Welcome to The Profits form guide for Royal Ascot Day 4. Yesterday got us back on track at Royal Ascot with a B A N G! Both our Best Bets won at very strong odds while we hit the trifecta (including our top pick on top at nice odds) in the first of the day. Overall it was very successful especially if you followed our confidence factors with only one of the four over 70% being winning races (2nd at nice odds in the other). It was amazing to see the Queen’s horse take out the Gold Cup yesterday (also helped we had it as a Best Bet) and her reaction was priceless. Good on her and it’s great to see her involvement in the sport. As always, I hope my form matches up with yours. Good luck and happy punting!
Ascot Race 2 Mount Athos
Ascot Race 6 Shahwardi
Ascot Race 3 Society Rock
Red means Top pick. Blue means second pick and Green refers to a saver pick. Orange means a speculation pick.
Ascot Race 1
Berkshire: Showed some quality last start but needs to find much more for this class today.
Bunker: Good maiden win last prep but this is obviously a wider race form wise
Calrissian: Market your main guide today.
Citizen Kaine: Market your main guide today.
Flying Author: Produced nothing in 3 runs. Nope.
Freedom Square: Took 3 times to break maiden in ireland. No thanks.
Friendship: Green when in maiden. Only so short today due to being from O’Brien yard.
Khee Society: Not in this on last two runs.
Know Your Name: Hard to see winning this.
Lone Warrior: Not the worst runner today.. Don’t dismiss.
Master Carpenter: Won his second race last start but get the feeling most in this race would have scored that.
Scargill: Hard to see the progression..
Shepherd Gate: Market your main guide today.
Sir Jack Layden: Not going well enough.
Somewhat: Times were strong in the Musselburgh win and looks suited today. Big chance.
Street Force: Needs to step up massively today.
Autumn Lily: Ran very well first up, but taking on the colts today. The testing material. Looks good enough.
Bureau: Couldn’t win last start at Sandown and this is a higher step up.
Ihtimal: Ran well enough last two runs but would have wanted a win.
Tinga: Like the extra distance today but hard to see progression.
Strategy: Somewhat gets the nod on top today from Autumn Lily.
Ascot Race 2
Aiken: Back to a more suitable distance today but certainly has to show more than last prep starts. Has ability to go close first up.
Dandino: Ran a neck second in a Group 2 first up over distance at Newmarket. Has the ability to go close but hasn’t won for a long time. Finds ways to lose.
Ektihaam: Smashed Thomas Chippendale in a listed race by 6 lengths last month. On that form goes very close today and deserves to be a short price.
Mount Athos: Very easy win last start in Chester Group 3 and looks super progressive again this prep. Can and should win.
Noble Mission: Had to go back to Listed race to win last start. Needs to show significant improvement.
Sir John Hawkwood: Improving type who won handicaps the last two starts. This is much harder though.
Songcraft: Keeps winning listed type races but hasn’t stepped up to this level previously.
Thomas Chippendale: Won the King Edward VII Stakes over C&D last year at this meeting but was comfortably held the last two times out. Hard to have.
Universal: Won a Group 3 and Group 2 the last two runs and beat home runners in this race (not favourites). Looks a solid chance on this form.
Strategy: Back Mount Athos hard and either saver Ektihaam or back Universal depending how you feel about it.
Ascot Race 3
Dandy Boy: Has a chance on best form but shown very little this prep.
Gammarth: Hard to see the horse winning this one today.
Gordon Lord Byron: Won the Group 1 Prix De la Foret in France last prep and this prep returned well enough. Needs to find a few lengths more today though
Havelock: Career best required to even go close here. Hard to see.
Hawkeyethenoo: Last start at York was solid but needs to produce a better run than first two preps this year.
Krypton Factor: Ran well enough to place in all 3 runs this prep at Meydan but has to step up here today to win.
Lethal Force: Seems to be peaking today after a 2nd in Group 2 level first up. Can go close.
Maarek: Needs to show a lot more today to go close.
Reply: Not going well enough on form this prep to win IMO.
Sirius Prospect: No form to speak of this prep. no thanks.
Slade Power: Lightly raced has a lot of upside but needed to show a bit more first up.
Society Rock: Big win on return at York first up and is massive price today.
Soul: Strong horse but isn’t good enough for this class first up.
Intense Pink: Not good enough form lines to win this.
Mince: Last two runs have been pretty poor compared to last year. Could be peaking but i’m happy to ignore.
Sea Siren: Comes over here today peaking. Strong 2nd to Epaulette last start in Group 1 at Doomben considering Epaulette got close to Black Caviar in her final run. Big chance today.
Zanetto: not going ewll enough to wint his.
Rosdhu Queen: Didn’t return in well enough form.
Strategy: Society Rock looks the one to beat here today and looks a great E/W bet while Sea Siren has to be backed.
Ascot Race 4
Hitchens: Very strong win last start at Curragh to land a group 3. Looks value today on that run.
Arnold Lane: Won last two including a Group 3 in Germany. Rates well.
Elusivity: Ran well enough last three runs this prep but needs to improve again to win. Can place.
Royal Rock: Hard to see the progression for this runner.
Mass Rally: Needs a lot of luck to land this. Hard to have.
Regal Parade: Minor runner with no chance today.
Morache Music: Ran well enough last two starts but hard to see the win here.
Out Jonathan: Not good enough here on last three runs.
Duke Of Firenze: Won 2 of last 3 but up in distance might be an issue. Still, should go close.
Prodigality: Ran well recently in handicaps but needs to improve quite a few lengths.
Secret Witness: Not in this contest.
Palance Moon: Needed run first up but this looks beyond it.
York Glory: Ran very well last start. Don’t dismiss.
Louis The Pious: Wind Operation makes this an avoid horse for the next 2-3 runs.
Dinkum Diamond: Distance looks an issue for runner and doesn’t rate well.
Shropshire: Ran well last three starts but much harder today.
Nocturn: Up in weight and beat Enrol two weeks ago at Newmarket who failed yesterday Has big ability and can’t be ignored but will hang in on you if you back it.
Zero Money: Hard to see the progression.
Rex Imperator: Very impressive run for new yard first up last week and could run well today.
Khubala: Not going well enough to win this on previous four races. Needs to find a length or two.
Chandlery: Going horrible this prep. No thanks.
Ladyship: Hood on now is needed but hard to see the win.
Gabriel’s Lad: Ran well first up this prep and can progress far you would expect but this is a step up.
Glass Office: Put in a good run last start but needs to go further today.
Bapak Chinta: Not good enough for this.
Rebellious Guest: Very poor first up. Can’t see the progression.
Ancient Cross: Going too poor to get involved.
Poole Harbour: Can go very close. Can place here.
Strategy: Hitchens looks progressive and a great chance today while Duke of Firenze also fits in well here.
Ascot Race 5
Sir Graham Wade: Not going well enough to figure here it seems.
Buckland: Weighted out of this today it seems.
Hammerfest: Ran 2nd in this last year and has same prep as last time into this. Big chance.
Lahaag: Progressive type who may find this class a little too strong today. Still, every chance.
Blue Surf: Return run was poor and doesn’t appeal on that run.
Stencive: Ran well enough on return and caught the eye. Goes very close but need to improve IMO.
Rye House: Returned with a bang first up winning a nice handicap at york. Looks progressive enough to win today.
Deia Sunrise: Hard to see a win here back on flat.
Art Scholar: Doesn’t appeal at all today on form lines.
Communicator: Return was poor this prep and puts you off here for sure.
Voodoo Prince: Hard to rule this runner in after fail last start.
Caravan Rolls On: Loves the C&D here with 5 wins to date. Returned well enough and looks a top chance today.
Opinion: Certainly a contender. Unexposed and open to improvement.
Beaumont’s Party: Off recent form the horse has ability but may find the win a little to far off. Can place.
Highland Castle: Won well last start at Newmarket but hard to back just on that one run.
Silver Lime: Poor last two starts and not good enough for this.
Ustura: Weight looks to be against the horse here today but has every chance on recent form.
The Tiger: Not good enough for this on the ground.
Strategy: Caravan Rolls On appeals enough to be put on top while Rye House looks the next best in the race and will be there at the end.
Ascot Race 6
American Spin: Back on the flat today and hard to see the win.
Chiberta King: Didn’t run well enough first up to suggest should be favourite but up in distance suits.
Cosimo De Medici: Very hard to see the progression on last several runs to this.
Cul Baire: Might be slightly beyond best distance today and needs to improve to win this.
First Avenue: Very harsh task to win this today. Hurdle champ but thats it.
Junior: Not going well enough recently but could surprise.
Mad Moose: Form looks very solid with 2nd to Mount Athos two back. Take on trust.
Meganisi: Showed nothing last start on flat. Hard to have.
No Heretic: Won 2 of last 5 and placed in the others. Very progressive and only issue is staying which shouldn’t be an issue.
Ocean’s Minstrel: Hard to see any progression to win this today.
Palazzo Bianco: Not going wel enough on recent form for this.
Riptide: Not classy enough on form.
Seaside Sizzler: Should run well today and could sneak a place.
Shahwardi: Last start a simple forgive run for such a quality horse. Looks the one to beat.
Stopped Out: Not progressive enough for this. Failed in a maiden.
Courtesy Call: Can run well today but hard to see how will go back on flat.
Mashaari: Probably wants big time rain to win here. Nice runner either way.
Yazdi: Not good enough.
Cloudy Spirit: Hard to see Cloudy winning today on last few flat runs.
Sohar: Not talented enough to win this it seems on form lines.
Strategy: Shahwardi looks to be the one to beat here and good value from Mad Moose.
All of the above are the opinions of the author and are not recommendations or advice. The author may not be taking every bet listed above. Bet at your own risk.
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