Welcome to The Profits form guide for 2 April 2016 at Randwick. The Championships are upon us and we are in for a great day of racing action from Randwick. For once, the rain has stayed away the past few days so we will get a fair track without lanes, hopefully. There are certainly a few good bets on the card and hopefully we nail a few to come out ahead on what is normally a good day for us. As always, I hope your form matches up with mine! Good luck and happy punting.
Best Bet
Randwick Race 7 – Tarzino for 2.5 units @ $1.90 to win
Finding it impossible to back against Tarzino here. The price on offer is still value. I think the markets have the other runners right in Tally and Jameka the main threats while What’s The Story is the chance of the imports. Very happy to be on.
Next Best Bet
Randwick Race 6 – Telperion for 1.5 units @ $4.20 to win
I only have eyes for Telperion here. Last start run was huge. Looks well suited to the distance increase and maps perfectly to get a better run today.
Best E/W Bet
Randwick Race 10 – Sacred Eye for 1.25 units @ $4.80/$2.00 Each-Way
This horse will have every possible chance if allowed to control tempo in front and i’m not convinced the 4.5kg means that much when you are against this class of horse. Even if something does try and take them on out the front, Sacred Eye can take a sit just off the tempo and be far too good late.
Best Value Bet
Randwick Race 8 – Flamberge for 0.75 units @ $19/$4.60 Each-Way
Flamberge has won two Group 1s in a row and has to carry the weight in one of them and WFA win in the other on the worst ground. The horse will be peaking third up today and maps to get a beautiful run, many lengths ahead of the two favourites in the run.
Rosehill Quaddie
Quaddie Leg One: 1, 4, 8, 13
Quaddie Leg Two: 1, 2, 4, 9, 14, 15
Quaddie Leg Three: 1, 3, 5, 10
Quaddie Leg Four: 1, 2, 5, 6
Tools
Skyracing (TAB) form guide – this is what we use for the basics – http://www.skyracing.com.au
Speedmaps and form from Punters – http://www.punters.com.au/form-guide/
Follow Racing Victoria Stewards on twitter for tactic changes, track conditions and ride reports
I find all of the best early odds at www.bestodds.com.au
Our results are updated daily here – Betting Spreadsheet
Index
Red means Top pick. Blue means second pick and Green refers to a saver pick. Orange means the pick looks value.
Randwick Race 1 – 1100m – Widden Kindergarten Stakes
1. Astern: Went through the grades including a strong win in the Silver Slipper but failed to run on in the Golden Slipper from an on speed position after working hard from the outside barrier. Will need to do the same amount of work today to get on speed.
2. Lionhearted: Three runs and yet to win yet. Group 2 placed two runs back and a nice gap to third. Strong run 4th in the Pago Pago on speed. Will be much harder to get that position today.
3. El Divino: Two strong trial wins coming into his first run. Went around a short priced favourite on a Heavy 8 at Gosford and won by 4.8 lengths. Looks a very good type on what I have seen to date and maps well from barrier 5.
4. Hostwin Legend: Two trial wins heading into his first up run. Over raced at the back of the field and hung out. Did a lot wrong. Has to improve but looks better than that first run.
5. Prince Chabai: Two trials heading into this and while they weren’t terrible, they didn’t show us a lot to work off. Price says a lot.
6. Mooshakissa: Maiden winner by 3 lengths from an on speed run. Next start in a solid 2YO race at Rosehill a nice second. Was fair for 5th in the MM race behind Capitalist. D Oliver takes the ride. Could have improved onwards since.
7. Alliterate: Two wins heading into this including a strong win at Dubbo followed by a 100k race at Wellington by a lazy 2.3 lengths. Dismiss at your own risk.
9. Geneteau: Yet to win on the track but has won both trials on record. Has to improve significantly to be placing here.
10. Let’s Dream Big: Maiden winner. Well beaten last start at Kembla Grange. Hard to suggest.
Comments: El Divino would have loved the rain to come a little later in the week but that just wasn’t to be. El Divino and Astern are clearly the horses to beat today while Mooshakissa has the ability to return a winner here at big odds.
Confidence 70%
Strategy: Mooshakissa Each-Way.
Randwick Race 2 – 1600m – Carbine Club Stakes
1. Odyssey Moon: An absolute cat. He continues to run some brilliant races and just continues to find at least one too good with just 1 win from 13 runs to date. Very disappointing run last start at Bendigo. His best runs for mine in the past have been 1200-1400m. Maps perfectly.. never placed at distance.
2. Tatoosh: Will get back in the run here. Three runs this prep and hasn’t been close to a win or even a place. Back in distance should suit here but last win was at Tamworth last year.. yes since then he actually ran well in 3YO group class, but hasn’t returned well this prep.
3. He’s Our Rokkii: Well up in class here today. Obviously looked a nice type in the past and ran very well two back at Sandown. Last start in a similar time ran, found one way too good. Can improve onwards but needs to find a good spot to win this.
4. Montauk: Ran well first up at Kembla Grange when blocked for a run 1.8L off the winners as a good lead in race for this. Last prep started 2nd favourite to Mahuta at Flemington after going through the grades but failed. Maps nicely from Barrier 1 but has to have improved to be winning i’d imagine.
5. Moher: Clear leader on paper today. Nice win last start in easier grade at Kembla Grange. Previous run a close 3rd to Happy Hannah who has franked the form since. Best runs in the past have been good enough but will certainly have to bring that today.
6. Hierarchal: 4th in a 3Y-GP1 last prep behind Vanbrugh over 2000m. Five runs this prep for just one placing in much easier company. 2000m back to 1600m.
7. Data Point: Stays up in Sydney after a very strong run 6th in 3Y-GP1 last start behind Le Romain/Press Statement. Was slow out and his race was run right there. Handles any tempo, any track condition and will get much closer to the speed today. Looks primed.
8. Queen of Wands: Looked a decent type as a 2YO. Went back to the country to get a CL2 win then came back to Kembla for a 3YB-67 win last start in a 6 horse field. Going the right way about it this time in now, but certainly has to improve significantly here again.
9. Rosaleisha: Heavy track win last start. Previous two runs suggest to be she needs to improve about 2 lengths on the surface presented for this race to measure up.
Comments: Quite keen on the price available for Data Point and expect it will probably continue to drift due to the horse being from Melbourne, from the Kent yard and being fairly unknown and unproven on the board.
Confidence 75%
Strategy: Data Point to win.
Randwick Race 3 – 2600m – Schweppes Chairman’s Handicap
1. Libran: It’s hard to talk poorly of Libran’s last two performances. He continues to go through the grades and up in distance as expected is suiting him. Maps perfectly again and will be hard to beat.
2. Auvray: Third up today. He was well beaten first up and last start when very well backed pulled up with Lacerations when finishing last. Group 2-3 winner over 3000m over in France in the past. The extra distance today should obviously suit, but can he regain his very best form is the real question. We know Libran has.
3. Destiny’s Kiss: Going well enough this prep with strong listed wins, but the company he beat those days were not the greatest you will ever see. Last start had every possible chance when fair to the line over 2000m. Past results suggest 2600m should suit a lot better and he will be primed for this. Good mapping.
4. Cafe Society: Finally found some form last start with a game run 2nd. Well beaten though on the day and even at the weights will have to improve onwards and upwards to be in the finish.
5. Alegria: Big step up in distance today after strong runs all prep not winning over 1400-1900m. May very well be wanting the distance, but it’s very hard to take a 4YO mare up to this distance first up against this class of horse.
6. Wales: Very hard horse to catch. On his best runs in the past he has more than measured up to this level, but is his very best over the 2000m distance and not further?
7. Supercoach: Won three in a row which is hard to talk poorly about. Obviously a huge jump in grade here and will have to get a stronger tempo without an uncontested lead. Testing material.
8. Dee I Cee: Maiden winner over 2040m and then went on to win a BM-65 and to place over 2400m behind Mongolian Khan (beaten 6.5L) in a Group 1. Two runs this prep have been good, but certainly has to improve again with more than a month between runs.
9. High Opinion: Hasn’t won in a long time and that was BM-60. Have to take him on.
Comments: Libran is the horse to beat. Has the Handicapper got him today? Cafe Society is going the right way also, but i’m expecting at least one to stay on past him. I’m not convinced with Auvray either. For mine this comes down to a Libran who is up in the weights, a Destiny’s Kiss that should improve lengths up to the 2600m and Dee I Cee. On ratings and past runs, Dee I Cee has a significant chance to run down Libran at the weights.
Confidence 70%
Strategy: Libran to win. Also back Dee I Cee.
Randwick Race 4 – 1400m – The Country Championships Final
This is too low a grade form for me to give you a preview of without making stuff up. I don’t bet into the NSW Country and I won’t be betting here.
Comments: Lofty’s Menu top pick.
Confidence 0%
Strategy: Lofty’s Menu to win.
Randwick Race 5 – 1200m – Dilmah Tea P J Bell Stakes
1. Perignon: Wide barrier so most likely get caught 3-wide from this barrier on my mapping. Group 2 win last start at course and distance but had a nice run in the small field. Will find this harder but even on last start has to be considered to be going the right way. Group 1 placed in past.
2. Pearls: Hasn’t shown a lot this prep at all. Much better runs last prep. Struggle to suggest on the 1200m distance either. Barrier is the only key positive.
3. Secret Agenda: Looked a very good type last prep when winning in Group 3 class. First up no disgrace first up but was a soft run to get beat there for mine. Found nothing second up in Group 1 class with 50kg. Well back in class. Maps nicely enough but won’t get any cheap sectionals.
4. No More Tears: NZ import. Late flight over a huge concern. Very wide barrier. Will be pushing forward. Group 3 winner last prpe. Much harder here.
5. Dawnie Perfect: Best runs in the past were over 2000m with a Group 3 win over Honesta. Hard to have over this distance.
6. Lady Sniper: Beat a nice type in Hellbent last prep. First up found little but then improved to win very well from the back last start at Gosford. Looks to have a ton of ability but does have to show it here.
7. Alart: D Oliver takes the ride. Didn’t show a lot first up. Previous prep did win a 3F-LR at Rosehill. Has ability.
8. Lake Geneva: Very hard horse to catch. Her very best run at MV last prep was good enough to win this, but every runs since has been well below that.
9. Super Cash: Massive issue with the wide barrier today, will take a good ride to get a very good spot in running. Ran nicely first up behind Almighty Girl and Secret Agenda blocked for runs and then won well down the straight at Flemington last start. Goes well this distance and is flying.
10. Egyptian Symbol: Continues to run well without winning with 5 placings in a row. Harder race today, barrier is fine for her. Can run well.
11. Tempt Me Not: Very plain run last start and had no excuses either. Wide barrier will make it very hard again. Non-winner who last won in a BM-65. Has placed in Group 2 company since but just keeps missing.
12. Lady Jivago: First up. Last prep went through the grades so to speak but nothing like this. Struggle to even look at off last preps form. Did win a good race as a 2YO but that’s it.
13. Denmagic: Continues to run well having not missed a place in all six runs this prep. Last start in similar level a close 3rd to Southern Legend. Has to improve again here.
14. Denpurr: Very disappointing run even though blocked for runs first up. Last prep looked a nice type but this does look a bit beyond her.
15. Painted Firetail: Very nice run last start at Moonee Valley when blocked for runs and finished off quite well behind Almighty Girl. Can improve but has to be very good to make the jump again. Have to go forward from barrier rather than back to last.
16. Regatta Rebel: Every chance last start and not in it close to the finish. Maiden winner. Group 3 placed as a 2YO. Best is good enough but not shown that this prep.
17. Typecast: Won two in a row then last start didn’t show much at all. Up in grade again tough ask.
18. Don’t Doubt Marley: Only fair first up at Kembla. 2YO winner in the past. Failed to measure up to the elite sprint levels though as a 3YO but wasn’t bad. Hard to see.
19. Divine Centuri: Sure it won a FM-BL3 at Doomben but is that really the form lines that will win you this? Times were sound but I’d struggle to suggest.
Comments: 19-horse fields are very hard to bet into with huge confidence. I dislike the barrier, but Perignon is a huge price today and I’m finding it hard to back against her here.
Confidence 60%
Strategy: Perignon E/W
Randwick Race 6 – 1400m – Inglis Sires’
1. Telperion: Hard to ignore the very solid run last start in the Slipper behind Capitalist hitting the line strongly from dead last. Much better gate today will allow him to get a better spot in running and 1400m will suit.
2. Good Standing: Very disappointing run in the Slipper coming off two solid runs at the top level. Barrier doesn’t help at all here.
3. Seaburge: Obviously a nice type and continues to improve with distance. Last start won well at Flemington but did look to want no more than the 1400m. Expect the 3 weeks between runs to have bought him on more.
4. Attention: Snowden runner that has taken a different route to this today. On speed last start at Rosehill in the sweet lane, won nicely enough in a Group 3 race. Much harder here does map well though.
5. Detective: Nice enough run last start at Flemington but Seaburge did go straight past. Toughed it out to the line and probably wants even further than this. Will run well.
6. Chimboraa: Never been far off a win his last three runs and was a very good run at Rosehill 2nd in Group 2 company last start. Barrier a huge concern in getting a good spot.. will need to jump well!
7. Rivo Boy: Having his second run ever which certainly makes it hard to suggest today. Missed the start at Kembla and flew home to just miss. Clearly has ability but inexperienced.
8. Yankee Rose: Another strong runner to come out of the Slipper. Flew home for 2nd behind Capitalist. Beat Good Standing the previous start also. Maps awkwardly and may need to go back further than they want.
9. Zamzam: Shown clear ability on runs to date but was 6L off Extreme Choice in the Diamond and only just got home last start against Legless Veuve. Others preferred for mine.
10. Faraway Town: 2YO winner last year. First up last start at Rosehill ran home fairly in lead up to this. Suspect will find a few too good from position in running. Has ability.
11. Omei Sword: Just beaten last start at Rosehill coming off a maiden win. Will appreciate the step up in distance on breeding and times are sound. Good barrier.
12. Sparkle: Maiden winner. Every chance well beaten last start at Kembla. Has to improve.
Comments: I only have eyes for Teleperion here. Looks well suited to the distance increase and maps perfectly.
Confidence 80%
Strategy: Telperion for 1.5 units @ $4.20 to win
Randwick Race 7 – 2400m – BMW Australian Derby
1. Tarzino: The benchmark horse of the staying 3YOs. Personally feel his very best is over the 2000m distance, but he will get the 2400m just fine like he did last prep. They won’t be riding him as far forward as last start at Rosehill, but from Barrier 6, expect him to sit midfield and be very hard to beat.
2. Vanbrugh: Group 1 winner last prep but there really are questionmarks over the quality of that race on form lines. Was much better last start but still well beaten by 3.8L 4th to Tarzino. Up to 2400m but hard to see him going past Tarzino.
3. Etymology: Ran much better last start than previous runs. Will really appreciate the extra distance once again, but even J Mac has jumped off telling you a lot.
4. Tally: Flying. Very comfortable win last start over the 2040m when taking care of a relatively poor field outside of Palentino who I’d suggest didn’t stay the distance. Won 4 in a row and obviously going very well. Need a good ride to get a nice spot just off the pace without getting caught 3-wide.
5. Sovereign Nation: Every chance last start at Rosehill when speed was on, got a nice sit and just plain to the line. Will be better over further but hard to see the upset result here on past performances.
6. Torgersen: Kept under wraps this one going through the grades. Four runs this prep and it’s clear to my eye they have been holding him off for this race. Bred to stay, was a nice run 2nd to Old North last start from out the back. Can go one better if good enough.
7. Gold Ambition: Very disappointing run last start at Rosehill. Just didn’t seem to stay? Hasn’t stayed on previous runs over 2000m either? Not one I want to be on over this distance.
8. What’s The Story: NZ import. Close 2nd in the Group 1 last start over in NZ. Very late arrival this week which is a big set back for mine. Maps midfield. Have to be very good to measure up here.
9. Tavago: Same flight as What’s The Story and coming out of the same race. Got way too far back last start. Barrier 1, will get cover on rail. Finished off nicely last start but clearly needs to find lengths.
10. Crosley Hotshot: Every possible last start and failed to fire or finish off. Pushing onwards and upwards is hard to see as a good idea but they are.
11. Oh So Splendido: Another NZ import. Was out for the previous run when 8L off Tarzino. Hard to see.
12. Alfden: Well beaten last start with every possible chance behind Old North. Up in distance doesn’t exactly fill me with joy on his chances.
13. Jameka: The only filly of the field, she is certainly going well enough to suggest she has the ability to win, but she had the perfect run last start and Tarzino gave her wind burn. Will need to have improved and get a better run than Tarzino today.. tough from barrier 12! Wouldn’t be shocked if she led!
Comments: Finding it impossible to back against Tarzino here. The price on offer is still value. I think the markets have the other runners right in Tally and Jameka the main threats while What’s The Story is the chance of the imports.
Confidence 85%
Quaddie Leg One: 1, 4, 8, 13
Strategy: Tarzino for 2.5 units @ $1.90 to win
Randwick Race 8 – 1200m – Darley T J Smith Stakes
1. Chautauqua: Weight got him beat last start at Flemington. It would be rude to say he was plain, but he wasn’t his 100% best. Barrier means he will be very far back in the run! Will have to be super to win here.
2. Flamberge: Maps for a very good run once again today, most likely 1 out 1 back in the run if all goes to plan. We have collected on his brilliant runs the past two races in lesser grades. I think he will run a very good race once again, but there are a few better horses here. He will need to run his very peak and probably a length beyond it to win here… on the last two runs though, anything is possible!
3. Delectation: Well below his best the first two runs this prep. Back home but his best runs have been at Flemington. I think he is poorly in at WFA here against the best of the best even from the barrier. I’ll take him on.
4. Terravista: Last start was poor beyond words. He had a setback before that race and was clearly well off the mark. His run two back was more than good enough to win this and he maps a gem today from barrier 7.
5. Our Boy Malachi: Every chance last start over 1300m in WFA-G1. Sure, the time run was strong, but every race that day was and it suited front runners. Won’t get it as easy as wanted today.. peak runs are still a fair bit off this win for mine.
6. Rebel Dane: He always runs well but always finds a few too good. Barrier hurts chances heavily. Place at best.
7. Dothraki: Going the right way this prep with good runs in Group 1 company the past two. Up to WFA another matter though giving weight to Flamberge and a few others on last few runs. Good barrier, should run well.
8. Famous Seamus: On his day, he can compete and feature in the finish, but he is a head case. Good barrier to get a charmed run. Place.
9. Shiraz: The potential in the race today, Shiraz is proven in Group class races. First up Shiraz was great to run 4th behind English and last start a close 2nd to Griante was strong also in Group 1 company. Both runs got further back than I expected… expect to be midfield at worst today.. could be 1 out 2 back if gets a good jump.
10. Fast ‘n’ Rocking: Two strong runs to start this prep behind Flamberge both times. Equal weights with Flamberge again today and drawn poorly. Will be going back. Need luck.
11. Knoydart: Listed winner. Hasn’t won in two preps. First up here. On his very best he is still a length or two short of this class, but could feature in the finish for a place.
12. Boss Lane: Ran very well two back at Randwick but then last start found absolutely nothing. Up to WFA again, hard to see at the weights.
13. Fell Swoop: Hard horse to ignore even at the weights. Giving horses like Flamberge 5kg today on previous meetings which is death in this grade. Ran home well after a big blunder at the start last start. Has ability to go well here.
14. Exosphere: Perfect barrier. Don’t expect him to be last in running with J Mac onboard. Expect a similar run to the Group 1 win last prep where they jumped him to sit no worse than midfield and he finished off very well to thrash them on a very fast tempo. He has gone to the next level this prep but the price being bet now (As i said get on at the $4s after Chautauqua failed), is unders.
15. English: Out the back last start and never got close in Group 1 company with 51kg. Up to 54.5kg here and against the best of the best. Wide barrier again. Horrible price for mine today, well unders.
Comments: Exosphere’s peak performance in the past is the benchmark here, but the horse hasn’t produced it in a few runs since and hasn’t gone close to it. If Exosphere gets clean running and produces a peak, it just wins for mine, but that’s a few big ifs. Chautauqua obviously has the same to be said about him. On form lines, he has the 2nd best peak in the race and if runs up to that, will be hard to beat. Terravista is a big question mark off the last start run, is he still injured and below best? Flamberge has won two Group 1s in a row and has to carry the weight in one of them and WFA win in the other on the worst ground. The horse will be peaking third up today and maps to get a beautiful run, many lengths ahead of the two favourites in the run.
Confidence 75%
Quaddie Leg Two: 1, 2, 4, 9, 14, 15
Strategy: Flamberge for 0.75 units @ $19/$4.60 Each-Way
Randwick Race 9 – 1600m – The Star Doncaster Mile
1. Kermadec: Much better weighted today back to Handicap level against Winx getting a 1.5kg turn around. Was game to the line but beaten fair and square over the 1500m ran at a stupid speed out front. Don’t expect Turn Me Loose to be ridden so stupidly today.. they will run and grind but not that fast. Kermadec maps perfectly to get a charmed run close to the back.
2. Turn Me Loose: Group 1 winner over this distance last prep. The ratings on that race are good, but to beat the very best here based on the last two runs he certainly has to improve. Will lead and be hard to get past if the rail is good here.
3. Winx: Proved her worth for mine last start with an undeniable run that needed to be seen to be believed. Awkward barrier and more runners to get around today, expect her to have to cover plenty of ground and to go wider than most into the straight… if it’s racing fair, good luck holding her out! Don’t think the price is much value at all today though.
4. Stratum Star: Didn’t stay the strong tempo for mine over the 1600m last start… very best runs have been with a medium tempo in the first 800m. Won’t get that today. Clearly has ability but place at best for mine today.
5. Bow Creek: Wasn’t suited to the 2000m last start in my opinion with a slow early tempo and was forced to do way too much to try make up the distance late. On his two back run at Moonee Valley, he has the late speed required to test Winx here, especially if he somehow jumps well today. Reckon if someone can get the best out of him jumping correctly, it would be McDonald.
6. First Seal: Toughed it out okay enough to the line last start off the brutal on speed tempo. Two back run wasn’t bad either. Expect to find a few too good once again but is a good place chance.
7. Volkstok’n’barrell: Flown over from NZ after two WFA-G1 wins over 1600-2000m. Personally feel the 1600m is well short of his best of 2000m+ and he is a minor player here.
8. Good Project: Coming off a lameness run which is always a negative. Group 1 winner at Ascot over 1600m off 53kg last prep. 52kg here. Two runs in before this not good enough to suggest for mine.
9. Ecuador: Had two runs in this prep and found very little to suggest a competition for a victory here. Especially from the barrier.
10. Happy Clapper: How good is he? 50.5kg today so certainly in this at the weights if good enough. Group 2 winner last prep over 1600m at course. Failed to place both WFA runs this prep but weight is the game changer? Going well enough if good enough.
11. Azkadellia: Couldn’t chase down Peeping with 53kg last start? Doesn’t win often. Bossy onboard. I don’t buy into the weights meaning that much for a horse like this in a classy race like this.
12. He or She: Nice win last start at Flemington. Will get a similar pace on today which is a positive for him. Poor barrier will see him out the back. Will be grinding home solidly but don’t think he has the turn of foot to match it with the best of them.
13. Rudy: Hasn’t won in a very long time (3 preps) for a good reason. Just not a genuine winner in this grade. Going well enough on last start run… but can’t suggest here.
14. Aomen: Would struggle to suggest him as a winner in a Group 3 today. Take on.
15. Vergara: FM-Gp3 winner… up to this a massive step beyond sanity. Place at very best and that’s a stretch.
Comments: There is no value in the price for Winx today before we know how the track is playing. Bow Creek is the only way I could play in this race at the price and to be honest, i’d feel much more comfortable backing the horse in-play at say $12s if it jumps well and positions better than midfield, rather than the $19 on offer currently. Even if misses the start, I think Bow Creek can run a bold race.
Confidence 65%
Quaddie Leg Three: 1, 3, 5, 10
Strategy: Bow Creek Each-Way
Randwick Race 10 – 2000m – TAB Adrian Knox Stakes
1. Sacred Eye: Ran nice enough leading into this over unsuitable distances. Last prep she got the win very well in similar company up to this distance. No other real speed mapped in the race and good barrier, will either lead as expected or get the perfect sit.
2. Alaskan Rose: Had her chances all four runs this prep and best run has been 2.8L off a win. Up to 2000m and she doesn’t stay the distance for mine. Happy to take on.
3. Heartlings: Two very poor runs in a row coming off an okay run 5th behind Ghisoni. Can’t really understand the price today from the barrier either.
4. Aurora’s Star: Won a BM-65 race last start on a heavy track. Hard to consider here.
5. Daisy’s Joy: Going nicely enough heading into this with some solid runs in easier company. Ignore last start when didn’t handle the wet. Will be dryer today. Consider.
6. Alittle Loose: Nice enough run last start at MV but never a match for the winner. Should stay the distance. Has to improve.
7. Seltzer: Clark not McDonald onboard. Wide barrier doesn’t help. BM-64 couldn’t win last start says it all?
8. Rainbow Park: Maiden only winner. Struggle to suggest even with potential.
9. Peggy’s Cove: CL2 winner last start. Well beaten previous start at Rosehill over 1800m.
10. Bulla Baby: Couldn’t win a maiden.
11. Shanakee: Couldn’t win a CL2, twice?
12. Diamond Made: Couldn’t win maidens.
13. Zasorceress: Couldn’t win maidens.
14. Shotgun Roulette: Well beaten two runs coming into this in Group class over 1400 and 1600m.
15. Cry for Terre: Couldn’t win maidens.
16. Karaka Lass: Couldn’t win maidens.
Comments: I think Daisy’s Joy has potential and will run well, but I can’t go past Sacred Eye here. The horse will have every possible chance if allowed to control tempo in front and I’m not convinced the 4.5kg means that much when you are against this class of horse.
Confidence 85%
Quaddie Leg Four: 1, 2, 5, 6
Strategy: Sacred Eye for 1.25 units @ $4.80/$2.00 Each-Way
