Melbourne Cup 2023

Horse Racing - Australia

Welcome to what is now my 11th Melbourne Cup preview I’ve posted, previously on TheProfits website and now on the RacingWorldwide website! I love the International fields and the task of finding the winner in this race. This year we have Vauban the lightly raced jumper turned stayer installed as favourite off a reasonable middle-weight while the defending champion Gold Trip who is going better than last year on lead in goes up 1kg to hold top weight again. Have a great day on the punt and good luck!

What it takes to win or place in the Melbourne Cup the past five years ratings wise?

2022 Melbourne Cup – (125 Timeform Rating won the race – 123 prior to race for the horse)
1st – Gold Trip (57.5kg) – Recorded a Timeform 123 over 2400m as a career-best run in the Caulfield Cup. Improved to 125 to win this with a big weight.
2nd – Emissary (51.5kg) – Geelong Cup lead in 115 was key suggesting a big run here with a low weight. Regressed back to 109 and still ran 2nd. Shows that weights matter, but so does the horses ability to see out a tough run 3200m.
3rd – High Emocean (50kg) – Very low rating run – came in with 105 and ran to 103 on the day to still record a third. Shows how lacking in depth the race really was at the middle weights and even lower weights to an extent.

2021 Melbourne Cup – (127 Timeform Rating won the race – 123 prior to race for the horse) [PuntingForm -19.9 – Horse had run -13.7 best of previous five runs]
1st – Verry Elleegant (57kg) – Recorded a Timeform 123 over 2000m as a career-best heading into the Melbourne Cup and then ran Timeform 127 in this race to win.
2nd – Incentivise (57kg) – Put an insane Timeform 129 rating on the board in the Caulfield Cup and then went back to a 121 rating in this for 2nd.
3rd – Spanish Mission (57kg) – Came to Australia with a 121 Timeform rating and big weight to carry in this race. Ran to 120 for third.

2020 Melbourne Cup – (120 Timeform Rating won the race – 120 prior to race for the horse) [PuntingForm -17.6]
1st – Twilight Payment (55.5kg) – Came out to Melbourne with a 120 Timeform rating over 2800m on record. Only got 55.5kg and ran another 120 Timeform rating to win!
2nd – Tiger Moth (52.5kg) – Ran a 118+ Timeform Rating on lead-in. Measured up with a 122 career peak and still found one too good with the low weight.
3rd – Prince of Arran (54.5kg) – Career peak of 118 coming in and with 54.5kg ran 117+ storming home late.

2019 Melbourne Cup – (117 Timeform Rating won the race – 117 prior to race for the horse) [PuntingForm -7.1 – Horse had run -9.6 best of previous five runs]
1st – Vow and Declare (52kg) – Got in with as low weight down 5kg from the Caulfield cup with just 52kg. Won a packed finish slowly run Melb Cup. Timeform rating 117 leading in and matched it.
2nd – Prince of Arran (54kg) – Ran a 117 Timeform rating in the Geelong Cup and got in with 54kg. Only ran a 115 Timeform Rating, below his 118 best.
3rd – Il Paradiso (52.5kg) – Lightweight 3YO with 52.5kg. Ran huge from an impossible position in a race with no speed on. Had ran 119 on lead in prep. Ran 122 Timeform Rating.

2018 Melbourne Cup – (124 Timeform Rating won the race – 124+ prior to race for the horse) [PuntingForm -16.9]
1st – Cross Counter (51kg) – Genuine tempo on in the race setup perfectly Cross Counter with just 51kg. Had previous ran 124+ Timeform Rating at Goodwood over 2400m. Matched it at 3200m ridden cold.
2nd – Marmelo (55kg) – On lead-in had run 120 Timeform Rating. Hasn’t gone beyond that since apart from 123 in this race with 55kg. #unlucky in race.
3rd – Prince of Arran (53kg) – Ran career peak of 118 on lead in run. Got in with just 53kg but 3 days between runs only ran 115 off the hot tempo.

As you will note, most 3YOs have to perform a little higher Timeform Rating wise due to the scales they are given. An older horse with the same weight – say 52.5kg – will have to run a few points less on the TF Rating.

2023 Melbourne Cup Preview

Speed Predictions

Serpentine last year led the field around in what was a STRONG tempo contest. The horse wasn’t used early but slowly rolled before the first turn to take the lead and never let off the gas. He won’t be able to do that this year from Barrier 1, he will have to get pushed out and start the pace rolling early and attempt to settle – if they even try and lead as they have taken a sit all prep. There are about 5 other horses that will attempt to be right on speed or lead but none are looking to set a super hot tempo. What really set the tempo on fire last year was Knights Order making a move at the 900m making it a genuine tempo. Is there a horse that wants to go early and make this a true staying test with Knights Order not here today? Will it be only fairly run and a sprint home from the 1000m? God I love this race and this year’s speed map isn’t as simple as past years. I’d note that since making my Speed Map the trainer/owners of the Japanese horse Breakup have suggested they may also roll forward.

1. Gold Trip (58.5kg) – Barrier 2

Jockey: James McDonald
Gear Change: Blinkers OFF
Timeform Rating: 126
Expected Settle Position: Off midfield. Most likely on the rails.
Lead in form: 5th Cox Plate, 3rd Caulfield Cup, 1st Turnbull Stakes
Analysis: Massive win in the Turnbull running to 125+ Timeform. Then in the Caulfield Cup couldn’t have done anything more at the weights with such a hot speed on running to 126. Won last year running to 125. This looks a hotter race than last year with the runners he has to fight off. That being said, Gold Trip is going even better than last year. Barrier 2 is ideal as long as he doesn’t have horses stopping and falling back into his lap late. If he finds the rails hopes go down a fair bit, so hope J Mac can give a gem and keep him off the rails. Wants to be working into it with 600m to go. If the storms come late, we launch.
Expected Finishing Position: 3rd

2. Alenquer (56.5kg) – Barrier 9

Jockey: Damien Oliver
Gear Change: Blinkers (Near Side) OFF first time
Timeform Rating: 111 (was 124 in UK in 2022)
Expected Settle Position: Midfield to off midfield.
Lead in form: 11th Underwood, 5th Caulfield Stakes, 9th Moonee Valley Cup
Analysis: Mixed it with the very best in the world in the UK, Dubai and now in Australia. Was rated at his highed to 124 Timeform which is why he is so poorly weighted here today with 56.5kg. Group 1 winner of the Gold Cup over 2100m at the Curragh. 6th in the Sheema Classic beating home Hukum on the day. 9th in the 2022 Arc. Handles all conditions. Failed both autumn runs in Australia. Poor first up in Underwood from on speed. Better in the Caulfield Stakes but Vow and Declare pantsed him from the same position in run. Last start at Moonee Valley snagged from the wide gate to last and was held up and ran on okay never really tested out. A win would obviously shock here, but if he runs to his best (questionable as he has been over 13 rating points off that and first time 3200m), he can obviously win. I can’t see it.
Expected Finishing Position: 19th

3. Without A Fight (56.5kg) – Barrier 16

Jockey: Mark Zahra
Gear Change: None
Timeform Rating: 124
Expected Settle Position: Off midfield to out the back
Lead in form: 1st Caulfield Cup, 6th Underwood Stakes, 13th Melbourne Cup 2022 (Doesn’t handle soft tracks)
Analysis: Career peak off the hot tempo last start in the Caulfield Cup improving from 116+ Timeform to 124. Will settle back from Barrier 16 and have to circle the field or be ridden for luck to win this. Questionable if he is actually a 3200m horse based on the run last year. He may just be a 2400m. But if there isn’t a massive speed on that will be ideal for him. Fairly given a weight increase from the Caulfield Cup win. Gets the track conditions he wants today to find out. Any late rain before the race will hurt chances, even if its only a few mm.
Expected Finishing Position: 5th

4. Breakup (55.0kg) – Barrier 18

Jockey: Kohei Matsuyama
Gear Change: None
Timeform Rating: 117
Expected Settle Position: Midfield to infront of midfield
Lead in form: 8th Caulfield Cup, 12th Takarazuka Kinen, 4th Tenno Sho (SPRING)
Analysis: Ran to 114 last start in Japan in June and then came out and over what I feel was the unsuitable 2400m ran a fair 8th beaten 5.5L off a hot tempo. Up to the 3200m where you know he will stay. Must press forward from barrier 18 and will try settle 4-5 back off the pace similar to Vow and Declare and a few others. Big chance of getting caught 3-wide the trip. Has looked to have improved work-wise as well on the lead in.
Expected Finishing Position: 6th

5. Vauban (55.0kg) – Barrier 3

Jockey: Ryan Moore
Gear Change: None
Timeform Rating: 119
Expected Settle Position: On Speed
Lead in form: 1st Ballyroan Stakes, 1st Copper Horse Handicap
Analysis: Start with the Negatives. This is a Group 3 winner, that’s it, not a Group 1 winner, Not placed in a Group 1, a Group 3 winner… with 55kg in a top-level Melbourne Cup. His 7.5L romp was in what i’ll call a listed level handicap at Ascot. None of the horses have gone onto win Group races outside of him. Even if we look at the Group 3 win next start and the horses behind him, the best form we saw was a Group 3 winner. Valiant King ran 2nd in that race and came to out Australia and was beaten 5 lengths in 6th in the Caulfield Cup with 50kg (please note he carried 56.70 kg (8-13) compared with Vauban’s 61.23 kg (9-9) – so they would have been on similar/equal marking in this race today. No change of weights. Now for the positives. Ran to 119+ (massive numbers) in the Listed level handicap 7.5L romp job at Ascot. Back in distance in G3 company ran 117 the next start. Did the romp job on a good track. Ratings-wise, if he can run up to that mark over the 3200m (the 119+) and extend, he will be very hard to beat. It’s rare you see a Group 3 winner given 55kg, it’s because of the times and way he has won. This is the ultimate testing material. Is he good enough to only get 3.5kg off Gold Trip? We will find out on Tuesday but give 3-5kg to other up-and-coming runners!
Expected Finishing Position: 2nd

6. Soulcombe (53.5kg) – Barrier 4

Jockey: Joao Moreira
Gear Change: Blinkers OFF First Time, Synthetic Hoof Filler OFF (went on for Caulfield Cup)
Timeform Rating: 119
Expected Settle Position: Misses the start and settles out the rear.
Lead in form: 7th Caulfield Cup (missed start 6L), 3rd Turnbull, 4th Underwood
Analysis: Can he jump with him? He has missed the start the last 5 runs and last start was 6L. This is a classic Betfair horse. You can back him if he jumps with them, you will get a similar price… but you know he is a chance if he settles midfield or better. Rated VERY well for the weight here. Will he see out the 3200m? The way he finished off in the Caulfield Cup suggests to be that he can. Drew the ideal barrier to find out.
Expected Finishing Position: 12th

7. Absurde (53.0kg) – Barrier 8

Jockey: Zac Purton
Gear Change: None
Timeform Rating: 114
Expected Settle Position: On Speed / Just off the Speed
Lead in form: 1st Ebor, 6th Hurdle, 2nd Ascot behind Vauban
Analysis: 3-wide the trip no cover in the Ebor on speed, got the A1 position on the outside rail and got the win with a good ride from Frankie. Previous start toweled up by Vauban at Ascot but made good ground from back in the field on that day. Will settle forward lightweight and should see out the distance. Meets Vauban 2kg better off for their last meeting at Ascot. Has been very well backed at Call of the Card and smashed on all totes. He was $30 prior to that. Ex Hurdler so will stay the 3200m.
Expected Finishing Position: 4th

8. Right You Are (53.0kg) – Barrier 15

Jockey: John Allen
Gear Change: None
Timeform Rating: 117
Expected Settle Position: Just off the speed.
Lead in form: 5th Caulfield Cup, 11th Turnbull, 5th Underwood
Analysis: Ran a really respectable 5th in the Caulfield Cup. Consistent type that will see out the distance. Awkward barrier will be trying to settle just off the pace similar to Vow and Declare. Only getting a few KG off some really good types makes it hard to win this. Top 10 looks very easy to obtain though.
Expected Finishing Position: 11th

9. Vow and Declare (53.0kg) – Barrier 19

Jockey: Billy Egan
Gear Change: None
Timeform Rating: 118
Expected Settle Position: Just off the speed.
Lead in form: 2nd Moonee Valley Cup, 2nd Might and Power.
Analysis: Ran to 117 to win this in 2019. Two runs back in the Might and Power he ran 2nd behind Alligator Blood and ran to 118 Timeform rating. Duais in 3rd ran to 111 and then next start 118 in the Cox Plate. Alligator Blood went from 122 in the Might and Power up to 124 in the Cox Plate. Last start ran massive in the Moonee Valley Cup 3-wide the trip with no cover for a large part of it with 57kg. A better barrier would have produced more confidence to absolutely declare this horse. He looks the goods here up to the 3200m. He will stay the distance. He should find a spot with the early speed in the race and he will be trucking into the race at the right time.
Expected Finishing Position: 1st

10. Cleveland (52.0kg) – Barrier 23

Jockey: Michael Dee
Gear Change: None
Timeform Rating: 113
Expected Settle Position: At the rear or slightly closer to midfield
Lead in form: 1st Moonee Valley Cup, 2nd St Leger, 6th The Metrop
Analysis: Poorly weighted against horses he beat in the Moonee Valley Cup. Got the right run and others were just in that race for a tune-up. Continues to progress this prep I won’t disagree with that. Has won up to 3700m in the past beating some nice types including G1 runner Coltrane back in 2022. Get back run on type and barrier hurts chances in such a big field.
Expected Finishing Position: 13th

11. Ashrun (51.5kg) – Barrier 11

Jockey: Kerrin McEvoy
Gear Change: None
Timeform Rating: 117 (Lexus win in 2020)
Expected Settle Position: Back of field.
Lead in form: 2nd Geelong Cup, 6th Bart Cummings
Analysis: Not been seen since 2020 where he won the Lexus but was too far back in a hot run front runner dominated Melbourne Cup and ran 10th. G2 placed in France over 3000m. Continues to improve strongly after every run this prep. Get back run on type as always. 8YO now and 1.5kg better weighted than last attempt at this race. If they can position more forward in run and the horse can improve to similar best form ratings, has to be considered a chance.
Expected Finishing Position: 10th

12. Daqiansweet Junior (51.5kg) – Barrier 12

Jockey: Daniel Stackhouse
Gear Change: None
Timeform Rating: 113
Expected Settle Position: Midfield to back of field
Lead in form: 4th Herbert Power, 7th Naturalism, 10th Heatherlie
Analysis: 3200m G1 Sydney Cup 3rd back in 2022 on a Heavy track behind Sheraz. Has not placed in 9 runs since. Last start in the Herbert Power wasn’t bad but clearly others ran better than he meets today. Struggle to suggest this horse based on previous runs. Take on.
Expected Finishing Position: 22nd

13. Okita Soushi (51.5kg) – Barrier 20

Jockey: Dylan Gibbons
Gear Change: None
Timeform Rating: 115
Expected Settle Position: Rear of field
Lead in form: 12th Caulfield Cup, 3rd Irish St Leger Trial, 1st Ascot Handicap
Analysis: Horrible last start in the Caulfield Cup from out the back. Low weight like many here. Ratings wise he is right in this if he can find or return to form. He showed absolutely nothing at Caulfield making it hard to suggest such a strong turnaround in form up to the 3200m. Previously won on Synthetic at 3200m at the start of the year in a much easier race. In 2022 over 2800 at Ascot was half a length behind Cleveland.
Expected Finishing Position: 18th

14. Sheraz (51.5kg) – Barrier 22

Jockey: Beau Mertens
Gear Change: None
Timeform Rating: 112
Expected Settle Position: Out the back
Lead in form: 8th Moonee Valley Cup, 12th Bart Cummings, 8th Naturalism
Analysis: 2nd in Sydney Cup in Autumn on Heavy running to 112. Poor barrier today. Will get back and have to run on. Has never won a race. Never shown his best on a dry track – wants it wet. Won’t get it.
Expected Finishing Position: 20th

15. Lastotchka (51.0kg) – Barrier 21

Jockey: Craig Williams
Gear Change: None
Timeform Rating: 112
Expected Settle Position: On Speed
Lead in form: 1st G3 Prix Gladiateur, 4th G3 Prix De Reux
Analysis: 2022 G3 winner over 2800m on heavy. 3rd over 2400m in June in Group 2 company. Last start up to 3100m and won well in G3 company. It was a small field but she saw out the final 1000m strongly. Has been training well and gets in with 51kg for a horse we know will see out the distance. Is she good enough to win this? Can she improve ratings-wise again? Trainer has made it clear they will go forward from the barrier. Figures wise suggest she will run very well but would be better backing up next year again to do a few places better.
Expected Finishing Position: 9th

Magical Lagoon (51.0kg) – Barrier 7

Jockey: Mark Du Plessis
Gear Change: Cross-over Nose Band First Time
Timeform Rating: 112
Expected Settle Position: On Speed
Lead in form: 6th Geelong Cup, 11th Hill Stakes
Analysis: Jumped well at Geelong and led. Stuck on but was outmatched late. Previous start Hill Stakes 3-wide the trip never a chance. Irish Oaks winner in 2022. Ascot winner over the same 2400m distance also. Never seen 3200m. Has been below best since arriving in Australia.
Expected Finishing Position: 20th

Military Mission (51.0kg) – Barrier 5

Jockey: Rachel King
Gear Change: None
Timeform Rating: 109
Expected Settle Position: Just off the front – probably 4 pairs back.
Lead in form: 1st Herbert Power, 4th The Metrop, 1st Newcastle Cup
Analysis: Beat United Nations last start as well as Braydon Star (Bendigo cup form) and a few others. This is a massive step up in class first time 3200m. Has an explosive turn of foot in the bank when required but then just plods after that. Never been tested 3200m so questions to be answered.
Expected Finishing Position: 15th

18. Serpentine (51.0kg) – Barrier 1

Jockey: Jye McNeil
Gear Change: Tongue Control Bit OFF First Time. Tongue Tie Again.
Timeform Rating: 112 (rated 122 in 2020 winning G1 Epsom Derby)
Expected Settle Position: On Speed – may not try and lead.
Lead in form: 3rd Bart Cummings, 4th Listed Handicap
Analysis: Led the 2020 Epsom Derby all the way with a fast tempo for a big win. Attempted to do the same in the Melbourne Cup last year but didn’t go to plan. Got a win over Kalapour in Autumn on the board with 55.5kg more on his back so on that run over 2200 metres keeps Kalapour well at the weights. At WFA was only beaten 5L by Without a Fight and meets 5.5kg better today from that 2200m run. Has not led all runs this prep is a concern for the potential to lead… but has always been on speed. Wasn’t suited in the Bart Cummings by the tempo but still stuck on well. Gai/Bott team are flying.
Expected Finishing Position: 14th

19. Virtuous Circle (51.0kg) – Barrier 6

Jockey: Craig Newitt
Gear Change: None
Timeform Rating: 115
Expected Settle Position: Midfield
Lead in form: 8th Geelong Cup, 10th Bart Cummings, 9th Naturalism
Analysis: Ran to 115 in Autumn in the ATC Derby. Poor in the Geelong Cup no excuses. Previous start 10th in Bart Cummings was unlucky. Hard to love this horse off the last start run at Geelong. Could improve up to 3200m and barrier is ideal for a soft run. May just not have the speed in the legs required to be really competitive here.
Expected Finishing Position: 24th

20. More Felons (50.5kg) – Barrier 24

Jockey: Jamie Kah
Gear Change: Equicast OFF First Time
Timeform Rating: 114 (named as Scriptwriter in the UK)
Expected Settle Position: Out the back
Lead in form: 5th Geelong Cup, 8th Ebor
Analysis: Previously named Scriptwriter in the UK. Got back and ran on well in the Geelong Cup. Suggests the horse will be doing the same here. Barrier 24 sucks big time. Will go back and need to get moving 1000m-800m out wide and cover a lot of ground to be a chance. Has raced multiple times at 3200m including over Hurdles and will handle the distance. At the 114 Timeform ratings and the low weight the horse gets in well. Will be passing a lot of horses that don’t see out the 3200m, in the straight.
Expected Finishing Position: 17th

21. Future History (50.0kg) – Barrier 13

Jockey: Hollie Doyle
Gear Change: None
Timeform Rating: 108
Expected Settle Position: On Speed – may lead
Lead in form: 3rd Moonee Valley Cup (Intention to go back and did), 1st Bart Cummings
Analysis: Controlled the race in the Bart Cummings and made it a firm early speed, slow down middle and held on until about the 600m when sent it home and got the win. This is much harder. Horse has the natural gate speed from barrier 13 to pop right on speed and lead if desired. Low weight. Looks the type to improve up to 3200m. Will Vauban go right past him top of straight?
Expected Finishing Position: 8th

22. Interpretation (50.0kg) – Barrier 17

Jockey: Teo Nugent
Gear Change: Blinkers OFF AGAIN
Timeform Rating: 108
Expected Settle Position: Midfield to Back of Field
Lead in form: 1st Bendigo Cup, 9th Bart Cummings
Analysis: 2021 best Timeform rating 114. Last start Bendigo Cup winner over 2400m to get the horses first win in more than 600 days. Continues to run well previous to that without winning in easier grade. Best on firmer tracks and gets it here. Barrier makes things tough. Certainly if rated around the 114 is suited by the weight. This horse doesn’t yell “I’m going to improve tons going up to 3200m”.
Expected Finishing Position: 16th

23. Kalapour (50.0kg) – Barrier 14

Jockey: Zac Lloyd
Gear Change: None
Timeform Rating: 116
Expected Settle Position: Forward to midfield at worst.
Lead in form: 1st Lexus, 3rd Randwick St Leger, 3rd The Metrop
Analysis: Slowly run Archer (Lexus) on the weekend and got the win. Decent enough 3rd in the St Leger and 3rd in the Metrop. Better than quite a few horses lining up today. Bottom weight and will position forward. Looks the type that will grind out at these distances. Won his Irish Maiden over 2500m for a reason. If he excels at the distance he is a dead-set sneaky chance of running very well here. Looks almost the best-weighted horse in the race – gave Cleveland 2KG in the St Leger and was beaten 0.3L and is much better at weights here. Gave Land Legend 5kg for the St Leger run and was beaten 3L. Would have at least both been equal weights at 50kg today.. and Land Legend would be under $20 in this field.
Expected Finishing Position: 7th

24. True Marvel (50.0kg) – Barrier 10

Jockey: Ben Thompson
Gear Change: None
Timeform Rating: 105
Expected Settle Position: Midfield to closer to front.
Lead in form: 10th Moonee Valley Cup, 8th Randwick St Leger, 10th G3 Colin Stephen
Analysis: 3rd in the Autumn in the Group 2 Brisbane Cup over 3200m so gets the distance. Two infront on that day would be $40-$100 in this race. Ran on okay last start in the Moonee Valley Cup. Randwick St Leger worked 3-wide then found spot outside leader and then was under pressure 800m out. Probably wanting more rain to find best form.
Expected Finishing Position: 23rd

Confidence Levels

Very High Chances: Vow and Declare, Vauban, Gold Trip
High Chances: Absurde, Without A Fight, Breakup, Kalapour
Medium Chances: Future History, Lastotchka, Ashrun, Right You Are, Soulcombe
Low Chances: Cleveland, Serpentine, Military Mission, Interpretation, More Felons, Okita Soushi, Alenquer
Very Low Chances: Magical Lagoon, Sheraz, Daqiansweet Junior, True Marvel, Virtuous Circle

Race Summary

Make no mistake, this is a much harder and higher quality Melbourne Cup than what we saw Gold Trip smash last year. The internationals are much better that are coming out and the race tail of those that have a chance to actually win is much longer. We have several genuine chances near the bottoms of the weight that only need to be strong at the end of 3200m to be running the race of their life.

We have two well-fancied hurdlers who may have evaded further weight penalties heading out to Australia in Vauban and Absurde. Absurde has been smashed in betting since the draws went up as well. Vauban will be on speed and have every chance to produce top of the straight. A deserved favourite on figures, but a lot of question marks at the weight. Absurde is nicely weighted today and if they can settle forward he will be looming into it at the right time also.

Soulcombe is a horse I can’t recommend and take on in my markets. I’ll have Betfair up and if he jumps well and settles midfield or better i’ll have to save at the very least.

The main outsiders with a chance in my market are Vow and Declare and Kalapour. The form around Vow and Declare along with the ratings have him going better than ever before. Horses around his form have improved onwards and I’m expecting a good run from just off the speed. He is my top pick in the race. I was against him when he won his Cup. I’m with him today.

Kalapour is just a horse peaking at the right time. He can be on speed and I’m expecting him to enjoy the 3200m. At the ratings and weight he is a clear chance. I’ll be backing him at the price.

Gold Trip, I love him, you know I won’t lose on him and i’ll be piling in if the rain comes before the race as it will add an extra spice to his race and take away from Without a Fight’s. As you know, I like to suggest the Very High and High chances in my notes are the main contenders. Something from Medium Chances can pop up and win but ultimately i’m playing around the top two zones.

Wishing you a great day on the punt and I hope you jag the Quaddie or First 4 of a lifetime!

Drew Patchell


The Profits

The Profits was first created in 2010 as a hub for owners Drew and Euan to share their knowledge. Since then, our team has expanded over the years, and we now have eight individual writers now employed to share their knowledge on specific sports. “Surround yourself with the dreamers and the doers, the believers and thinkers, but most of all, surround yourself with those who see the greatness within you, even when you don’t see it yourself.”

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