Horse Racing Form – Cranbourne – Friday October 19

Horse Racing - Australia

What a Guineas day we had with our two best bets getting in with ease. We had a big of luckless running with Lord Wimble just missing out on a place which would have given us an even better day. This is our quick and dirty form guide Cranbourne. Our quick and dirty last week found a $70 winner put on top in the last. No pressure at all for this week right? Good luck and we hope you pick a winner!

Best Bet
Race 5 More Black Magic

Best Value
Race Tayla Lee

Tools
Skyracing (TAB) form guide – this is what we use – http://www.skyracing.com.au
Speedmaps and form from Punters Paradise – http://www.puntersparadise.com.au/form-guide/
Watch previous runs here – http://bigpondvideo.com/Horse_Racing
Follow Racing Victoria Stewards on twitter for tactic changes, track conditions and ride reports

Red means Top pick. Blue means second pick and Green refers to a saver pick. Orange means a speculation pick.

Cranbourne Race 1
Cracked seems to be safely held off the 58kg today and need to improve 4-5L.
Danger Close was better first up this prep and isn’t the worst in the race.
Ludus Magnus trailed well and out of the Moody Yard gives some hopes.
Quick Spur trial was poor.
Rickelva a complete unknown here. All four older siblings have won a maximum of $42,000 so the breeding doesn’t show anything special.
The Unexpected is certainly one to follow here. Unlucky second up when slowly away and could win here today.
Wild Erp was fairly impressive first up last Sunday. Could run better on a better condition ground today.
Cavallino Rampante ran 2nd in a barrier trial. The half-brother out of fastnet rock hasn’t produced much.
Easy to Look At has met some fairly classy horses its last two starts but is still outclassed here.
Thanks a Million didn’t seem to handle the ground last start but if dead or better should go much better off the first run form.
Confidence 65%

Cranbourne Race 2
Copper Vision has gone very close a number of times but just can’t break through. A few months off and could be rock hard fit to win here. Placed 2 from 3 first up.
Kalashani out of Bel Esprit ran a solid race last start but looks held at the weight.
Swiss Flyer an unknown off a five month break. Ran strongly two back over the 1400m. Suspect may be wanting more than the 1200m.
Tap In Birdie can go close today. Times are fairly solid.
Lava Girl on times can’t win this but has gone close recently and if slowly ran will go close.
You have to spec the first up Price runner here in More Than a Dream out of More Than Ready. Breeding has no form lines but if you are betting, it has to be this one.
Confidence 70%

Cranbourne Race 3
The Tyrannt will appreciate up in distance but off this weight is held.
Boltonian keeps missing the start but if jumps well has a shot here off last start form.
Glamour Planet needs to improve big time on last two runs for a shot here. Happy to be on others.
Niarchos a big no on recent form.
Catawampus has the ability on it’s maiden win but not shown anything since. Five months off.. could have trained on well.
Kempside suited by back in class again and down in distance I suspect. Horrible first up record is the only concern never placing from 5 first up (4th last start).
Classic Flavour was decent first up last start. Price yard so they know what they are doing. More than a month off, could have improved big time and that’s why they are looking here.
Miasheeny Ruby can be forgiven for last start and comes in with 1 win 1 second previous to that in class.
The run of Orianthi was enough last start to make you think could go ok.
Confidence 70%

Cranbourne Race 4
Black Booker is certainly not one.
Chiox De Fleur’s run last prep was solid but first up was horrible. Did not handle the slow and could be forgiven. Looks like it may be suited but weight hurts.
Irresistible disappointing last start.
Mightier’s breeding form lines chuck up nothing impressive today. Backs up unimpressive trial.
Mucho Caliente weighted well with claim and if trained on be very hard to beat.
Cerastium consistant and will run a solid race once again.
Misscatelli is certainly near the top here today. Close 2nd first up and will improve on the run.
Moreau will go close. Got class in the breeding.
Confidence 70%

Cranbourne Race 5
The form around Chiquada is super. Beat Seven Degrees who jumped a VERY short priced favourite last start and won easily. 60kg is very harsh a penalty here but could win off that.
Junction Spur improved big time last start but looks held here off weight.
Miss Del toro could find a strong run here also.
Charming Sophie looks to be going backwards but a complete unknown off the heavy tracks.
Dance for Cash has been in strong form. Will be there at the end.
Forgive last start of Coupe Express where unlucky and didn’t like the Slow. Go better today.
This is a massive step back in class for More Black Magic. When you consider was running behind Sea Siren three back. Will be swooping late but off 56kg is weighted to win.
Confidence 80%
Quaddie leg one: 1, 5, 8

Cranbourne Race 6
A super interesting race. You Think So is the quality in the race carrying a massive 61.5kg. Ignore last start and look to two previous runs. Seemed to not handle the Sydney way of going. On last two starts can go very close here. This is a huge step down in class.
Taxi Joe is a massive threat. Won very well last two starts in decent times and will get a nice run once again.
Not sure what to make of Eleuther. The form behind Callanish seemed solid but then disappointed last start. Suspect will handle the extra distance.
Confidence 75%
Quaddie leg two: 1, 5, 6

Cranbourne Race 7
Endless Pleasure off last two runs seems to be wanting the longer distances and steps up again here. Off the last start can win.
Stab Pass needs to improve here but will enjoy the distance.
Irish Kingdom showed enough first up to be a chance here.
King’s A Star will go very close if produces similar run to last start.
Lizawi has the quality to run well here but last two runs not enough in the tank.
Tayla Lee times too slow last start over the 1600m but previous run was super so on a faster pace a big chance. Hope they take a sit.
Confidence 60%
Quaddie leg three: 1, 6, 7, 10

Cranbourne Race 8
So much class coming into the final race of the day.
Adams Bell looks harshly weighted.
Danz Boy never won second up and needs to produce previous form. Better over longer.
Le Bonsir has ability but never won second up and had troubles getitng back.
Lonhreign good run last start behind Prizum. On that run goes close here but needs longer IMO.
Western Hero strong form lines coming here from Tasmania. Go close for sure.
Beckon has runs ome nice timed runs but needs to improve.
Captivating Lady needs to run faster times.
Stardom solid form lines here. If improves off first run wins this.
Dimi the Dancer strong all three runs this start. Barrier 3 suits and go close once again.
Redangelo has super form lines coming into this but certainly needs to improve.
Zerosixhundred 2L behind Prosir in maiden is strong form. Good win last start but needs to keep going on.
Confidence 60%
Quaddie leg four: 7, 11, 13, 15

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The Profits

The Profits was first created in 2010 as a hub for owners Drew and Euan to share their knowledge. Since then, our team has expanded over the years, and we now have eight individual writers now employed to share their knowledge on specific sports. “Surround yourself with the dreamers and the doers, the believers and thinkers, but most of all, surround yourself with those who see the greatness within you, even when you don’t see it yourself.”

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