Welcome to The Profits form guide for Sandown on 20 July 2016. Back at the lakeside track today where we are expecting a track that will have a little bit of give, but still be on the firm side as we are wanting. Two key plays for us today with one first up runner and another that has progressed well through the grades and looks well suited stepping back to the 1200m today at a track where they always run a strong 1200m. Most importantly, both horses map very well from inside middle barriers. As always and I hope your form matches up with mine! Good luck and happy punting.
Tools
Skyracing (TAB) form guide – this is what we use for the basics – http://www.skyracing.com.au
Speedmaps and form from Punters – http://www.punters.com.au/form-guide/
Follow Racing Victoria Stewards on twitter for tactic changes, track conditions and ride reports
I find all of the best early odds at www.bestodds.com.au
Our results are updated daily here – Betting Spreadsheet
Index
Red means Top pick. Blue means second pick and Green refers to a saver pick. Orange means the pick looks value.
Sandown Race 3
Three key runners in this race on my ratings with Makatiti, Crystal Dreamer and Fabulonh all putting in strong runs heading into this. The standout for mine is Makatiti. They were betting $6.50 when prices went up yesterday and I had to take some of that. The $5/$1.91 is still well over the true odds in comparison to my rated price. I actually think the step back to 1200m is ideal today on a track we know he handles… with 4 runs at this track for a win and 3 places… yet to miss a place here, you have to be confident in this that as long as he gets the expected position just off the leaders, he will be there in the finish competing for the win.
Confidence 85%
Strategy: Makatiti for 1.5 units @ $5.00/$1.91 Each-Way
Sandown Race 4
Good Offa is the standout here. Well back in class in comparison to his best runs last prep… first up last prep he ran 1.5L 2nd to Supido at Flemington in Saturday class in harder grade on a Good track. He loves Sandown with 3 places and 1 win from 5 starts here and from barrier 3 he is mapped for to have a great run throughout the race. The 2kg claim from Sadler is the added kicker.
Confidence 80%
Strategy: Good Offa for 2 units @ $3.80
