Fatigue Faders – January 7-9, 2018

Welcome to what will hopefully be a weekly article looking at which players on tour may find themselves in precarious situations based on scheduling, travel and general fatigue. As I have been watching tennis over the years, I have subjectively noticed that players regularly find themselves in an interesting spots, generally due to perhaps overperform the week before. I have received a number of messages over the years from people backing players in such situations and being quite shocked when they don’t play up to their potential or perhaps their form of the week previous.

I will keep these short, sharp and to the point, as I am almost expecting some of these players to withdraw from this weeks tournaments, especially as the Australian Open is only a week away.

Gilles Simon

Last Week -> Pune, India (currently playing in the final at the time of writing)

Next Week -> Sydney (hot conditions)

Travel Time -> over 12 hours of flying time

Opponent -> Jared Donaldson (played Brisbane last week, adjusted to Australian conditions, short travel time between tournaments)

Odds (with Pinnacle at time of writing) ->  Gilles Simon ($1.65) vs Jared Donaldson ($2.37)

Note: Simon has also played a full week of doubles in India, reaching the final there as well

Suggested Bet

3 units Donaldson to defeat Simon at $2.37 at Pinnacle

Andrey Rublev – CANCELLED

Last Week -> due to play the Final in Doha overnight against Gael Monfils

Next Week -> round 1 meeting with Tsitsipas in Auckland

Travel Time -> Doha to Auckland is considered the world series longest direct flight, taking just over 16 hours and crossing 10 time zones.

Opponent -> Tsitsipas (Also played in Doha, and played well, however has a 48 hour jump on Rublev in terms of getting to Auckland

Odds (with Pinnacle at time of writing) -> Rublev ($2.14) vs Tsitsipas ($1.78)

Suggested Bet

5 units Tsitsipas to defeat Rublev at $1.78 at Pinnacle

Guido Pella

Last Week -> Doha – made semi finals, losing to Rublev in a 3rd set tiebreak

Next Week -> Auckland

Travel Time -> Doha to Auckland is considered the world series longest direct flight, taking just over 16 hours and crossing 10 time zones.

Opponent -> Pablo Cuevas (first tournament for season)

Odds (with Pinnacle at time of writing) -> Pella ($1.77) vs Cuevas ($2.25)

Suggested Bet

3 units Cuevas to defeat Pella at $2.25 at Pinnacle

Benoit Paire

Last Week ->  India (Pune) – lost semi final to Kevin Anderson in 3 sets

Next Week -> Sydney

Travel Time -> considering flights and connections, the full travel process can take over 24 hours

Opponent -> Aljaz Bedene (lost tight second round 2 set match in Doha vs Thiem 3 days ago)

Odds (with Pinnacle at time of writing) -> Paire ($1.94) vs Bedene ($1.94)

Suggested Bet ->

4 units Bedene to defeat Paire at $1.94 at Pinnacle

 

Irena Begu and katerina Siniakova

Siniakova made the final in both singles and finals in Shenzhen, and Begu made the final in the doubles and the semi finals in the singles. Both players finished up very late Saturday night, and both are coming up against serviceable players in Hobart (Riske and Niculescu). Also should be noted that Niculescu made the final here last year in Hobart.

Suggested Bets

4 units Niculescu to defeat Begu at $2.02 at Pinnacle

2 units Riske to defeat Siniakova at $2.07 at Pinnacle

RYAN HARRISON

Ryan Harrison taking the long road to the Australian Open. After losing to Nick Kyrgios last night, Harrison now crosses the ditch to play Steve Johnson. I am not sure why he is going ahead with this, but I have to oppose Harrison here after a long week in Brisbane.

Suggested Bet

4 units Johnson to defeat Harrison at $1.68 at Pinnacle

Author

mm

Ace

I've had a passion for Tennis since I was young and haven't missed a Grand Slam ever since I can remember. I'm always happy to talk Tennis on twitter and respond to any queries so feel free to tweet me your questions.

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