UK Horse Racing Form – Plumpton, Kempton and Wolverhampton – Monday 5 November 2012

Horse Racing - Australia

The Brendan Powell-trained Khazium has been highly tried finishing sixth most recently at Huntingdon, but he was hampered two-out that day when edging closer to mount a challenge and can make amends in this easier company today. He ran well at Plumpton back in September finishing a close second and can break his maiden today back at two-miles.

Index
NAP – best bet of the meeting
NB – next best bet of the meeting
NAP – best bet of the day
NB – next best of the day
IWAC – in with a chance
A point refers to a set number ($1, $5, $10 etc).
(AW) = All Weather surface
(IRE) = Ireland meeting
Please read our article on The Basics of Betfair to learn how to place Starting Price (SP) bets.
*Please note, if the odds are over the listed price on the bet, we take that price otherwise use SP bet to get closest to best odds overall as most horses generally drift in.

Plumpton

Class 5 Maiden Hurdle 12.50 RUM AND BUTTER 7/2 3 point win

It’s a really tough maiden hurdle to get the action underway at Plumpton. Pendra has obvious claims for Charlie Longsdon who struck a double yesterday with Hildisvini and Brassick scoring at Huntingdon. Although, the stables form over hurdles is yet to be desired with a strike rate of just 1-20 at 5%. Rum And Butter is an interesting recruit for Jonjo O’Neill who operates with a 16% strike rate at the course. The four-year-old ran out a creditable fourth on hurdling debut over course and distance and would have needed that run. He is definitely one for the shortlist. Ubaldo Des Menhies is interesting for Oliver Sherwood, a man who is in superb form. The French horse is also proven on this softer going but I’ve got a feeling it won’t be easy today and being unproven over the distance tackling hurdles for the first time is enough for me to avoid, for now. Mister Newby should make any shortlist proven at the course and on the going but he looked laboured latest and only landed his bumper by a neck. It’s a weak race from all angles in truth and it’s extremely hard to get away from the Charlie Longsdon-trained Pendra with Noel Fehily riding at a course he loves but we have decided to oppose the short-favourite. Rum And Butter has raced keenly on all three starts, latest on hurdling debut. Where he hit the last fence, halting any momentum he may have had to gain on the leader. He is a type to do better for Jonjo O’Neill and looks like he has a lot more running in him. He has experience and race fitness over some and looks the best viable option at the forecasted prices.

Class 4 Novice Hurdle 1.20 AWESOME BELLA 9/4 4 point win

An interesting race on paper and Floral Spinner catches the eye for Bill Turner having won two of her four bumpers but she is yet to tackle a hurdle and she may well need the experience, despite her pedigree suggesting she’ll do well over hurdles. She is opposed on this occasion. Awesome Bella is the one we cannot get away from having run so well at Towcester. She wouldn’t have to improve much on her second start over hurdles to take this. She closed on Definite Memories all the way to the line latest and looked a thorough stayer. Stable form is also a huge positive with Alan King firing on all cylinders of late. Ruby Glow made the shortlist having shaped well in bumpers with the extra yardage in her favour, but like Floral Spinner, may need this run.

Class 4 Handicap Hurdle 1.55 STRATHCAL 5/1 1 point EW

Sounding like a broken record at the moment but this is another tricky contest. A two-mile handicap with many of these out of form. Ministry is readily opposed having been well-beaten here latest and the winner of that race failing to follow up on Friday. It’s wide open and no doubt many of you will be siding with Where’s Johnny who should go well dropped in trip with a reappearance run behind him. He has also dropped 6lb down the handicap and has Mattie Batchelor up, he’ll no doubt be popular. Strathcal however, is the one we feel to give another chance to. Tom Symonds doesn’t run them over hurdles at Plumpton unless they’re ready to go and the six-year-old can overcome a lengthy absence. Butler is likely to be given another chance by many, but what we have seen of him simply doesn’t warrant a bet, but we’ll keep a close eye on Tim Vaughan’s charge.

Class 5 Handicap Chase 2.25 ZEPNOVE 8/1 1 point EW

Zepnove has a lot to prove having been pulled up the last twice but his previous form and specifically reappearance run at Fontwell is worth taking note of. This is another weak affair that won’t take much winning. Beware Chalk Pit echoes inconsistency which could be a trend for the race with Absolute Shambles lining up. Zepnove switches the visor for cheekpieces and has run well on soft ground in the past. Dromore Hill ran well for a long way on debut for Claire Dyson but this step up in trip is unlikely to suit and he is still a maiden as an 8-yo. She’s Jolly at long, long odds may well have a squeak on the strength of it but be happy to let that spare £5 slip away should the race fall away from her.

Class 5 Claiming Hurdle 3.00 KHAZIUM 7/4 NAP 5 point win

A weak claiming hurdle and one that should well be within Khazium ‘s ability. Dropped to this grade after disappointing latest he looks primed for a big run for Brendan Powell. Richard Johnson up, the three-year-old should take some beating. Pass The Time made a winning hurdle debut ten days ago but that race may well have taken it out of him. The thought is he performed better than usual that day having been a modest horse on the flat. He’s one to take on at the projected prices.

Class 4 Handicap Chase 3.30 TRUCKERS BENEFIT 3/1 NB 4 point win

We were behind Truckers Benefit a couple of weeks ago when he was somewhat a cosy winner over C&D and we can’t see any reason to oppose him here. Goring One is the obvious threat if back to his best but he still has a lot of questions to answer and again, may need the run. Truckers Benefit is an improving handicapper and can go one better in the hands of Richard Johnson today.

Class 5 Handicap Hurdle 4.05 KENALECK 5/1 2 point EW

Kenaleck was runner-up in a selling handicap latest in first time-cheekpieces and deserved the win having jumped so well. He got tired on the flat though and was outbattled in the end. What it does prove is that he is off a workable mark and switches the cheekpieces for a tongue strap today to eek out some more improvement. He is up 5lb for that solid effort but should appreciate the ground and conditions. He looks a much better bet than Royale Knight at the odds, considering he was unplaced in all ten starts under rules. Probably does have more to give but you have to seek value against that price.

Meeting total:

Kempton
1.00 Ransom Note 7/4 2 point win
1.30 Hindon Road 10/3 2 point win
2.05 Parlours War 7/2 NB 3 point win
2.40 Bold Cheif 5/1 2 point win
3.10 Ghizao 8/11 NAP 4 point win
3:45 Loch Ba 9/4 2 point win
4.15 Tuscan Gold 9/1 1 point ew

Wolverhampton (AW)
1.45 Passionada 16/1 1 point ew
2.15 Lastkingofscotland 5/1 2 point win
2.50 Alaskan Bullet 13/8 3 point win
3.20 High Time Too 3/1 2 point win
3.55 Aragorn Rouge 9/4 NB 3 point win
4.25 Maun Vrat 4/5 NAP 4 point win
4.55 Drawnfromthepast 5/1 2 point win

Tips are provided by GetYourTipsOut.
Follow @GetYourTipsOut on twitter.
Read more from their website at http://getyourtipsout.wordpress.com
The prices put up are the best available through http://www.oddschecker.com at time of posting.

Please Note:
All of the above are the opinions of the author and are not recommendations or advice. Bet at your own risk.
All of our information is provided free. Thanks.
Please Gamble Responsibly!

Author

mm

The Profits

The Profits was first created in 2010 as a hub for owners Drew and Euan to share their knowledge. Since then, our team has expanded over the years, and we now have eight individual writers now employed to share their knowledge on specific sports. “Surround yourself with the dreamers and the doers, the believers and thinkers, but most of all, surround yourself with those who see the greatness within you, even when you don’t see it yourself.”

Leave a Reply