Angelique Kerber vs CiCi Bellis
Just the one play for day 5 and it’s the marquee Women’s night session match up on Arthur Ashe after Nadal vs Kuznetsov
CiCi Bellis has the chance to make a name for herself tonight in her match against Angelique Kerber.
Bellis is on a 5 game win streak after making her way through qualifying prior to the main draw. Wins over solid players including Min, Van Uytvanck, Golubic and Rogers ensure she comes into this match with confidence. Her composure against Rogers was particularly impressive, coming from a 2-6 first set to hit back with two straight 6-2’s in her favour.
Kerber has made it through to the 3rd round via a retirement and a scratchy win against Lucic-Baroni. After leading a set and 4-1, Kerber found herself down a set point at *4-5 and also having to save two set points in the tiebreak before scraping out a victory. Kerber was not able to generate a great deal of winners off her own racquet, and similar to Bellis vs Rogers found herself more reliant on trying to force errors from the opponents racquet.
Of the big names in women’s tennis, I still think Kerber can be susceptible at times. Her serve can be vulnerable, so an opponent with attacking groundstrokes can find herself deep in a match. You know Kerber is going to break serve a number of times, so you need attacking groundstrokes to try and balance the ledger in that department.
Because Kerber’s serve isn’t particularly strong, I’m happy to have a bet on on over 17.5 game market on offer. Whilst this is similar to the +6.5 games, it just takes away the “3rd set blowout and not covering” possibility.
I was expecting around $5-5.50 for Bellis today on home soil, so you can be I am having a piece of Bellis to win this match too. It has a ‘Krunic vs Kvitova’ feel of a few years ago.
Arthur Ashe. Night Session. Friday Night. Time to see what Bellis can do.
3.25 unit bet over 17.5 games at $1.80 at Pinnacle ($1.77 Luxbet)
1.75 unit bet Bellis to win at $9.71 at Pinnacle