Goodwood Carnival 2017 Day 4

Horse Racing - Australia

Welcome to The Profits preview for Day 3 of the Goodwood Carnival. The rain has arrived on Day 3 of the Goodwood Carnival as expected and it’s hard to imagine the ground firming up to be better than a Soft to Heavy track for Day 4. There is just one race on the day that gives us the right types of horses and ratings to bet and we are very confident . Looking forward to continuing the Day 3 momentum. I hope your form matches up with mine. Good luck and happy punting.

Best Bet
Goodwood Race 1 – Poet’s Word – 3 units @ $3.25 to win.

Tools
Skyracing (TAB) form guide – this is what we use for the basics – http://www.skyracing.com.au
Speedmaps and form from Punters – http://www.punters.com.au/form-guide/
Follow Racing Victoria Stewards on twitter for tactic changes, track conditions and ride reports
I find all of the best early odds at www.odds.com.au
Our results are updated daily here – Betting Spreadsheet

Index
Red means Top pick. Blue means second pick and Green refers to a saver pick. Orange means the pick looks value.

Goodwood Race 1 – 1600m – Betfred Glorious Stakes
Two clear standouts from their past runs in Frontiersman and Poet’s Word both recording 136 and 137 Timeform ratings in recent runs. No rating higher than 131 has won in the past 5 years so this is a very big rating race.
Frontiersman, as long as the Irish bred bloke can put it all together will be hard to beat if has the same turn of foot on a wet track.
Poet’s Word has been going well recently with a Goodwood win as a few close shaves. Last start ran a 134 and has to be respected.
No other runner has gone beyond 131 Timeform Rating in the past, nor are their best runs on very wet.

Comments: Happy to back both favourites and hope something doesn’t improve 5-6 points. Back both favs.
Confidence 90%
Strategy: Frontiersman – 3 units @ $4.10 to win. Poet’s Word – 3 units @ $3.25 to win.

Goodwood Race 4 – 1600m – Qatar King George Stakes
Final Venture ran very well last start over much shorter. Career peak. Has to improve again the issue.
Profitable comes off a 137 timeform rating on a firm track last start and the rain won’t exactly be well received.
Take Cover and Washington DC on their days can clearly take this out.
Battaash comes in with a huge 138+ Timeofrm Rating. Looks a nice progressive type

Comments: Race wide open.. too wide open for my liking.
Confidence 50%
Strategy: None

 

Author

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The Profits

The Profits was first created in 2010 as a hub for owners Drew and Euan to share their knowledge. Since then, our team has expanded over the years, and we now have eight individual writers now employed to share their knowledge on specific sports. “Surround yourself with the dreamers and the doers, the believers and thinkers, but most of all, surround yourself with those who see the greatness within you, even when you don’t see it yourself.”

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