English Premier League Week 27 Game Predictions, Tips and Bets

English Premier League - Football

Football is really heating up at the moment. We had plenty of mouth-watering matchups in the Champion’s league and Europa league matches this week and a weekend full of EPL action to look forward to. Of most interest this weekend will be the Capital One Cup final between Bradford and Swansea. It would be fantastic to see Bradford win and prove again that anything is possible in football but it remains to be seen if the occasion and Wembley will be too much for them to handle. Let’s hope they make it a nail-biting finish!

Best Value Bet: Newcastle to beat Southampton at $2.16

Multi Options

Safe Multi: Arsenal to win at $1.34, Manchester United to win at $1.5, Everton Double chance at $1.23, Manchester City Double chance at $1.22 = $3.04

Value Multi: Newcastle to win at $2.16, Manchester United to win at $1.50, Everton to win at $2.1 and Arsenal to win at $1.34 = $9.12

Fulham ($2.14) Versus Stoke ($3.95), Draw ($3.45)

  • Fulham Last 5:DLWLD
    • Won 3 of the last 4 at home against Stoke
  • Stoke Last 5:LLDLW
    •  Only 1 goal For in their last 5 away

Fulham has drawn blank in their last two games and really need Berbatov and Rodallega to find the net like they did against the Hammers to have any chance of getting the win here. Stoke finally broke their 6 game streak without a win against Reading. The form of Stoke has been disappointing after they made a bright start to the season. They haven’t been able to find the net in 10 matches this season and will struggle to find goals away at Craven Cottage. Fulham for the win, just.
Predicted result: Fulham 1-0
Confidence: 65%
Best Bet: none

Arsenal ($1.34) Versus Aston Villa ($11.5), Draw ($5.5)

  • Arsenal Last 5:LWDWW
    • Yet to lose a game when scoring first (11 times for 9 wins and 2 draws)
  • Aston Villa Last 5:LDLDW
    •  Benteke is in a stunning run of form with 5 goals in his last 4 PL games

Arsenal will have to pick themselves up once again from a midweek defeat against a Bayern team that was clearly too classy for them. Nevertheless at the Emirates this should be a routine win if they can shut down the Betenke who has been in great form lately. Both teams have much to lose, if the Gunners lose they could possibly drop to 6th and leave them 7 points adrift of 4th spot, and for Villa a defeat could send them back in to the bottom three. Arsenal should be able to bounce back from a miserable champions league defeat to hopefully put their fourth spot aspirations back on track.
Predicted result: Arsenal Win 2-0
Confidence: 80%
Best Bet: Arsenal to win at $1.34

Norwich ($3.9) Versus Everton ($2.1), Draw ($3.45)

  • Norwich Last 5:DLDDD
    • Only scored 1 goal in their last 5 PL games
  • Everton Last 5:DDWDL
    •  Only lost 1 of their last 6 away

The Canaries are struggling to find the back of the net (Only 25 goals for the season whilst failing to score 9 times) and they really need to start turning their draws into wins. Everton on the other hand will look to continue the pressure on Tottenham for fourth spot but need to bounce back from their defeat against United. Recent draws and a loss have seen them drift 6 points away from 4th placed Tottenham. Everton’s away form has been exceptional of late with Fellaini and Baines very influential. If they both play to their strengths there’s no reason why they can’t win, but inconsistency makes this match look like a draw is the most likely outcome.
Predicted result: Draw 2-2
Confidence: 70%
Best Bet: Double Chance Everton at $1.23

QPR ($8) Versus Manchester United ($1.5), Draw ($4.6)

  • QPR Last 5:DDDDL
    • Have not beaten United in their last 10 meetings (1 draw)
  • Manchester United Last 5:WDWWW
    •  On a 14 game unbeaten run in the PL – not surprising of course.

This match is set to be a David vs Goliath remake with last place hosting first place. Rangers need to start winning if they are to have any chance of surviving the drop and they will have to play out of their skins against a Red Devils squad that is in red hot form. Whilst it’s tough to play at Loftus road (as QPR showed the likes of Spurs, Chelsea and Manchester City) it’s hard to look past anything but a win for United against a team that has only scored 19 goals all season which is a stat that equals RVP’s total goals scored so far in the PL. Only chance QPR have is if Adel Taarabt plays to his best as he is their leader in goals and assists. Redknapp this week said he was quietly confident of getting a result against United but they will be lucky to get a draw here.
Predicted result: Man Utd 2-0
Confidence: 80%
Best Bet: Manchester United to win at $1.50

Reading ($2.68) Versus Wigan ($2.92), Draw ($3.45)

  • Reading Last 5:WWDWL
    • Undefeated in their last 5 at home
  • Wigan Last 5:DLDDL
    •  1 win in their last 13 PL games

Coming off a strong performance against Manchester United in the FA Cup, despite the result, Reading will look to continue their good recent form against Wigan here. Wigan is struggling with 1 win in their last 13 in the PL though they did have an impressive performance in their 4-1 win over Huddersfield in the FA Cup. Another hurdle for Wigan will be Reading’s undefeated home form in their last 5 and it’s this consistency that makes them hard to go past here.
Predicted result: Reading 2-1
Confidence: 80%
Best Bet: Value is on Reading to win at $2.68 but a safer bet is to put them at Double chance at $1.35

West Brom ($2.08) Versus Sunderland ($4), Draw ($3.7)

  • West Brom Villa Last 5:LDLLW
    • Won 3 of their last 4 against Sunderland at home
  • Sunderland Last 5:WWDLL
    •  Only beaten a top half side once this season

West Brom had a fantastic win over Liverpool in their last game and it should provide the confidence they need to reinvigorate their season after a poor run of form. Sunderland on the other hand is coming off two losses and have only scored 1 goal in their past 3. They also have pretty mixed form in away games with 3 losses and 2 wins in their last 5 away. This will be a close fought game with the advantage with West Brom purely on home form.
Predicted result: West Brom 1-0
Confidence: 70%
Best Bet: Under 2.5 goals looks the go at $1.87

Manchester City ($1.97) Versus Chelsea ($4.4), Draw ($3.8)

  • Manchester City Last 5:WWDDL
    • Last 5 PL scorelines against Chelsea has averaged only 1.8 goals a game.
  • Chelsea Last 5:DWDLW
    • Conceded 9 goals in their last 5 – need to tighten up at the back

Manchester City host Chelsea in a game neither side will want to lose and more so Chelsea with Tottenham closing in only 1 point behind. The title race looks almost over unless Manchester United has a drastic loss of form. City has had some relatively poor form of late with draws against QPR and Liverpool and a somewhat shock loss to Southampton. Chelsea has also had some inconsistent form of late being unable to string wins together in the PL over their last 7. City should be up for this one in what will be a tight but attacking game.
Predicted result: Manchester City 2-1
Confidence: 75%
Best Bet: Manchester City double chance at $1.22

Newcastle ($2.16) Versus Southampton ($3.8), Draw ($3.6)

  • Newcastle Last 5:DLWWL
    • Hold a 4-1-0 record against Southampton in their past 5 at home
  • Southampton Last 5:DDLDW
    •  Only 2 away wins in the PL this season

Newcastle has been in pretty good form despite their last loss at the hands of Tottenham due to the brilliance of Bale whilst their progression through to the final 16 in the Europa league will do wonders for the final stages of the season. Southampton will be on a high after their massive win over Manchester City and will hold no fear travelling to Newcastle. Newcastle holds a strong record over Southampton at home and with their reinvigorated side they should be able to get the points here. Add to this their strong win over Chelsea in their last home game and it’s looking very positive for Newcastle.
Predicted result: Newcastle 2-0
Confidence: 80%
Best Bet: Value here is Newcastle to win at $2.16

West Ham ($3.7) Versus Tottenham ($2.22), Draw ($3.45)

  • West Ham Last 5:DLLWL
    • 2 wins in their last 11
  • Tottenham Last 5:DDDWW
    •  Bale has 6 goals in his last 4 games in all comps.

With West Ham hosting the in form Tottenham, or should we say the in form Bale, It looks a regulation result for Spurs if he can continue his stunning form. The Hammers won the last time these two played here, though it’s Spurs who have won 3 and drawn 1 of the last 5 at Upton Park. At times West Ham has been good at home but it’s hard to see them toppling a Tottenham side on the charge up the ladder. Spurs will be on a high after securing passage to the final 16 of the Europa league after their late draw with Lyon on Thursday.
Predicted result: Tottenham 2-0
Confidence: 80%
Best Bet: Under 2.5 goals at $1.99

Please Note:
All of the above are the opinions of the author and are not recommendations or advice. Bet at your own risk.
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As an Australian growing up AFL was always my no.1 sport especially given I was lucky enough to grow up a few blocks from Carlton’s home ground, Princes Park, where I was lucky enough to attend many games. That’s where my passion for sport began but it was until the early 2000’s when I discovered a real passion for football with the Socceroos 2002 World Cup qualifiers against Uruguay accelerating my football journey. From there I began to follow the Premier League and haven’t looked back since. These days I’m a massive Tottenham fan where I’ve enjoyed many sleepless nights religiously watching them without missing a game despite many roller coaster feelings. There’s just something magical and glamorous when you watch the EPL and knowing the Profits owners Drew and Euan through studies, I’m now lucky enough to be able to share my thoughts on each game each week of the season.

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