English Premier League Game Week 14 Preview

English Premier League - Football

Welcome to the preview of game week 14 of the English Premier League. We had some fantastic football in game week 13 that threw up a few surprises but it wouldn’t be football without some twists and turns. The biggest upset was no doubt Hull beating Liverpool 3-1 especially with the likes of Suarez in such good form it was certainly a surprising result. They should bounce back strong this weekend though with a home game against Norwich. The positive we can take out of it (for those non Liverpool supporters of course) is that it leaves the fight for the top 4 still very tight. We now have 8 sides separated by only 6 points from 2nd to 9th. With these mid-week games followed by another round of games on the weekend, there’s plenty of chances for the likes of Tottenham, Manchester United, Southampton, and Newcastle to stake a claim for a top 4 spot again. Let’s have a look at how the mid-week matchups are stacking up.

Best Bets this week

West Brom versus Manchester City over 2.5 goals at $1.7 

 

Liverpool versus Norwich over 2.5 goals at $1.52 

 

Great Value this week

Chelsea half/full time at $2.38 versus Sunderland 

 

Betting odds from Betfair as at 02/12/13

 

Crystal Palace ($3) Vs West Ham ($2.66), Draw ($3.35)

Palace host West Ham in the first of the mid-week games. This is an interesting matchup with both sides in varying levels of form with the West Ham coming off a strong 3-0 win at home to Fulham whilst Crystal Palace are coming off a 1-0 away loss to Norwich. Despite that loss, Palace have had a real positive of late having only conceded once in their last 3 games to show signs of life after a horrid start to life in the Premier League. West Ham though will be up and about after their 3-0 win over Fulham which is their first win since 6th of October when they beat Tottenham away also 3-0. This is a great opportunity for the Hammer’s to get back to back wins and consolidate their position towards the middle of the table. I do however think that the combination of this being Tony Pulis’s first home game in charge, West Ham’s poor away form, and Palace’s strong defensive form in their past 3 games will likely lead to a draw.

 

Predicted result: Draw 0-0

 

Best bet: Under 2.5 goals at $1.74

 

Best Bet Confidence: 75%

 

Arsenal ($1.21) Vs Hull ($18), Draw ($7.8) 

Both sides registered strong wins over the weekend with the Gunner’s victorious over Cardiff 3-0 away whilst Hull registered a fantastic home win over the red hot Liverpool 3-1. Whether Hull can back it up 2 weeks in a row against another top 4 side is another question, however there is no doubting their ability to compete at this level with some of the better sides. Arsenal though have yet to lose at home since their opening day defeat to Aston Villa and it’s difficult to see them losing at home this weekend despite the evident belief that this Hull side has. Aaron Ramsey is again in red hot form with another 2 goals on the weekend giving him 8 league goals and 13 in total in all competitions. They’ll need the win too given that they have Everton, Manchester City, and Chelsea to follow this fixture in the lead up to Christmas.

 

Predicted result: Arsenal 2-0

 

Best bet: Arsenal Half/Full time at $1.68

 

Best Bet Confidence: 80%

 

Liverpool ($1.29) Vs Norwich ($13), Draw ($6.4) 

Liverpool will be looking to bounce back strongly in this encounter with Norwich after succumbing to defeat away at Hull over the weekend. If last year’s corresponding fixture is anything to go by then it should be a regulation win for Liverpool here as they ran out 5-0 winners. Prior meetings to this have also resulted in big wins for the Reds with a 5-2 win and 3-0 win away for Liverpool. 13 goals conceded in 3 games is certainly not a good look for this Norwich side and I think there’ll be goals for Liverpool again this week. Norwich have thus far conceded 16 goals in away games and although 11 of these were in 2 games, it was against two of the top sides in the league in Arsenal and Manchester City. Look for Liverpool to bounce back strongly this week at home with an over 2.5 option a safe bet.

 

Predicted result: Liverpool 3-0

 

Best bet: Over 2.5 goals at $1.52

 

Best Bet Confidence: 90%

 

Manchester United ($1.75) Vs Everton ($5.5), Draw ($3.95) 

After an exciting 2-2 draw with Tottenham, Manchester United head back home to host another tough side in Everton. Everton pushed themselves into the top 5 with a strong 4-0 win over Stoke which puts them in good stead for this match. Everton also have had solid away form having only lost once in their 6 away games which came against Manchester City. They will however have a tough record to overturn having not won at Old Trafford since 1992. This is one of the more rounded and better Everton sides I’ve seen for a while with Lukaku leading the line along with a solid and creative midfield and solid backline. I can see Everton pushing for a draw here but whilst Manchester United have not been in the same form as last season, I think they’ll have enough to get over the line this weekend after a good performance against Tottenham away over the weekend to grab a point.

 

Predicted result: Manchester United 2-1

 

Best bet: Manchester United to win at $1.75

 

Best Bet Confidence: 80%

 

Southampton ($1.7) Vs Aston Villa ($5.8), Draw ($3.95) 

The Saints had a dream start to go ahead at Chelsea in their last game but were unable to stop them from their second half blitz to run out 3-1 winners. Villa had a tough home draw against Sunderland with goals seemingly hard to come by having only scored in 2 of their last 7 games. Perhaps there is a bit of pressure mounting on Benteke having now not scored in his last 6 games which can not only put pressure on him but also the team as they look for him to turn around their fortunes. 3 draws and a win in their last 4 might mean they are undefeated in that time, however with an in form Benteke they could have added at least one or two more wins to that list potentially. Southampton meanwhile are coming off two tough away losses to Arsenal and Chelsea but they are still undefeated at home which leaves them in a strong position against a Villa side struggling to score regularly.

 

Predicted result: Southampton 1-0

 

Best bet: Southampton to win at $1.70

 

Best Bet Confidence: 75%

 

Stoke ($2.1) Vs Cardiff ($4.1), Draw ($3.45) 

Cardiff travels to Stoke this week in what looks to be an intriguing matchup with both sides suffering big defeats at the weekend to big sides. Both sides have conceded a similar number of goals (18 for Stoke and 20 for Cardiff) whilst they have also score a similar number (12 for Stoke and 11 for Cardiff) to leave them both on 13 points and only separated by goal difference. Stoke have also had a strong run of home form with 2 draws and a win in their past 3. Their opponents in this match have by no means been strong in their away form results wise, but they have managed to only concede more than 2 goals on one occasion (against Chelsea). Playing against a Stoke side that has only scored 5 times at home, I think Cardiff are in a good position for a point here with an under 2.5 goal bet looking a good option here as well.

 

Predicted result: Draw 1-1

 

Best bet: Under 2.5 goals at $1.71

 

Best Bet Confidence: 85%

 

Sunderland ($6.8) Vs Chelsea ($1.57), Draw ($4.5) 

It just doesn’t seem to get any easier for this Sunderland side when they host Chelsea this weekend despite having won their last two home games against Newcastle and Manchester City. Chelsea also have an impeccable record at the Stadium of Light having won their past 8 visits there dating back to 02/03. Sunderland will be banking on Chelsea’s poor away form with only the 2 wins so far from their 6 away games. Whilst I don’t like the look of Chelsea’s away form and they have only scored 7 goals away, 6 of these have been scored in their past 3 away games so I see that as a strong step in the right direction. Given their strong record over Sunderland and recent improvements away, Chelsea should be able to get the win here.

 

Predicted result: Chelsea 2-0

 

Best bet: Chelsea to win at $1.57

 

Best Bet Confidence: 85%

 

Swansea ($2.22) Vs Newcastle ($3.6), Draw ($3.6) 

Swansea are coming off a tough encounter away at Manchester City whilst Newcastle had another solid win at home over West Brom to push them up onto 6th place. I usually like the odds of Swansea notching wins at home but this season they have been a little off at home. The added fixtures of the Europa league are perhaps having a bigger toll than expected which is making their performances suffer as a result. I have to say I quite like Newcastle in this one. Firstly because they have a good away record with 3 wins over Tottenham, Cardiff, and Villa. Secondly they are on a 4 match winning streak which has no doubt put in a great sense of confidence within the side. And thirdly Swansea’s home record of 1 win, 3 draws, and 2 losses doesn’t bode too well against a visiting side in strong form.

 

Predicted result: Newcastle 2-1

 

Best bet: Both teams to score at $1.71

 

Best Bet Confidence: 80%

 

Fulham ($5.7) Vs Tottenham ($1.73), Draw ($3.85) 

Another London derby during the week takes place with Fulham hosting Tottenham. Fulham’s defeat at West Ham over the weekend leaves them languishing in the relegation zone in 18th and a win is much needed to not only save Martin Jol’s job, but to also regain some much needed confidence amongst the playing group. They’ve now lost their past 5 matches scoring only twice and conceding 14 goals in the process. They’re also coming up against a Tottenham side that looked to have regained some confidence in their 2-2 draw with Manchester United which finally saw them score more than 1 goal in a game for only the 3rd time this season in the league. It was a really solid performance for Spurs against Man Utd and if not for such a positive display then I would be less optimistic about their chances. Look for Tottenham to notch a win to kick-start their season.

 

Predicted result: Tottenham 2-0

 

Best bet: Tottenham to win at $1.73

 

Best Bet Confidence: 75%

 

West Brom ($6.2) Vs Manchester City ($1.64), Draw ($4.2) 

West Brom take on Manchester City in their mid-week fixture with City in particular determined to get a solid away result on the board having only won one away game so far this season in the league. It’s still quite unbelievable that Manchester City can turn it on at home but have struggled to get results away from home. Perhaps it can largely be attributed to their defence which has had to chop and change numerous times throughout the season due to injury and form issues. 16 goals in their past 4 games should give them plenty of confidence as long as they can get over the mental barrier of playing away from home. West Brom have been pretty good at home and are undefeated in their past 4 home games, however I feel that the time has come for Manchester City to finally get another win away from home to show they are not just a side that is good at home.

 

Predicted result: Manchester City 3-1

 

Best bet: Over 2.5 goals at $1.7

 

Best Bet Confidence: 85%

 

 

 

Please Note:
All of the above are the opinions of the author and are not recommendations or advice. The author may not be taking every bet listed above. Bet at your own risk.
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Author

mm

Goal

As an Australian growing up AFL was always my no.1 sport especially given I was lucky enough to grow up a few blocks from Carlton’s home ground, Princes Park, where I was lucky enough to attend many games. That’s where my passion for sport began but it was until the early 2000’s when I discovered a real passion for football with the Socceroos 2002 World Cup qualifiers against Uruguay accelerating my football journey. From there I began to follow the Premier League and haven’t looked back since. These days I’m a massive Tottenham fan where I’ve enjoyed many sleepless nights religiously watching them without missing a game despite many roller coaster feelings. There’s just something magical and glamorous when you watch the EPL and knowing the Profits owners Drew and Euan through studies, I’m now lucky enough to be able to share my thoughts on each game each week of the season.

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