    •  Only scored 3 times in their last 8

Southampton had their chances in their last game with Newcastle where they lost 4-2, and will be looking at points here when they host the struggling QPR. It’s hard to see how QPR can rescue their season and with only 11 games to go and still 7 points off safety they look certain to drop at this rate. In saying that, they are also due for a win and this could be the week where they really start stepping up their push for survival as the end of the season gets closer to reality. Yes Southampton is in better shape on the table and have been all season in comparison, but they have only won 2 of their last 11 and we’re predicting some desperation and fight from QPR this weekend to at least snatch a draw.
Predicted result: Draw 1-1
Confidence: 70%
Best Bet: Value bet is double chance QPR at $2.06

Stoke ($2.16) Versus West Ham ($4.1), Draw ($3.35)

  • Stoke Last 5:LDLWL
    • Only 1 loss at home in the PL (Chelsea)
  • West Ham Last 5:LLWLL
    •  Haven’t won an away game in the PL since Nov 11th against Newcastle.

Stoke will be without Robert Huth this weekend against the Hammers due to suspension and it could open the door for the Hammers to snatch a point. Despite this, Stoke have a solid defensive record at home this season conceding on average only 1.08 goals per game whilst the Hammers have struggled away all year averaging only .62 goals For in away games. West Ham were a little unlucky to have been 2-1 up against Spurs earlier in the week only for Bale to save the day with 10 seconds left before injury time. Considering West Ham’s poor away form and Stoke’s inconsistency of late it’s hard to see either side dominating for a win and perhaps the likely result looks to be a draw here.
Predicted result: Draw 1-1
Confidence: 75%
Best Bet: Under 2.5 goals at $1.75

Wigan ($4.6) Versus Liverpool ($1.87), Draw ($3.9)

  • Wigan Last 5:LDDLW
    • 7 goals in all comps in their last 2 games
  • Liverpool Last 5:WDDLW
    •  Haven’t won at the DW stadium in their last 4 there

Despite pretty poor form all season and now fighting the drop, Wigan has had a couple good games with a strong win in the FA cup over Huddersfield and a 3-0 win over a form Reading. Add to this that Wigan has a pretty good record over Liverpool at home and it adds a bit of an unknown quantity here with Liverpool prone to stumbles at times this season. Looking at Liverpool though, it’s still hard to overlook the likes of Suarez, Sturridge and even new young gun Coutinho providing plenty of highlights and headaches for opposition defences. It won’t be easy by any means for Liverpool but they should get the win here with a draw not out of the question if Wigan play their best.
Predicted result: Liverpool 2-1
Confidence: 70%
Best Bet: Double Chance Liverpool at $1.21

Tottenham ($2.4) Versus Arsenal ($3.2), Draw ($3.6)

  • Tottenham Last 5:DDWWW
    • Unbeaten against Arsenal at home in their last 4 PL meetings
  • Arsenal Last 5:WDWWW
    •  32% of their 52 goals For this season have come in away games

Tottenham host Arsenal in one of the big rivalries of the premier league and there is sure to be fireworks in this one again with Adebayor desperate to atone for his brain fade in their last encounter when he was sent off. Spurs ended up losing 5-2 in a somewhat inflated scoreline for the Gunners. From such a big win, Arsenal then drew 0-0 with Villa, 1-1 with Everton and lost 2-0 to Swansea. In saying that, Arsenal has been better of late by showing a bit more consistency in their results whilst also having Cazorla in fine form with 3 goals in his last 2. The biggest problem for Arsenal will be how they stop Gareth Bale with his stunning goal scoring form troubling many teams lately. One thing we can guarantee is goals in this one with over 2.5 goals the best bet and over 2.5 goals not out of the question when looking at recent history between these two. Either way we’ll be treated to a cracker.
Predicted result: Tottenham 3-2
Confidence: 70%
Best Bet: Over 2.5 goals at $1.72

Aston Villa ($7.4) Versus Manchester City ($1.51), Draw ($4.6)

  • Aston Villa Last 5:DLDWL
    • Only scored 3 goals in their last 5 PL home games
  • Manchester City Last 5:WDDLW
    •  Smashed Villa 5-0 in their last meeting.

Villa has shown some good signs in recent weeks showing what they can do when they play well whilst opponents Manchester City had a strong win over Chelsea after a superb save from Joe Hart from a Lampard attempted penalty. City won their last encounter with Villa here but before then Villa had been undefeated with 2 wins and 2 draws at home to City. There’s a hint of an unknown about Villa lately with the likes of Benteke showing how good a player he is, but he’ll find it tough against City this week. Expect a fight from Villa but it should be a win for City.
Predicted result: Manchester City 2-1
Confidence: 75%
Best Bet: Manchester City to win at $1.51

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All of the above are the opinions of the author and are not recommendations or advice. Bet at your own risk.
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Author

mm

Goal

As an Australian growing up AFL was always my no.1 sport especially given I was lucky enough to grow up a few blocks from Carlton’s home ground, Princes Park, where I was lucky enough to attend many games. That’s where my passion for sport began but it was until the early 2000’s when I discovered a real passion for football with the Socceroos 2002 World Cup qualifiers against Uruguay accelerating my football journey. From there I began to follow the Premier League and haven’t looked back since. These days I’m a massive Tottenham fan where I’ve enjoyed many sleepless nights religiously watching them without missing a game despite many roller coaster feelings. There’s just something magical and glamorous when you watch the EPL and knowing the Profits owners Drew and Euan through studies, I’m now lucky enough to be able to share my thoughts on each game each week of the season.

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