Horse Racing Form – Moonee Valley – Friday 14 December

Horse Racing - Australia

Welcome to another Moonee Valley Friday night form! Wednesday at Caulfield was a very low confidence day with many trashy runners going around and there were surprises all over the place. Our best of the day won at $3.40 by a handy 4.5 lengths which was a nice backup from Waratones $6.50 win on the weekend as our best bet. We are building up a bit of a streak and hope to improve on it today. A tough card combined with weather conditions at Moonee Valley has meant no confidence levels over 80%. Bet with caution in many of the races! As always, we hope our form matches up with yours. Good luck and happy punting!

Best Bet
Race 4 Vizhaka

Next Best
Race 7 Adjuster

Best Value
Race 6 Angelic Lass

Tools
Skyracing (TAB) form guide – this is what we use – http://www.skyracing.com.au
Speedmaps and form from Punters Paradise – http://www.puntersparadise.com.au/form-guide/
Watch previous runs here – http://bigpondvideo.com/Horse_Racing
Follow Racing Victoria Stewards on twitter for tactic changes, track conditions and ride reports

Red means Top pick. Blue means second pick and Green refers to a saver pick. Orange means a speculation pick.

Moonee Valley Race 1
Denison: Don’t like the Noseband on for first run. Market is the guide.
Mr Keith: Very poor form lines. Happy to avoid.
Bel Seal: Strong breeding Moody/Nolen runner. Market will tell you to back or not.
Bern Bee: Didn’t show anything either prep. Hard to see him improving enough to win today.
Great Game: Very young first run and should have improved today. On previous form can win.
Perfect Parma: Didn’t show enough in barrier trial first up.
Stereosonic: Market only guide. Barrier 12 surely a disadvantage.
Honeymoon Cruise: On first up run doesn’t have enough ability. May surprise and have trained on.
You’re So Good: Market only guide. Claim may help.
Peace of Heaven: Doesn’t look good enough on form.
Confidence 0% after scratchings

Moonee Valley Race 2
Apres: Big win last start in equal class. Up 2.5kg today and up 450m from last run. Will get another strong ride from Bossy and will be very hard to beat today.
Richoman: Disappointing run last start and unknown how will run over the 2500m today. Suspect will be suited.
Jelly Belly: Not been good enough this prep to win today.
Rock Robster: Big win last start with a strong second previous run to Conferre. Has been on the improve and weighted nicely. Go close.
Onamissionfromgod: Has been progressing nicely with two strong wins at Kilmore. This looks to be a touch harder today but should run a solid race.
Ivory Cross: On last few runs looks a little outclassed today.
Well Primed: Very hard to find this horse racing without incident. Won a 4 horse race last start. Has ability but not up to this.
Confidence 75%

Moonee Valley Race 3
Hempstead: Fairly average over in New Zealand and hard to see winning today.
Jaja Mulu: Keeps putting in strong runs but will find this class hard today.
Kulamani: Looks like a toss at the stumps up in distance today. 3kg claim will help but up against it.
Origato: Will find this a little too classy today.
Prince Calaf: Not the worst in the race and weighted ok today. Has some ability and likes a long distance race.
Tristram’s Sun: Showed enough last start to suggest has a chance today.
Gingerboy: Cracking form behind Emergency Ward last start and up in distance should suit. Looks set here.
Red Hot Rum: Has the ability on last start run.
Cherry Dancer: Very strong first up almost winning and then last start behind Fortunefivehundred 2nd is strong form with him winning by an equal distance on Wednesday.
Karata: 2nd to a handy horse in tune out last start. Claim helps today and can win.
Miss Zenella: Strong first up run. Query on distance but from barrier 5 should get a good run.
Barely A Secret: Has some ability, but looks outclassed.
Confidence 70%

Moonee Valley Race 4
Danz Boy: 60kg again today and off previous three runs will find this very tough.
Murdoch’s Joy: On previous runs has the ability to run nicely today and has a 3 win 3 place at distance from 6 and 0 wins 2 places from 2 at track.. but was fairly poor last start in harder company. Could run very well.
Tube: On previous runs this prep, not good enough.. but from barrier 3 if repeats run of three back, does have a chance.
Vizhaka: Has been super all prep. Won a very fast run race here last start with similar weight. Suited from barrier 3 to get a charmed run. Hard to beat today.
Classic Elle: Strong runs the last three starts but each time has fallen 1L short. Up in class today and up in distance (never won at this distance). Will be a little far back for my liking.
Cosentino: Good win two back but looks outclassed on last start. Claim may help.
Freshwater Storm: Progressive last two starts winning very well in much lesser company. Can run well today.
Darwin: Outclassed on first up run. Looking for longer.
Gnarly: Meets Vizhaka better off at the weights today but has to make up 2L. Won’t get as good a run from outside Vizhaka today. Has ability.
Confidence 80%

Moonee Valley Race 5
Avionics: Never won first up from 7 starts. On previous form does go very well at shorter distances. Off 58kg is suited here but needs to have trained on.
Bolisimo Moss: Very strong run first up at the Valley and then also a good strong run last start at Flemington. Will be a little too far back but will be coming late.
Kisrak: On previous form lines, happy to be against today. Will be going forward again and may look the winner.. but will die late.
Lady Antebellum: Beat home And Rock last start who ran in this same company last start worse off at the weights and finished a close 2nd. Form lines look very sound today and off 52kg Lady Antebellum will be shooting home late. Would love for them to sit a little more forward today.
Hadronica: Ran a good time over course and distance last start. Will find it hard from barrier 8 to get a good position but has the ability to win if at best.
Peninsula Dane: Can’t win on previous runs.. but happy to ignore last start when went all the way back. Has ability but not best weighted today.
Confidence 75%
Quaddie leg one: 2, 5, 8

Moonee Valley Race 6
Angelic Lass: Progressive this prep. Won by 9L on a slow track three back and has won 3 of 4 this prep with a 0.5L off winning in a very fast run 1300m when not at the front. Can win today!
Dashalot: Not good enough this prep even though down in class.
Atlas Rising: Consistent and keeps putting in solid runs. Back down to this class today has a chance as long as jumps well.
Love the Moment: Good first up run and has won previously second up. Weighted nicely but has to improve again.
Motto’s Gem: Ran on strongly behind Rose Pattern at Caulfield. More suitable race today and has a chance.
Aliberani: Good second up record coming out of a slowly run race. Will find it hard to get a gap today is the only issue.
Koe: Up 3.5kg today after close 2nd to Secret Liaison last start at Course who has since won again. One of the chances but barrier 16 hurts.
Oriental Ruby: Progressive and finally got the win last start. Meets a few who has beaten her here today.. Interesting runner who will be on rails near the back.
Princess Toshi: Looks safely held on previous form at this weight.
Family Crest: Needs to find much more today to win. Has some ability but happy to be against.
Itsmycall: Out of Thorn Park over from New Zealand. Won very well last start and will position forward and be given every chance.
Grecian Melody: Poor last start over the 1300m. This may be a little better class today but on times looks a little out of it.
Spelldancer: Not good enough on previous runs.
Minnie Downs: Super form lines from last two runs. Only issue is will be far back and on the rails.
Girl Gone Rockin: Has the ability to go close.
Confidence 80%
Quaddie leg two: 2, 6, 7, 8, 12

Moonee Valley Race 7
Soapy Star: 3L behind Office Bearer last start isn’t terrible form lines. Looks suited today and will go close.
Under The Leaner: Down in class today but off 59kg looks a tad outclassed.
Adjuster: Big win first up and can improve on again today. Can go forward today if they feel like it and will be very hard to run down. This is certainly a much harder race than last start.
Swipeline: Running strongly in Adelaide but has to find a little more today up to this distance.
Beaumaris: Looks outclassed on previous runs and will be coming from the back.
General Groove: Will need to get a strong run to have a chance today. Happy to be agianst after backing last time here.
It’s Fred: Good win last start in much easier company. Has to find a lot more today.
SkyHost: Needs to find a lot more today. Outclassed.
WIngara: Outclassed on previous runs.
Danger Close: Outclassed on last start win.
Lingo: Didn’t show enough as favourite at sale first up.
Confidence 75%
Quaddie leg three: 1, 4

Moonee Valley Race 8
Al Jandar: Down in class but off 60kg is outclassed here.
Beauty Cash: Ran well last start but much harder race here today off the weight. Can’t have.
Road To Summer: Ran well first up but has to find much more today. Not sure has the ability to win this.
Danlight Dancer: Competing in very easy races and this is MUCH harder. Has shown some ability but can’t have.
Cum Dividend: Last two runs have been solid but may get trapped on the trails too far back today.
Planet King: Walked them around winning first up from the front. Can run well again today but not sure can handle a strong pace.
Rockshaft: Has the ability to win today but has to improve on previous runs once again.
Set To Run: Weighted a little harshly today. Has the ability to win and will be pushed forward from barrier 2.
Smackdown: Big win last start leading start to finish. Barrier 1 means will go forward once again.
Power Plant: Looks outclassed on previous runs.
Gracie Louise: Very strong runs last prep and could improve again coming back today.
Roxit: Strong form lines last start and ran nice first up. Needs to find another length.
Hludowig: On previous form will find this tough.
Praesentia: Has ability. Don’t dismiss today but seems to be wanting further.
Ethicist: Looks outclassed.
Confidence 65%
Quaddie leg four: 8, 9, 10, 12, 13

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Author

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The Profits

The Profits was first created in 2010 as a hub for owners Drew and Euan to share their knowledge. Since then, our team has expanded over the years, and we now have eight individual writers now employed to share their knowledge on specific sports. “Surround yourself with the dreamers and the doers, the believers and thinkers, but most of all, surround yourself with those who see the greatness within you, even when you don’t see it yourself.”

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