Horse Racing Form – Sandown, Rosehill, Eagle Farm and Morphetville – Saturday 17 November

Horse Racing - Australia

Welcome to The Profits form for Sandown. We had a very enjoyable night last night at Moonee Valley with our best bet getting home. We are hoping to improve on that and the two best bets winning last Saturday by tipping some good prices up today in our best and also in the value markets. We are looking to be very cautious early to see how the track plays out and to then go from there. Good luck as always, I hope your form matches up against ours and happy punting!

*Racecard*
Download our one page PDF Racecard here.

Best Bet
Sandown R7 Tatra

Next Best
Sandown R2 Meidung

Sydney Best
Rosehill Race 6 McClintock

Best Value
Sandown R9 Bonaria
Sandown R4 Grey Assignment

Best Lays
Sandown Race 3 Verdant
Sandown Race 4 Strike The Stars
Sandown Race 5 Raspberries
Sandown Race 6 Tanby
Sandown Race 9 Angel of Mercy

Tools
Skyracing (TAB) form guide – this is what we use – http://www.skyracing.com.au
Speedmaps and form from Punters Paradise – http://www.puntersparadise.com.au/form-guide/
Watch previous runs here – http://bigpondvideo.com/Horse_Racing
Follow Racing Victoria Stewards on twitter for tactic changes, track conditions and ride reports

Red means Top pick. Blue means second pick and Green refers to a saver pick. Orange means a speculation pick.

Sandown Race 1
Churchill Dancer: Half-sister has been useless. Happy to avoid on this form.
Honor The Moment: Market your only guide.
Inafrenzy: Can’t win off that trial run.
Resistant: Half-Brother not shown much at all. Market a guide. Out of Price yard is always a plus.
Sidestep: Half-Brother to Skilled and Ambidexter. Snowden yard with Mc Evoy booked for the ride. All those factors are very very strong here today. Owned by Shiekh Mohammad.
Bulbula: Market only guide.
Purrific: A brave second to Villa Verde who we expect to go on and be one of the Blue Diamond fancies. Will run very well today.
Confidence 70%
Strategy: Not sure how the ground will be working out today so not going over the top here. 1.5 units Purrific 0.5 units Sidestep.

Sandown Race 2
Angelic Light: Not suited last start when a very strong pace was on out front. Looked a little lost on the long straight. May simply be a 1200m horse on the straight. Up 1.5kg today.
Armed for Action: On first three runs this prep looks outclassed. Need to find something that doesn’t look like the horse has.
Meidung: Got a bit further back than the owners may have liked last start and boxed on well for 4th. Finished 4.3L off but that was in behind some very special horses and there was a big gap to the other 10 behind. Big chance today.
Thunder Rain: Strong form three back infront of Maluti and ran on very gamely last start getting passed near the line to finish 2nd 0.2L. Simply ignore run two back when slowly away and is a massive chance today.
Coins: Blocked for run last start and form behind Mosse Diva seems to be solid from two back run. This does look an equally hard task today but could surprise.
Family Portrait: Ran on well last start in much easier company and two back beaten 2.3L by Angelic Light. Meets 5KG better off today.
Mrs Gray: Strong first up run 2.5L off Angelic Light from the back at Moonee Valley. On form lines has a big chance today if trained on from that run.
Whitten’s Delight: Strong form lines with a huge 3L win last start in easier company. From barrier 1 will get the run of the race and if you ignore two back run where just simply got too far back at the valley, has a big chance.
Amarachi: Sat dead last at Flemington last time out and put in a very big run. Will be doing that once again today but hopefully improves. Form behind Medusa’s Miss is strong.
Kukla: Nice win in maiden form. Looks to have improved from first prep.
Hazard: Beat Angelic Light in maiden company last prep. Looks to be an ok horse but outclassed today.
Confidence 85%
Strategy:
Very keen on Meidung here and Amarachi should be hitting the line hard. 4 units Meidung 1 unit Amarachi.

Sandown Race 3
Ironstein: Ran a very brave second to Puissance De Lune. Just keeps finding some very good horses but looks suited today up in distance. Hard to hold out from barrier 8.
Ususal Suspect: Too poor to win here.
Ibicenco: Blocked for run last start and hit the line very hard. Weighted super today and will be hitting the line hard.
Reuben Percival: Ran well last two starts. Win wouldn’t shock today but should find a few too good for it.
Fictional Account: Disappointing last start. Can’t back here today even though will be suited by extra distance.
Verdant: Got the ride of the race last start to ‘steal’ the win from Garud. Has the ability to win again but this is a big step up in class.
I’m Jake: Gone backwards last two starts and can’t have today.
Spechenka: Looks like he is at the end of his prep. Can’t back today.
Back in Black: Ran on strongly in the Kyneton Cup behind Streets Away but is surely outclassed here.
Crafty Cruiser: Got unlucky last two starts but won’t measure up in this class either way.
Miss With Attitude: Outclassed on form.
Akzar: Good run last start at the Valley but very disappointing last start. Doesn’t measure up here.
Confidence 80%
Strategy: Really liked the run of Ibicenco last start. Should be set to win here today. Ibicenco 2.5 units to win.

Sandown Race 4
Grey Assignment: Super strong effort last start at Flemington when looked the winner 50 out (I even fist pumped) to get done on the line. Last five runs either won or been 0.2L or less off the win. Will be brave once again and go close.
Shewan: Rates poorly in this race and on form lines can’t win.
Invest: Ran on very well behind Appearance at Flemington and will appreciate the extra 200m. May still need longer.
Star of Giselle: Won 3 in a row with only loss this prep at course by 0.4L. Never ran this distance before but from barrier 2 should get run of race and be leading at the 200m mark.
Eclair Surprise: Big win last start. 1.5KG worse off today compared to Grey Assignment which looks the distance. Will be flashing to the line late but on weight can’t be on him.
Strike the Stars: Very average first two runs this prep but ran on well last start in much easier company. Trifecta chance.
Ulundi: Rates too poorly on previous runs to win today.
Tai Tai Tess: Overly hyped horse. Hasn’t shown enough this prep.
Kasane: Big win last start at Flemington turning around her form. Sat further forward and was suited. Could run well again today.
Niconoise: Good win at Flemington last start. Much harder today but has the ability to run close.
Confidence 80%
Strategy:
Grey Assignment is a value price here today. We can either go all in on Grey Assignment to win and saver the main threat Star of Giselle or go large for place and small win. The longer term profitable strategy is the second option. 1.5 Units to win 3 Units to place on Grey Assignment.

Sandown Race 5
Raspberries: Nice run second last start in weaker company. Weighted harshly today but can improve.
Mr Make Believe: Hard to place this prep. Won’t appreciate the long straight but has been scratched a few times trying to find a winable race. Watch closely the money if starts.
Lord Pyrus: First up run wasn’t horrible but didn’t look suited by the flemington straight. Much better second up record, goes ok at the track and better at distance. Should run well.
Jungle Ruler: No.
Mahisara: Jumped well last start and was super game to the line. Form franked by Under The Sun winning from three back run. Expect to be there at the line.
Mister Milton: Hard to place. Was a very good run last start and down 2kg today. Could sneak a place.
Morant: Given a forward run last start and didn’t look suited. Will run well again today and just miss once again. Must have in all f4s.
Lord Wimble: Ran on well behind Lord of Brazil last start but does look held here today.
Potions: Outclassed
Beacons: Looks outclassed but on times could run a very solid race.
Confidence 75%
Strategy: Mahisara
2 Units to win. Lord Pyrus 0.5 Units to win.

Sandown Race 6
Mourayan: Has been running well up in Sydney and ran on well for 7th in the Melbourne Cup. 1 win from 9 at distance and 1 win from 12 at class. Will go close.
Precedence: Produced more than expected in the Melbourne Cup. Never won in this class before but has won 3 times at distance. Could run very well.
Tanby: Outclassed here today on weights
He’s Hot To Trot: Will run well but outclassed on weights.
Garud: Will run well once again but is outclassed on weights.
Umatic: Outclassed
Exceptionally: Has been on the verge of breaking through this prep and looks suited today by the WFA conditions. Will go very close today.
Dame Claire: Game as always last start and will keep running well today. Does look outclassed on weights and previous runs.
Rawnaq: Big run in the Derby no doubt but this is a BIG step up today. Is weighted well but will struggle to reach them.
Confidence 75%
Quaddie leg one: 1, 7, 8, 9
Strategy: Very keen on Exceptionally but just keeps finding a few to beat him. Looks set today but am much happier with the place price. 3 Units to place 1 Unit to win on Exceptionally.

Sandown Race 7
Tatra: Super unlucky last start doing a lot of work early to get across and was brave to the line. Meets Lunar Rise 1kg better off today which should be the difference.
Lunar Rise: Brave to the line last start and will be again. Up against it on weights but still a big threat.
Dances On Stars: Needs to find much more than he has shown the last two starts
Proverb: Good late run but needs to find another length or two today.
Eximius: Good win at Flemington but this is a step up in class of field today. Unknown if suited at 1600 or not.
Flying Skipper: Up 2kg today after winning a very strongly run race. Will find this much harder.
Al Aneed: Got found out last start and not better weighted today.
Edgewood: Slowly away all three starts. Weighted well today but this is a very hard race.
Timely Truce: Should run well but this looks a step up again today.
Hunger: Won well last start but needs to improve again today.
Right to Roam: Blocked for run last start. Could run well today if gets out and runs up to run three back.
Gold Medals: Disappointing 3rd last start. Needs to improve today to win this.
Just Forget It: Outclassed
Host Of The Party: Ran well last start but looks outclassed today.
Cracked: Outclassed
Moreau: Weighted nicely and could run very well today.
Confidence 85%
Quaddie leg two: 1, 2, 16
Strategy: Tatra weighted to win today. Tatra 5 units to win.

Sandown Race 8
Chasm: Looking for further than this distance. Weighted poorly.
Danzylum: No.
Rockpecker: Never won in this class or second up. Could sit further forward today and run well but doesn’t rate well enough.
Hot Snitzel: Ran quite well last start but this seems to be another hard task. Should put in a good run.
Thankgodyou’rehere: Off weights needs to find a few more lengths. Hard task today.
Under The Eiffel: Won 3 from 3 at track but looks outclassed today on first up run.
Sadalbari: No.
Shout Out Loud: One ot watch if the money comes. Has some very strong form lines and has been off 9 months.
Highly Recommended: Never won at distance but has certainly gone close. Looks harshly treated off weights.
Bolton: Outclassed here today at weights and looking for further.
Unpretentious: Super win first up at Flemington and can repeat that effort here today. Will be a lot harder with 59kg but two back run proved the weight shouldn’t be an issue.
Sheahan: Looks to be wanting longer than this distance and others better here.
Big Buddie: One of the big chances. Will be sitting forward today and if they don’t go hard out the front will be hard to hold out.
Mid Summer Music: Ran on strongly last start at Flemington and is suited at the distance. Will get a good run from barrier 7 and well treated at the weights.
Confidence 70%
Quaddie leg three: 4, 11, 14, 15
Strategy: Not overly confident on this race. 2 Units Unpretentious to win. 0.6 Units Mid Summer Music to win.

Sandown Race 9
Skyerush: Finally produced a decent run last start after threatening to go close a few times. Can go close again today but will probably find a few too good again.
Hi Belle: Very poor last three runs. Can’t have today.
Shannara: Can’t have due to very poor runs all three starts.
Angel of Mercy: Hasn’t shown enough this prep. Happy to be against.
Crucial: Should put in another solid run but on two runs this prep, needs to find 3L to win.
Cabernet: Strong run last start and could run another solid race today. Goes very well at this distance but won only 1 from 10 at class.
Sheila’s Star: Goes into the ‘jump off’ basket today. Too many chances given.
Classy Chloe: Better suited to shorter distances.
Bonaria: Big chance today. Just keeps producing promising late swoops in classy fields. From barrier 1 will get a very easy run and hopefully positions 1-2 lengths closer today and will be there flashing home.
New Beginning: Strong run late last start and could produce a much better run today. Still needs to find a fair bit.
Sharnee Rose: Finally got a win last start. Back to a much harder race again today. Will be pushing home hard as always.
Twilighting: Poor last start simply a forgive run. Better weighted today. Record against her at this class and distance.
Rahveel: Never won second up and only once from eight at distance. Looking for longer.
La Praline: Good win last start in Adelaide but this is much classier. Will find this tough.
Mabsam: Big run late last start. Up 1kg today and will be swooping hard.
Spot On Maggie: Ignore run two back and Maggie is simply over the odds today. Honey Flower franked the form winning at Flemington. Coming home hard late.
Confidence 75%
Quaddie leg four: 1, 9, 12, 13, 18, 19
Strategy: Open race so we are going wide. Been following Bonaria and Spot On Maggie for a long time. Both are due. Bonaria 2 units Each Way and Spot on Maggie 1.5 units to win.

Rosehill Race 1
Looks to be a race of two. Would have to tip the hat to the Waterhouse runner in Windjammer. Looks like a no bet race.

Rosehill Race 2
Three main chances in this race. Al Dragon 1.5kg worse off today than Bradman which makes him the favourite today from barrier 1 which will suit. The horse that could run well today is Chez Harmony.

Rosehill Race 3
Sessions super first up when injured during race and still won. Catskins meets him 3kg better off today which could be the difference. Will go close.

Rosehill Race 4
Open race with many chances. The stand out on weights is Scouting Wide who is weighted to win from barrier 4.

Rosehill Race 5
Another open race. Like the form lines of Maidel. Will go close again today. Could improve enough to win.

Rosehill Race 6
Going to be a great race. McClintock from barrier 4 will be the obvious speed in the race. Has the ability and should be pushing hard to win once again.

Rosehill Race 7
Interesting runner in this race in Maximus Gladiator. Has won first up previously and form around beating Reuben Percival and Planet Purple last prep is strong. Will go close today weighted well.

Rosehill Race 8
Paramount Pete ran on well last start for 4th at a huge price and has the ability to go one better today. Robl on board is a positive. Hopefully sits a little further forward today.

Eagle Farm Race 2
Cuddlesome
unlucky to get run down last start in a 1500m race ran in super fast time. Down 2kg today. Weighted to win.

Morphetville Race 4
Much easier race today for Texan Warney. Will get a very strong run and off 59kg today. Weighted to win at this class.

Morphetville Race 6
Juliet’s Princess
came back very very strong this prep. Will improve on again today.

Please Note:
All of the above are the opinions of the author and are not recommendations or advice. The author may not be taking every bet listed above. Bet at your own risk.
All of our information is provided free. If you want to show your support, if you are wanting to join a new bookmaker, please use our banners. Thanks.
Gamble Responsibly!

Author

mm

The Profits

The Profits was first created in 2010 as a hub for owners Drew and Euan to share their knowledge. Since then, our team has expanded over the years, and we now have eight individual writers now employed to share their knowledge on specific sports. “Surround yourself with the dreamers and the doers, the believers and thinkers, but most of all, surround yourself with those who see the greatness within you, even when you don’t see it yourself.”

Leave a Reply