Welcome to The Profits Friday Cranbourne Form. We had a great day last Friday at Moonee Valley with 6 from 8 on top which will be very hard to repeat! The form lines around many of the horses in the later races are strong and there could be some surprise winners while the earlier races look to have a few stand outs. Good luck as always we hope your form matches up with ours. Happy punting!
Race 1 Andre Roo Hoo
Race 2 King Krovanh
Race 6 Pretty Adamant
Skyracing (TAB) form guide – this is what we use – http://www.skyracing.com.au
Speedmaps and form from Punters Paradise – http://www.puntersparadise.com.au/form-guide/
Watch previous runs here – http://bigpondvideo.com/Horse_Racing
Follow Racing Victoria Stewards on twitter for tactic changes, track conditions and ride reports
Red means Top pick. Blue means second pick and Green refers to a saver pick. Orange means a speculation pick.
Cranbourne Race 1
Andre Roo Hoo: Ignore last run last prep 9 months ago and look to previous three runs where he went very close in much much harder class than this. Looks suited here today and suited by 1000m. Should take a sit forward and looks the winner.
Apollo Bay: First start so no guide and breeding gives nothing.
Borsari: Jumped a short priced favourite first up and was 5.3L behind winning. Very disappointing. Up 2kg and not enough time off to improve enough today it looks like.
Emperor’s Chariot: Down in grade second up. Should have had enough time to train on to produce a much better run than first up. Could produce a winning run.
Rebuild: Strong breeding and Rawiller booked for ride. Related to Eight Bills who won a few weeks back at Moonee Valley.
Young Fun: Bred very well and ran second to a handy horse in a trial who then won a maiden after that run. Could run well.
Tears Go By: Trial form fairly average.
Cranbourne Race 2
Beneficiary: Ran ok first up at Bendigo even though 2.8L away from a win. Does need to improve today but could run a solid race.
King Joy: May not have been suited by last two starts track conditions and could run on better today.
Lemaitre: Three months off and finds a dead track today compared to heavy the last three starts. Out of Bel Espirit and could run ok.
Light Dreamer: Ran on nicely last start even though 6.5L from winning. Does need to find a few lengths today.
De Master: On last start run doesn’t seem to have trained on as would have hoped.
It’s Dylan: Looked inexperienced last start and with several months off should come back ready to fire.
King Krovanh: The form horse of the race. Close second at Flemington last start in 2YO and two runs 3L behind Elite Elle. Has the form to win this.
Wild Erp: Good first two runs but disappointing that didn’t progress to win last start. Needs to find a length or two today.
Elzevier: Looks outclassed
Shibby: No breeding to go off of and having first race. Market will tell you how it will go.
Worth Every Penny: Outclassed on previous runs. Could run better if pushed forward today.
Kityikana: Outclassed unless trained on 8-10 lengths in seven months.
Cranbourne Race 3
In His Own Time: On first up form can win. Was fairly poor last start sitting further back in a slightly harder race. Could run well.
Trappy’s Boy: On previous runs can’t win.
True Brave: Good run last start at Sale and previous run at Cranbourne was also solid. Can run a solid time and should speed map ok from barrier 2.
Vizhaka: Almost a year off after last prep going very close in maiden company. If trained on will be the one to beat. Will go forward from barrier 3.
Artie’s Son: On previous runs hard to have him here today.
Our Small Fortune: Outclassed on previous runs
Royal Reward: Good run first up behind a handy horse. Was 3.8L off the win but Price has put her out again today. One of the chances.
Cranbourne Race 4
Blushing Royale: On breeding can win but needs to be a decent horse. Market will tell you if she can win.
Carmen Over Baby: Good run two back at the end of last prep but didn’t show enough first up. Has placed 4 from 5 on dead ground so should run well tonight.
Cherry Dancer: Out of Kent yard, always sets his horses to win when they go to the races. Has some ok breeding. Market will guide.
Gracious Goddess: On previous form can’t win today.
Martina Of Sydney: Couldn’t win over in NZ, came on over and preformed poorly first up. Needs to improve big time to stand a chance.
Pixilicious: Ran fairly well first up considering 4L off winning. Rider lost whip. Could improve today and go close.
Butterfly Blue: Good run last start. Looks ready to break through for a win.
Just Bonnie: Blocked for run last start and ran ok previous start. COuld run well again today.
Nullabar Belle: Performed beyond herself last start. Could go close today from barrier 4.
Cranbourne Race 5
Bia Diamond: One of the unluckiest horses going around. Ran second last four starts all within 1L. Up to 60kg today but shouldn’t be an issue on previous form. Rates to win.
Luangwa Miss: Poor last start after a nice maiden win first up. Looks harshly weighted.
Affetto: If produces similar to two back run could go close. Needs to sit further back today.
Little Blue Dress: Poor first up and needs to produce something big to win today.
Run Ruby Run: Ran on strongly two back but back to old poor running last start. Looks like she needs a wet ground.
Ruby’s Wu: Won a maiden last start but needs to improve today. Looks poorly weighted.
Beastofburdon: Nice run last start behind Beneden. On previous runs including 1.5L behind Outdoor, has the ability.
Speedy Emma: Looks outclassed today.
Quaddie leg one: 1, 3, 7
Cranbourne Race 6
Quarterbar: Down in class today but on form this prep needs to find something he hasn’t shown. Up to the right distance but can’t have on those runs.
Umatic: Ran very well last start at Rosehill behind Hoylonny. Looks suited here today.
Severn Road: Forgive run last start when losing a plate. Look to previous four runs and will be there at the finish. A big chance.
Mauritius: Didn’t measure up in higher classes this prep and back down to a winable grade. Ran second at distance and class on track last two back and could go one better today. Big chance.
Duel Lover: Looks outclassed on two runs this prep.
Pretty Adamant: Very strong maiden win in front of Maraatib who has progressed on to run second to Zydeco in the Wakeful and 4th or 5th in the Oaks.
King’s A Star: Big win last start over the 1980m. Stronger class today but could go very close.
Arohanui: Just got there last start at $1.60 favourite. Looks to be a stronger field today but has nice times and can lead from start to finish. Weighted nicely.
Purrplexed: Needs to improve today and on form don’t think is suited by the 2000m
Quaddie leg two: 2, 3, 6, 9
Cranbourne Race 7
The Counterfeiter: Down in class today looking to pick up an easy win. Form lines are strong and claiming 3kg today to get down to 57kg means he is weighted to win. Will go very close.
Sergius: Down 1.5kg today and ran very close last start in a medium to fast run race for the grade. Can go close again today.
Edgycat: Disappointing to not break through in the last five starts. Can go close again today.
Grey Giggle: Needs to improve on first up run where had every chance.
Crowns: Back onto a non heavy track today.. Never won or placed on a dead track. Hard to rate.
Caitlin’s Spirit: Won a maiden in a very slow time start to finish here three back and then didn’t produce the last two runs. Back down to 1200m suits the horse and could run a nice race.
Driffields Occi: Sits too far back and runs home strongly but just doesn’t get there as seen by last two runs at Geelong. Needs to sit further forward today for a chance.
Lucy Lil: Could come back very well from a seven month break. Previous form was solid and could win today if comes back fit.
Quaddie leg three: 1, 2, 3, 9, 10
Cranbourne Race 8
Jetconi: Poor first up where he didn’t stay the 1400m. Off 59kg today after claim, looks to be held again today on weights.
Count The Diamonds: Better on a Heavy track recently. Performed poorly on Good or Dead. Happy to be against at weights.
Luckycent: Big win two back on Heavy at Mornington. Poor last start at Caulfield and had 4 months off. Never won first up and better over longer distances.
Kid Dynamite: Won in lesser classes in Tasmania and then last start went close in similar class. Had nearly a full year off and comes to Victoria to compete. has the ability but never won at distance. Big question marks.
Western Hero: Won three in a row last prep in Tasmania in 2YO class before coming over to Victoria with the Price Yard. Had a vet exam last start where failed to see out the trip. Happy to forgive for run. Should go very close today on previous form.
Hot Power: Strong second to Bianmick five back (last prep) and went very close first up this prep. Has never won second up but is 1 win from 1 at track. Could go very close.
Harry’s Magic: Blocked for run last start in a strongly run race at Geelong. Beat Whisper Downs first up in prep which is quality form lines. Suited back to 1400m. Big chance.
Peahen: Ran on well first up but wasn’t suited by a good track second up.. Looking for more rain it seems. Will still run well.
Street Eclipse: Looking for longer distances than this and never won first up from 4 tries. Could still go close.
Tycoon Rob: Outclassed on three runs this prep.
Stardom: Two strong runs this prep and looks the horse to beat. Never won from 5 tries (4 places) at 1400m and from 2 tries at track (2 place) but looks like she will go close again today. A big chance.
Harlequin Manner: Form behind Alrouz who didn’t run on well on oaks day looks to be solid but Harle seems to be looking for more rain.
Quaddie leg four: 5, 6, 7, 8, 12
All of the above are the opinions of the author and are not recommendations or advice. The author may not be taking every bet listed above. Bet at your own risk.
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