English Premier League 2017/18 – Game Week 4

English Premier League - Football

Game week 4 of the Premier League promises plenty of action after a short break due to World Cup Qualifiers. It’ll be particularly interesting this weekend with a number of new faces set to make their debuts with the transfer window closing late last week. That’s even without looking into some of the matchups this weekend which look promising on paper. Manchester City and Liverpool kick things off with both sides in good enough touch to make for an entertaining contest. There’s a number of sides under plenty of early season pressure as well though at the other end of the table with the likes of West Ham, Crystal Palace and Bournemouth all yet to get off the mark. Perhaps for a couple of these sides this weekend may be one where they do get off the mark but they each have some difficult fixtures.

Week 4 Best Bet: West Brom Draw No Bet vs Brighton at $2.04

Week 4 Best Value Bet: Liverpool to beat Manchester City at $4

Week 4 Head to Head Multi Bet: Chelsea to win ($1.8), Manchester United to win ($1.45), Southampton/Watford Draw ($3.75), West Brom to win ($3) = $29.36

**Odds from Sportsbet.com.au as of 6th September

Headline Fixtures

Manchester City vs Liverpool

Last 5 meetings (All competitions): Liverpool 3, Manchester City 1, Draws 1

Liverpool have a good record over Manchester City winning 3 of their last 5 meetings but only one of those came at the Etihad and City will be pretty set on getting a result this weekend after scraping by against Bournemouth before the International break. The trouble for City will be how they try to keep Liverpool from scoring having conceded in each of their last two matches, albeit the one against Bournemouth was impossible to stop. Liverpool have shown how damaging they will be this season with 8 goals scored already and the question marks on their own defensive frailties have dissipated after two clean sheets, for now. City will have problems in this match as defensively they have looked a lot worse than Liverpool who will be pretty confident in their defence after two clean sheets. Liverpool’s attacking line-up will be difficult to handle and it’d be surprising if Klopp didn’t get his players to go for it by heaping pressure on City’s defence which is vulnerable.

Predicted Result: Liverpool 2-1

Best Bet: Double Chance Liverpool at $1.91

Best Value Bet: Liverpool to win at $4

Everton vs Tottenham

Last 5 meetings (All competitions): Tottenham 2, Draws 3

Both of these sides have had mixed starts to the season with a win, loss and draw to kick off the season. Everton have arguably looked the safer side thus far defensively but it’s perhaps a little too early to take much out of that so far. Spurs will have been thankful for the International break having had to settle for a draw against Burnley when the game was pretty much wrapped up already. A trip away from home will be welcomed too this week after their Wembley issues continue. For all intents and purposes they haven’t played terrible football at Wembley, they just haven’t gotten the results. The addition of Serge Aurier as a Walker replacement could be the spark they need to get their season going and likewise can be said of Llorente as another option off the bench who’s a proven scorer in this league. Everton will be tough to beat though as seen by the last two matches at Goodison between these two, 1-1 draws.

Predicted Result: Draw 1-1

Best Bet: Under 2.5 goals at $1.8

Best Value Bet: Half-Time Draw at $2

Leicester vs Chelsea

Last 5 meetings (All competitions): Chelsea 2, Leicester 1, Draws 2

Despite two wins on the trot, there’s still a sense of frustration at Chelsea that was only compounded with an underwhelming finish to the transfer window. A trip away to Leicester though should be fairly textbook, particularly given Leicester have lost another key cog to their team in Danny Drinkwater. He’s an interesting signing for Chelsea given his price tag but proven and solid enough backup nonetheless. Leicester have had a tough start to the season having already played Arsenal and Manchester United and Chelsea are likely to put on much of the same results wise for Leicester.

Predicted Result: Chelsea 2-0

Best Bet: Chelsea to win at $1.8

Best Value Bet: Chelsea to lead at Half-Time at $2.37

Stoke vs Manchester United

Last 5 meetings (All competitions): Manchester United 1, Stoke 1, Draws 3

Manchester United were cruising before the International break and they’ll be ruing the fact that their momentum was cut short but they have a chance to get things going again in what is a pretty tough fixture to play Stoke away. The Potters have been pretty solid so far in their 3 games with a win over Arsenal in-between a narrow loss to Everton and a 1-1 Draw with West Brom last time out. They may just be outclassed here though in the end because United just look the goods right now and their confidence is building with the form they produced before the break. Their defence the last few seasons was generally pretty good, but they’ve now taken their attack to a new level with the Lukaku leading the line and a record of 10 goals scored with zero conceded is a fantastic start to the season. West Ham, Swansea and Leicester of course are little to shout about for wins, but these are the teams you need to beat and beat well and it’s hard to argue with their results so far.

Predicted Result: Manchester United 2-0

Best Bet: Under 2.5 goals at $1.84

Best Value Bet: Manchester United to win to Nil at $2.3

Remaining Fixtures

Southampton vs Watford

Last 5 meetings (All competitions): Southampton 3, Draws 2

Both sides are unbeaten thus far and it looks set to follow a similar pattern this weekend. Watford have looked damaging up front with a revamped forward line whilst Southampton defensively look sound. Expect a pretty even contest here.

Predicted Result: Draw 0-0

Best Bet: Under 2.5 goals at $1.81

Best Value Bet: Draw at $3.75

Arsenal vs Bournemouth

Last 4 meetings (All competitions): Arsenal 3, Draws 1

Disappointing but not totally unexpected is how you can describe Arsenal right now. They’ve done little to revamp the side and some of Wenger’s decisions tactically and with his first XI have been very questionable. Bournemouth were unlucky not to get more against Manchester City but they unfortunately might fall short again against a poor and divided Arsenal side that will look to cover the cracks this weekend.

Predicted Result: Arsenal 2-1

Best Bet: Both teams to score – Yes at $1.57

Best Value Bet: Half-Time Draw at $2.63

Brighton vs West Brom

Last 5 meetings (All competitions): West Brom 2, Draws 3

The newly promoted Brighton got their first point last time out with a scoreless draw and a visit of a defensively sturdy West Brom shapes up as another tough encounter. The Baggies have enough quality to produce the goods in this one, win or draw at the very least.

Predicted Result: West Brom 1-0

Best Bet: West Brom Draw No Bet at $2.04

Best Value Bet: West Brom to win at $3

Burnley vs Crystal Palace

Last 5 meetings (All competitions): Burnley 3, Crystal Palace 1, Draws 1

A stunning comeback against a sleepy Tottenham defence will have given Burnley a boost before the International break. Home is where they get their results and with Palace yet to win and yet to even score a goal, a Burnley result looks the go.

Predicted Result: Burnley 1-0

Best Bet: Burnley Draw No Bet at $1.58

Best Value Bet: Burnley to win either half at $2.37

Swansea vs Newcastle 

Last 5 meetings (All competitions):  Swansea 3, Newcastle 1, Draws 1

A 3-0 win over a hapless West Ham will be difficult to backup against a Swansea side that has been better than expected this season. Swansea will have some further shuffling to do in their first XI though with the departure of Llorente but the stunning loan signing of Sanches plus the return of Bony will go a long way to their survival this season. As for this match though, it could be too tight to call but the home advantage and excitement of Bony returning to prove a point could be all the script has.

Predicted Result: Swansea 1-0

Best Bet: Swansea Draw No Bet at $1.61

Best Value Bet: Swansea to win at $2.3

West Ham vs Huddersfield

Last 5 meetings (All competitions): Huddersfield 2, West Ham 1, Draws 2

The Hammers have been atrocious this season conceding 10 goals already and besides Arsenal (who have conceded 8), they’ve conceded 4 more than Leicester and Palace. Huddersfield on the other hand look like they are enjoying their early venture in the top flight again with 2 wins and a draw and will cause the Hammers some problems. Expect the Hammers to start off strong here but don’t be surprised if Huddersfield fight their way back into this given the Hammers soft defence.

Predicted Result: Draw 2-2

Best Bet: Both teams to score – Yes at $1.83

Best Value Bet: West Ham to lead at Half-Time at $2.37






As an Australian growing up AFL was always my no.1 sport especially given I was lucky enough to grow up a few blocks from Carlton’s home ground, Princes Park, where I was lucky enough to attend many games. That’s where my passion for sport began but it was until the early 2000’s when I discovered a real passion for football with the Socceroos 2002 World Cup qualifiers against Uruguay accelerating my football journey. From there I began to follow the Premier League and haven’t looked back since. These days I’m a massive Tottenham fan where I’ve enjoyed many sleepless nights religiously watching them without missing a game despite many roller coaster feelings. There’s just something magical and glamorous when you watch the EPL and knowing the Profits owners Drew and Euan through studies, I’m now lucky enough to be able to share my thoughts on each game each week of the season.

Leave a Reply