It’s never a slow news week when ‘The Man’ Anthony Mundine is scheduled to fight. Some have suggested that he should be renamed ‘The Dream’ as all he does is create free press for fight promoters with his controversial comments. Daniel Geale will start the $1.27 favourite in their second fight and you can expect many Australians to tune in hoping to see Geale knock Mundine out. Our good friends at www.aus-boxing.com have provided an in-depth preview of the six main fights of the night.
Daniel Geale ($1.28) vs. Anthony Mundine ($3.55)
Daniel Geale Daniel Geale will start a short priced favourite against Anthony Mundine when the two enter the ring on Jan. 30 at the Sydney Entertainment Centre.
Geale looks the man to beat, but with not much value backing him to win straight out we will look deeper into the fight for some value.
The last time these two met, it was Mundine who won a controversial split decision. Despite Geale throwing more punches it was Mundine who landed more punches and power punches, also scoring a knockdown early in the fight.
The telling sign to this fight though is what has happened since their last meeting. Geale has gone on to claim both the WBA and IBF Middleweight titles with impressive victories over Sebastian Sylvester and Felix Sturm. Geale’s last fight saw him hurt Sturm at stages in Germany.
While for Mundine he has been knocked out by part-time pro Garth Wood, and won against Xavier Toliver, Rigoberto Alvarez and Bronco McKart but in most people’s opinion these names don’t match the class of Geale’s opponents.
While Mundine was able to record a knockdown in their last meeting, no one looked like being knocked out at any stage of fight and with neither fighter having a high knockout % against opponents of a similar skill class the over 9.5 rounds looks likely, although offers no value.
Prediction: Geale via wide decision.
Suggested Bet: Geale via decision ($1.50). I also wouldn’t mind something small on the draw at $21 in case we have some bad judging or a close fight.
Kimbo Slice ($1.45) vs. Shane Tilyard ($2.60)
This fight promises to be full of fireworks while it lasts… In a telling statistic, all of Tilyard’s wins as a professional boxer have been via knockout while all of his losses have also been via knockout.
In the other corner well known street fighter and former UFC fighter Kimbo Slice has won 5 of his 6 fights via knockout.
While this fight is only 4 rounds, none of Tilyard’s wins have gone past the second round while Slice has 4 first round finishes to his name.
There was a competition run to choose Slice’s opponent and as one of the showcase fighters on the card I’m sure his promoters would be wanting to protect his winning record and would have carefully selected Tilyard.
Prediction: Kimbo Slice KO 2
Suggested Bet: Kimbo Slice in a multi bet.
Daniel Ammann ($1.52) vs. David Aloua ($2.40)
In a clash for the Australian Cruiserweight title, Daniel Ammann looks to defend his title against Australian based Kiwi, David Aloua who is undefeated in all 8 of his professional bouts.
Ammann has won 7 of his last 8 fights with the only loss to Brad Pitt who is head and shoulders above the next best domestic Cruiserweight in the country. The best gauge to this fight will be a common opponent in Anthony McCracken with both Ammann and Aloua fighting him last year.
Aloua scraped away with a somewhat controversial split decision win over McCracken while Ammann, not known for having a high knockout percentage won a unanimous decision winning 8-2 on two of the scorecards.
There is no doubt that the 25 year old Aloua is always improving with an impressive win over Balazs Varga in his last outing, but Ammann will sit behind his southpaw jab and control centre ring against Aloua who will be looking to change levels, and I see Ammann being too strong for Aloua.
Prediction: Daniel Ammann via close decision.
Suggested Bet: Daniel Ammann to win ($1.52).
Joel Brunker ($1.15) vs. Ivan Hernandez ($4.80)
On what looks to be a competitive card, Joel Brunker appears to be the safest bet of the night. There were early talks that the undefeated Australian Featherweight prospect would fight in a world title eliminator on Wednesday night, but they fell through and Hernandez was sought after.
The Mexican’s recent history hasn’t been great and with just two fights in just over 24 months, he will provide a good hit out for Brunker who is ever so close to a world title shot.
Prediction: Joel Brunker via shutout decision
Suggested Bet: Joel Brunker as an anchor in multi bets ($1.15)
Jamie Pittman ($1.30) vs. Zac Awad ($3.20)
In one of the most interesting fights on the card we see former world title challenger, Jamie Pittman return to the ring after more then 12 months out of the ring, and will challenge Zac Awad who has only fought three times in the last 3 years.
Pittman is the dominant favourite and deserves to be considering both fighters last few outings. Before Pittman’s break where he started a family and bought their first home, he suffered a bad cut against the powerful Serge Yannick in round two and the fight was called to an end. Although it was only early in the fight, Pittman controlled the opening stages. While in the other corner, Awad who was regarded as a promising prospect in Australia, lost a split decision to Les Piper who has gone on to have two tough losses, but after another 8 months out of the ring Awad returned in October, 2012 where he stopped an unknown Thai opponent with a body shot in round one.
While Pittman’s long absence would have people worried about taking the short odds, he continued to train in his layoff and finally returned to the Grange Gym where he has been sparring with the likes of Daniel Lovett and world champion, Daniel Geale who fights on the main card.
Prediction: Jamie Pittman via decision
Suggested Bet: Jamie Pittman in a multi bet
Nadine Brown ($1.65) vs. Lauryn Eagle ($2.15)
Fitness will not be a problem for these two ladies over the 8 round distance with the Australian Lightweight title on the line.
After a long break Lauryn Eagle seems to have come back a much better boxer, and went the distance with a former world champion last fight in New Zealand, which is the best judge for this fight. Eagle did her best work late and with not much form to go off in her previous bouts due to a lower class of opponent, Eagle is sure to be there until the end, but I personally favour Brown.
Nadine Brown is never not in an exciting fight. Her trilogy with Sarah O’Connell brought enjoyment all three times and Brown herself is coming off a 10 round decision loss just a month ago in China which was closer then the scores suggested, so fitness won’t be a query.
Eagle stepped up from Super Featherweight to Lightweight for her previous fight and stays at the heavier weight for this fight. To me this is how I split the two. Brown will be much stronger at the weight and should be able to dictate terms landing bigger punches and will eventually wear Eagle down, maybe even causing some damage throughout the fight.
If Brown is able to control her nerves in the big occasion and turn it into positive energy I can see her beating Eagle via a decision.
Eagle was opened favourite by Sportingbet but a four figure bet on Brown saw the line quickly change pushing Brown into $1.65 from $1.90.
Prediction: Nadine Brown via decision.
Suggested Bet: Nadine Brown to win at $1.65.
Daniel Geale, Joel Brunker and Jamie Pittman ($1.96)
Kimbo Slice, Daniel Ammann, Nadine Brown ($3.06)
All of the above are the opinions of the author and are not recommendations or advice. Bet at your own risk.
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