This week we have 7 games to look at with Saints, Doggies and Brisbane getting the Bye. Last week we selected:
Pies by 37 (won by 28)
Bulldogs by 67 (won by 71)
Adelaide by 12 (Lost by 25)
Hawthorn by 23 (Won by 63)
Sydney by 18 (Won by 13 … should have been 18.. umpire got a goal wrong)
Melbourne by 8 (Won by 11)
Cats by 54 (Won by 79)
Essendon by 43 (Won by 52)
As you can tell, we had a pretty good week with most bets getting pretty close to the mark, especially when you consider we picked Essendon by 43 (40+ bet was $6-1).
The only problem we had was not having faith in Fremantle. We didn’t have a punt on Adelaide as their injuries did concern us, but we couldn’t go with Freo away.
The good news is all our betting suggestions EASILY got in with Cats -12.5, Essendon +23.5 and Sydney +22.5 all getting in by over 40 points a piece
This takes us to 27 from 27 for the pre-season/season in AFL betting.
Richmond Tigers vs Collingwood Magpies
Collingwood and Richmond have only played twice in the last two years. Both results were very one sided with Pies coming up with a 93 point win and 82 point win.
Richmond got smashed by 63 last week by Hawthorn in the wet while the Pies beat Top 8 team Carlton by 28.
Collingwood by 82
Hawthorn Hawks vs West Coast Eagles
West Coast has beaten the Hawks in the last two meetings by 20 and 8 (Both in Perth).
Hawks come into this game off a 63 point win while Eagles come in off a 13 point loss. Hawks have a great win/loss record in Tasmania and that should only improve here.
Hawthorn by 32
Carlton Blues vs Essendon Bombers
Carlton won the last meeting by 76 points (round 19 last year)
Carlton are coming off a 28 point loss to the Pies while Essendon are coming off a 52 point win over St Kilda.
As the odds predict, this will be a hard fought game. Carlton will bring a fast, intense style to this game which was used to knock off Geelong, St Kilda and Collingwood during the season last year. This in our opinion combined with a highly skilled midfield should be the difference. Expect to see alot of tackles in this game.
Carlton by 24
Sydney Swans vs Geelong Cats
Geelong have won the last 7 meetings against Sydney by 27, 18, 42, 39, 51, 5 and 67.
Sydney are playing well, especially in the midfield currently, Unfortunately for them, they are coming up against a full strength Geelong (only missing Byrnes) with Mackie, Wozjincki and Lonergan slotting into the team that won by 79 points last week. Sydney looked fairly impressive but West Coast will be bottom 8 this year. Cats will be too good.
Geelong by 28
Port Adelaide Power vs Adelaide Crows
Port has won the last two derbys by 19 and 23.
Both teams go into this game with large injury lists with at least 5 of their top 22 players from each team missing out. Port are missing their captain which is a BIG loss.
Both teams have alot to prove and Adelaide should get up in a close one.
Adelaide by 12
Gold Coast Suns vs Melbourne Demons
Melbourne were horrible in the first QTR against Brisbane last week, yet, managed to scrap a win out of the bag.
Gold Coast were far worse, with a big loss by 71 to the Bulldogs.
Melbourne will prove to be too good here
Melbourne by 38
Fremantle Dockers vs North Melbourne Kangaroos
North won the last meeting by 54 while the previous game was won by Freo by 61.
Both teams are terrible on the road and this is the Kangaroos 2nd trip back to Perth in 4 weeks.
Freo had a good win against Adelaide as the underdog last week while North had the bye (small loss to WCE first round and big one to Pies in 2nd).
Both have a few good players coming back but Freo should prove too strong at home
Fremantle by 22
Out Betting Options
Collingwood -35.5 at $1.50
Geelong +22.5 at $1.26
Carlton +28.5 at $1.25