English Premier League Week 11 Game Predictions, Tips and Bets

English Premier League - Football

Another big week in European football has come to a close as we enter the weekend for this week’s EPL fixtures. Some exciting matchups between Wigan v West Brom, Manchester City v Spurs, and Chelsea v Liverpool will surely provide us with plenty of heart stopping moments this week. Let’s get stuck into it.

Best Value: Chelsea looks great value at $2.02 against Liverpool as does Manchester United at $1.55 against Villa. Great options for a multi bet this week.

11th November Fixture

Arsenal ($1.57) Versus Fulham ($6.8), Draw ($4.4)

Arsenal’s confidence has taken a battering over the last few weeks with losses to Chelsea, Norwich and United in their last 5 games. The inconsistency of the Gunners form would be a worry for fans as they slip away from any chance of competing for the title and a win this week is crucial to stay in contact with the top 4. The last time these two met at the Emirates was just under a year ago where Vermaelen was first the villain by scoring an own goal then rescuing a point by scoring late in the game. Fulham’s form has been solid and sits level with Arsenal on 15 points with only one loss in their last 6 matches which was to Man City. Martin Jol’s men would feel this is the opportune time to get a win away though Arsenal’s defence will have other ideas having conceded only 8 goals which is the best in the league. This looks to be a tight contest but Arsenal at home should just have enough quality to see this one through.
Predicted result: 2-1 Arsenal
Confidence: 70%
Betting option: Arsenal to win at $1.57

Everton ($1.51) Versus Sunderland ($8.4), Draw ($4.4)

Everton have not lost in 7 games and sit in 4th spot after 10 matches, the last time the Black Cats visited Goodison Park they received a thumping 4-0 and O’Niells men will want to rewrite the history books. This is a great time for Moyes men to rubberstamp their Champions League ambitions by securing 4th spot with a win.  With the Blues current form they look unbeatable at home against a side struggling to find the back of the net and keeping clear from relegation.  With Pienaar to return and Fellaini to reach full fitness with Baines creating chances it’s hard to see anything but an Everton win.
Predicted result: 2-0 Everton
Confidence: 85%
Betting option: Everton win at $1.51

Reading ($2.36) Versus Norwich ($3.35), Draw ($3.45)

This looks set to be a close encounter with Reading looking to secure their first three points for the season. Both teams have struggled to find the net with Reading scoring 12 and Norwich 8 and their defence is equal third worst in the league with 18 conceded. This is a chance for Norwich to firmly distance themselves from the relegation dogfight but for Reading a win will still see them in the bottom three one point adrift from safety. Norwich’s positive form of 2 wins and 1 draw in the last three make them favourites but with crucial importance in an early league match which could come back and haunt either team when the season closes this could see both teams putting it all on the line. We believe the match will end in a draw with many chances created.
Predicted result: 1-1 Draw
Confidence: 65%
Betting option: None

Southampton ($2.5) Versus Swansea ($3), Draw ($3.6)

Southampton are sitting rock bottom on the ladder with a tricky game against Swansea. Both teams play attractive open football which has seen them score goals this season however Southampton has seen the side effects of too much of an attacking style conceding a massive 28 goals thus far at an average of 2.8 goals a game. Southampton has only scored points at home and could carry on with another three, although Swansea’s form has picked up over the past week drawing against Chelsea and beating Liverpool in the Capital One Cup. An entertaining match awaits with Southampton just pipping Swansea.
Predicted result: Southampton 2-1
Confidence: 70%
Betting option: Over 2.5 goals at $1.7

Stoke ($1.94) Versus QPR ($4.7), Draw ($3.55)

QPR have not won a match this season with only 4 draws to their name and sit 19th on the ladder. Stoke have been a solid force at home this season with three draws and one win and have denied points against top teams like City and Arsenal.  The last time QPR travelled to Britannia they walked away 2-3 winners, however this time around Rangers form has been poor and even with new signings like Granero, Bosingwa, Mbia, Hoilett, Park and Zamora they have failed to gel together in what was supposed to be a promising combination of talent. Mark Hughes will be facing the chopping block in what looks like a must win game for him – Harry Redknapp to the rescue? We believe Stoke will play a physical and challenging game and will shut out any QPR threat to keep a clean sheet.
Predicted result: Stoke 2-0
Confidence: 75%
Betting option: Stoke win @ $1.94

Wigan ($2.38) Versus West Brom ($3.3), Draw ($3.5)

An in form Wigan host a well organised unit in West Brom this weekend in what is looking like one of the games of the week. Wigan is on a mini streak and a high having stunned Spurs last week 1-0 as well as a strong 2-1 win over West Ham the week prior. Like Wigan, West Brom has done very little wrong this season and they are currently sitting in 5th spot – If there is one thing they have done wrong, it is that they are yet to win a game away. Wigan has only lost once to West Brom in their past 4 games at home and will be confident at home given their 2 game winning streak. Odemwingie will be looking to back up his two goal effort against Southampton last week and will cause Wigan’s defence some concern this week with support from Lukaku and Long. This is a tough game to call and can easily go either way. Wigan arguably is in better form after their win over Spurs whilst West Brom has been strong all season but this one looks destined for a draw. Wigan is deservedly favourites but their inconsistency gives reason for concern.
Predicted result:  Draw 1-1
Confidence: 65%
Betting option:  Both teams to score at $1.65 could be a go

Aston Villa ($6.80) Versus Manchester United ($1.55), Draw ($4.6)

Villa host Manchester United in what looks to be a regulation win for the United. Manchester United sit comfortably on a 4 game Premier League winning streak and top of the table, whilst their opponents have struggled most of the season with 2 wins from 10 games. Rooney is in good form with 5 assists whilst RVP continues to bang in the goals with 8 and leading the league. United looked in a lot of trouble early this season with the number of injuries to their defence but they always have a knack of grinding through results and playing team football which makes them so hard to beat. United have also not lost in their past 5 visits to Villa Park and it’s really hard to see Villa getting anything out of this game. At $1.55, United is good value – Multi here we come.
Predicted result: Manchester United 3-0
Confidence: 95%
Betting option: Manchester United to win at $1.55 – Multi this one.

12th November Fixture

Manchester City ($1.62) Versus Tottenham ($6), Draw ($4.5)

City host Spurs this week in what’s sure to be a highly entertaining fixture. If it’s anything like the corresponding fixture last season we’ll be very lucky. Last year at the Emirates Stadium the result fell to City 3-2 but only thanks to a late penalty to Balotelli in the dying seconds. The big difference for this week is that Spurs are weaker in central midfield with no Modric, Parker still injured and Dembele also out injured. Dembele has perhaps been the biggest loss in recent weeks which has seen Spurs form dip as a result. AVB may look to deploy Adebayor and Defoe in a 4-4-2 after a successful partnership in the Europa league this week where Defoe slotted a hat trick – of the 8 times they started up front together last season Spurs won 7 times. If they play in this way and with Bale causing damage down the left, Spurs are certainly capable. On the other hand, City has been a little lacklustre recently especially with their draw against West Ham last week and their underwhelming performances in the Champions league with their most recent result a 2-2 draw with Ajax at home. Injuries to Micah Richards, Silva, Lescott, Milner and Rodwell haven’t helped but this is a team bursting with talent that it shouldn’t impact them too much and they are still unbeaten in the premier league this season.
Predicted result: Manchester City 2-1
Confidence: 70%
Betting option: none

Newcastle ($2.06) Versus West Ham ($4.1), Draw ($3.55)

Newcastle play host to West Ham with both teams coming off draws in their last Premier league fixtures. The last time these two played each other resulted in Newcastle handing out a 5-0 thumping in Jan 2011 which also leaves Newcastle undefeated at home to West Ham in their last 5 encounters. The shining light for Newcastle continues to be Demba Ba who has consistently been knocking in the goals – he currently has 7 Premier League goals only 1 behind RVP. Look for him to have his goal scoring boots on again this week. West Ham overall have had a decent season to date since re-joining the top flight though they have not travelled well.  If they are to have any chance here they will need the big man in Andy Carroll to start turning his effort into goals. Despite the 35 million tag he will forever carry, he is still a big goal threat and has shown this on the big stage in internationals. Newcastle should be just too strong here in this one and at home.
Predicted result: Newcastle 2-1
Confidence: 80%
Betting option: Newcastle at $2.06

Chelsea ($2.02) Versus Liverpool ($4), Draw ($3.8)

Chelsea will be looking to bring their Champion’s League form into this week when they host Liverpool. Having succumbed to a 1-1 draw with Swansea, Chelsea had an impressive win over Shakhtar and will be looking to continue that form. Victor Moses is in impressive form having scored against Swansea and sealing the win over Shakhtar and is starting to prove his worth but whether he’ll start this week is unlikely given the three pronged midfield attack of Mata, Hazard and Oscar. Interestingly Liverpool has a strong recent record at Stamford Bridge winning 3 of the last 5 and their last encounter resulting in a 2-1 win – But both sides are different this season with Chelsea much stronger now. Luis Suarez was in sparkling form last week against Newcastle with a goal and will need more support from midfield if he is to damage Chelsea’s solid defence. It’s difficult to see Liverpool winning this one given Chelsea’s strong form this season and their front line attack which has seen both Hazard and Mata provide 5 assists each which is a league best so far (Rooney also 5). At $2.02, Chelsea looks very good value here as well.
Predicted result: Chelsea 2-1
Confidence: 85%
Betting option: Chelsea to win at $2.02

Please Note:
All of the above are the opinions of the author and are not recommendations or advice. Bet at your own risk.
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As an Australian growing up AFL was always my no.1 sport especially given I was lucky enough to grow up a few blocks from Carlton’s home ground, Princes Park, where I was lucky enough to attend many games. That’s where my passion for sport began but it was until the early 2000’s when I discovered a real passion for football with the Socceroos 2002 World Cup qualifiers against Uruguay accelerating my football journey. From there I began to follow the Premier League and haven’t looked back since. These days I’m a massive Tottenham fan where I’ve enjoyed many sleepless nights religiously watching them without missing a game despite many roller coaster feelings. There’s just something magical and glamorous when you watch the EPL and knowing the Profits owners Drew and Euan through studies, I’m now lucky enough to be able to share my thoughts on each game each week of the season.

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