Welcome back to Moonee Valley for a interesting Wedneday race meeting card. There are 10 races on offer, but there is a lot to be desired from the quality on offer. I am expecting the currently Slow track to be upgraded to Dead so that is what my information is based around. As always I hope your form matches up with mine. Good luck and happy punting.
Please note that I am going to be on a plane during the Saturday races this weekend to Canada (and then off to Ascot the week after) so there won’t be much communication on twitter. The form will also be done in advance so it won’t be taking into account any sudden changes in the weather. Thanks for the understanding!
Race 5 Riviere
Betfair are running a one-off ‘Three times a Charm’ special for the 10 race card at Moonee Valley. Back three runners throughout the card (minimum stake of $25, minimum odds of $1.30) using the Tote Extra product and they will credit you with $100!
Click here to find out more.
If you don’t already have an account with Betfair, click here.
Skyracing (TAB) form guide – this is what we use – http://www.skyracing.com.au
Speedmaps and form from Punters Paradise – http://www.puntersparadise.com.au/form-guide/
Follow Racing Victoria Stewards on twitter for tactic changes, track conditions and ride reports
Red means Top pick. Blue means second pick and Green refers to a saver pick. Orange means a speculation pick.
Moonee Valley Race 2
This really isn’t a great race at all. There is a horse in this race that I’m willing to take a chance on called Angelology. Back down to a class that suits and from barrier 1, they should be pushing forward today on him unlike the previous two starts in much harder class. With the 3kg claim, I think he is well in today in a winable race and the price represents value.
Strategy: Play it small. 0.5 units Each Way.
Moonee Valley Race 5
A tough race with quite a few chances. There is every chance that 2-3 runners will be caught three-wide and as long as your horse is getting a wind-break behind the 3-wide leader, you aren’t out of this.
There is one runner who clearly stands out here from mine in Riviere. Won 2 placed 2 first up and when you consider the 1.3L 2nd to LoveYouMadly (who would come into this race with about 64kg for real handicaps) – and she is 5kg better off today, and then also consider the 1.8L 6th to Theres Only One – down 2kg today also, the 1000m looks to suit the horse and everything apart from the barrier is in her favour. The barrier 12 is certainly a risk, but as you all know, I have great faith in Jackie Beriman as an apprentice jockey. She knows how to ride at the track and she has jumped quite a few of the horses we have been on from outside barriers to find a good spot. The price looks overs to me in this class of race.
Strategy: 1.5 Units to Place 1 Unit to win.
Moonee Valley Race 7
Another open race for the day and I am going against my normal pattern (front runners) in this race with a handy horse down in grade and in well at the weights.
Baron Douro is a horse I have all the time in the world for. Puts in great runs from the back of the fields and the ground should be wet enough to see his best in action. There looks to be enough speed in the race to give him every chance to position up close enough around the final turn to let go.
The other runner I like if he gets a run is Supreme Warrior. Has the ability to take the lead and never be headed.
Strategy: Small win bets on both.
Moonee Valley Race 8
I wouldn’t be shocked to see Kirribilli Gold win today.. but I am predicting the ground will be Dead for sure by this stage of the day and that plays right into the hands of Lake Sententia who gets a dream position on speedmaps. I reckon it will be the best backed horse of the day.
Strategy: Back early on in day with Fixed and Lay pre-race for a hedge.
All of the above are the opinions of the author and are not recommendations or advice. The author may not be taking every bet listed above. Bet at your own risk.
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