These last two weeks of the EPL are sure to be huge not only with top 4 still yet to be decided as well as a number of teams in danger of dropping still, but we also have the retirement of a legend of the game in Sir Alex Ferguson. Love or hate Manchester United, you can’t help but have a certain level of respect for what he has done for Manchester United. His replacement in David Moyes is a good one and well deserved for what he has done for Everton over the last 10 years. It’s unlikely but hopefully for us opposition supporters it’s a slow transition for him next year as he takes over one of the biggest clubs in the world.
Plenty of big matchups this week where there is bound to be a few upsets as the teams at the bottom fight for survival. Of particular interest will be Villa against Chelsea, Stoke versus Tottenham and Arsenal hosting Wigan. The results of these games determining whether the top 4 is decided this week or whether we get blessed with an exciting last weekend of football where it goes down to the wire.
Best Value Bet: Manchester United half/full time double at $1.86
Aston Villa ($4.9) Versus Chelsea ($1.84), Draw ($3.85)
- Aston Villa Last 5: WDLWW
- Chelsea Last 5: WDWWD
Chelsea will be playing their 13th game since April 1st when they visit Aston Villa this weekend. The positive is that they have showed very little signs of tired legs thanks to some effective rotations from Benitez. They’ve also only lost twice in this stretch of games and they’ll be up for this one knowing that if they secure a win here means they secure Champion’s League football next year. Villa have been in pretty good form with wins over Sunderland and Norwich but they will be a little wary given they got thumped 8-0 the last time they played Chelsea. It won’t be the same result this time and Villa will push Chelsea but the Blues look too strong.
Predicted Result: Chelsea 2-1
Best Bet: Over 2.5 goals at $1.76
Stoke ($4.5) Versus Tottenham ($1.97), Draw ($3.65)
- Stoke Last 5: LLWWD
- Tottenham Last 5: DWDWD
It’s a must win for Tottenham here in their quest for top 4 and they’ll need results in Arsenal’s final fixtures to also go their way if they are to sneak into the top 4. Spurs showed some fight against Chelsea during the week to come back from a goal down twice to draw 2-2 where Adebayor perhaps played his best game of the season. Stoke will be feeling a little more confident after their recent 2 wins and a draw but although they won’t push as hard for the win, they’ll likely sit back and defend for the most part. It’ll be tough for Spurs to get the win but they’ll know a win will heap pressure back on to Arsenal to get the points over Wigan so they’ll be up for this. 5 of Tottenham’s last 6 matches have all been over 2.5 goals and with Stoke starting to score and Tottenham prone to conceding it should be a similar result here.
Predicted Result: Tottenham 2-1
Best Bet: Over 2.5 goals at $2.16
Sunderland ($2.72) Versus Southampton ($2.96), Draw ($3.3)
- Sunderland Last 5: LWWLD
- Southampton Last 5: WDDLL
This is sure to be an entertaining game with both sides needing a win to ensure their survival in the top flight. Southampton was unlucky to not get a point in their last game against Tottenham and had a few chances to go ahead. Sunderland seem to have lost their way a little with two players sent off in their last two games and Di Canio will be surely getting a little nervous about relegation. Southampton has lost only once in their last 5 games at Sunderland though their last corresponding fixture here was way back in 2003. There’ll be a few goals here but it’s another game that looks likely to end in a draw.
Predicted Result: Draw 1-1
Best Bet: Both teams to score at $1.83
Norwich ($2.2) Versus West Brom ($3.45), Draw ($3.6)
- Norwich Last 5: DLWLL
- West Brom Last 5: LDWLL
Norwich is 3 points off the drop whilst West Brom is safe thanks to their strong first half of the season. The pressure will be on Norwich here to secure the 3 points to almost guarantee their survival with 1 game to play. Their form has been questionable though with only one win since their loss to Manchester United at the beginning of March. West Brom themselves are in similar form with only 1 win from their last 7 whilst this will also be their 3rd game in 9 days so fitness could play a part.
Predicted Result: Draw 2-2
Best Bet: Over 2.5 goals at $1.93
QPR ($3.3) Versus Newcastle ($2.36), Draw ($3.5)
- QPR Last 5: DLLDL
- Newcastle Last 5: WLDLD
One goal in their last 5 games illustrates QPRs poor season though it was good to see they didn’t let Arsenal run all over them in their last game where they lost 1-0. This is a fixture for Newcastle is a must win with relegation a very real possibility if they don’t get a point at the least here. The problem, as has been the case all season, is that Newcastle’s away form has been shocking and if the table was based on away game they’d be in the relegation zone sitting in 18th. Despite this poor record, Newcastle did show some good touch last week when they drew against a West Ham side that many expected to win relatively easily. Look for another draw here to assure Newcastle’s survival if Wigan is beaten this weekend by Arsenal.
Predicted Result: Draw 1-1
Best Bet: Under 2.5 goals at $1.96
Everton ($1.51) Versus West Ham ($8), Draw ($4.4)
- Everton Last 5: WDLWD
- West Ham Last 5: DDWLD
With David Moyes to be the new manager of Manchester United, it’s going to be an interesting atmosphere in this one against West Ham. The Everton fans will be very grateful for what he has done for their club over the last 10 years but as soon as he’s over at United they’ll think very differently, especially once he takes Leighton Baines with him. Regardless of what’s happened off the field this week, It’s difficult to see Everton losing to the Hammer’s here as they boast the 3rd best home record in the league with only the 1 loss. They also have not lost to West Ham in their past 4 games at Goodison Park but if they are to get the win they’ll need to put their shooting boots on as they have only scored once in their past 4 games.
Predicted Result: Everton 1-0
Best Bet: Under 2.5 goals at $2.16 looks the value here
Fulham ($3.95) Versus Liverpool ($2.1), Draw ($3.65)
- Fulham Last 5: DLLLL
- Liverpool Last 5: DDDWD
Fulham look like they are just playing out the season content with their last 4 losses and it’s going to be tough for them to get the 3 points this weekend. Liverpool is undefeated over their last 6 but they have also failed to score in 3 of these games when prior to this they had only failed to score 5 times throughout the season. It’s this inconsistency in attack of late that puts a slight question mark of their ability to score the goals to win this weekend. Liverpool will be without Steven Gerrard after picking up a shoulder injury. With a draw to all but guarantee safety for Fulham and with Liverpool’s inconsistency in regards to scoring this is a likely result.
Predicted Result: Draw 1-1
Best Bet: Both teams to score at $1.62
Manchester United ($1.32) Versus Swansea ($12.5), Draw ($5.9)
- Man Utd Last 5: WDWDL
- Swansea Last 5: DDLDW
With the retirement of Sir Alex during the week, this is sure to be a massive game with a number of emotions at its close from both the players and fans. The United players will want to win here for their manager as a way to pay tribute. Expect a strong team selection from Ferguson to ensure they get the win here over a Swansea side that really has nothing to play for given they are safe from relegation. RVP will again be the main figure here with 5 goals in his last 4 games putting him in some excellent form. Can’t see United absolutely thumping Swansea to the extent of a 4 or 5 nil result but it should be a pretty straight forward result for United here for a 2 or 3 nil win.
Predicted Result: Manchester United 3-0
Best Bet: Manchester United half/full time double at $1.86
Arsenal ($1.36) Versus Wigan ($9.8), Draw ($5.4)
- Arsenal Last 5: WDWDW
- Wigan Last 5: LLDWL
Massive game for both sides here with a win for Arsenal keeping them ahead of Spurs in their top 4 battle whilst a win for Wigan gives them hope of survival and puts other teams on notice. It’d be silly to underestimate Wigan here given they are renowned for their fighting spirit when it comes to relegation. They also beat Arsenal the last time (2-1) they played at the Emirates and Arsenal only beat them 1-0 away earlier this season so it’s certainly going to be a close game. Arsenal is unbeaten in their last 8 and they certainly have a confidence about them at the moment. As long as they don’t underestimate their opponents they should get the win but don’t be surprised if Wigan bob up for a draw or even a stunning win.
Predicted Result: Arsenal 2-1
Best Bet: Both teams to score at $1.74
Reading ($7.2) Versus Manchester City ($1.48), Draw ($4.5)
- Reading Last 5: LDLDW
- Manchester City Last 5: WLWDW
Reading played an excellent game last week against Fulham to get a 4-2 win with Robson-Kanu the main man with 2 goals. Although neither side has nothing to play for it’ll be hard to see Manchester City giving in to a somewhat resurgent Reading side. A win for Reading will give them a great boost heading into the Championship but it’s all a bit too late to really do anything for them. For City it’s really an opportunity for their forgotten stars in the likes of Dzeko to get an opportunity and put their credentials to work so they’ll certainly have a few players that are hungry for a win as well as to put potential buyers on alert in the upcoming summer transfer window.
Predicted Result: Manchester City 2-1
Best Bet: Manchester City to win at $1.48
All of the above are the opinions of the author and are not recommendations or advice. Bet at your own risk.
All of our information is provided free. Thanks.
Please Gamble Responsibly!