Welcome to The Profits preview for Moonee Valley on 2 December 2016. Tonight we take a look at two races that clearly standout on my ratings with horses well over the correct odds. We start with the 955m race where there is a handy one returning from 22 weeks rest coming off a poor campaign on wet tracks. It gets a dry track today and from the barrier will get every chance to finish off over the top like the horse showed in it’s first prep. We then get to the best of the night in the last with a front runner that maps perfectly from an inside barrier off what will be a rail position that is made to suit. Good luck tonight and we will be back again on Saturday to hopefully land a few good bets. As always I hope your form matches up with mine. Good luck and happy punting.
Best Bet
Moonee Valley Race 8 – Top Me Up – 3 units @ $3.6 to win
Best Value Bet
Moonee Valley Race 5 – Bel Chandon – 1 unit Each-Way @ $9.5/$3.10
Tools
Skyracing (TAB) form guide – this is what we use for the basics – http://www.skyracing.com.au
Speedmaps and form from Punters – http://www.punters.com.au/form-guide/
Follow Racing Victoria Stewards on twitter for tactic changes, track conditions and ride reports
I find all of the best early odds at www.bestodds.com.au
Our results are updated daily here – Betting Spreadsheet
Index
Red means Top pick. Blue means second pick and Green refers to a saver pick. Orange means the pick looks value.
Moonee Valley Race 5 – 955m – Inglis 55 Second Challenge Heat 7
The 955m races have been a little hard to predict as of late, but there is a runner here that was a star as a 2YO based on times and has the ability to push further forward than speed maps suggest and will have every chance today.
This horse is Bel Chandon. The horse never handled any of the soft tracks last prep and that prep ahs to be put behind the horse. 22 weeks between runs, expect her to be more than good enough fresh today and she has the sectionals from the first 2YO prep to put this field away in the space of 100m. Can win the race from anywhere.
Confidence 80%
Strategy: Bel Chandon – 1 unit Each-Way @ $9.5/$3.10
Moonee Valley Race 8 – 1200m – William Hill Handicap
There are several decent horses in this race but only two or three that will ever measure up going forward in higher classes than this. Two of those map out the back in Lady Selkirk who will be heavily underdone coming into this race and just here for a look around and See what I Bring wanting much further.
Top Me Up is the clear standout based on mapping on a rail that will certainly suiting the on speeders today. Top Me Up has been racing well this prep and is back to the lowest grade all prep… from barrier 3 and with Dylan Dunn onboard, He can be ridden to lead, sit outside the leader if someone speeds over or simply take a sit just off the back of the leaders and will be very well suited here. The last start run was an ideal lead in and the price is more than good enough to bet.
Confidence 85%
Strategy: Top Me Up – 3 units @ $3.6 to win
